Everything posted by bmags
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Keith Law's Top 100, 2 White Sox make the list
Yes, but if you aren't that, you won't show up in his rankings often.
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The Wainwright to the Cards Thread
I don't think they are trying to be ken rosenthal. Rosenthal only publishes stuff very likely to happen. This is a gossip account, not a news account. And gossip is ok, it has a place. Like all gossip accounts, they are very annoying, believe the attention they get is actually because of their own personality, and often wrong. But damn if it isn't entertaining when you are obssessed with something like we are with the sox.
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Jerry Reinsdorf is cheap
for the billionth time we dont' need people copy-pasting chain emails from their uncle.
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The Wainwright to the Cards Thread
I'll actually say as someone that follows their tweets that I think saying "he went from cruz to wainwright" is unfair. The cruz stuff was led by gomez, and I don't ever remember the cheesy beef account going over their skis and listing anyone but the twins as the favorites. Same with Wainwright, it was always that cards were most likely. That's fine for me just to read a fuckjerry-like account that sources sox rumors. Could it be possible that people tied to sox thought they were interested in cruz . . . and cruz went with a different team? No, no way. Everyone feels like a hero talking crap about these accounts but honestly if you had a general feeling for how the white sox operated and followed only these accounts you'd have a decent expectation for how this offseason would go. My impression of the sox front office is they are incredibly optimistic about their chances to do stuff that they don't have the resources for.
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Market/Financial Thread
looks like good ole fashioned etrade still executes them.
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Market/Financial Thread
What was actualy going to happen though? A bunch of people believing the perpetual motion machine joining at the end and losing a bunch of money. I don't buy the "good ole boys gonna throw the redditors in jail". Their plays have been pretty creative uses of options to create gamma squeezes before, but this took on a life of its own. They weren't doing market manipulation. But in the last day? I've been seeing on tiktok and twitter make statements that could easily qualify as lying in their telling people to keep bidding. At that point, the people who were going to get hurt weren't hedge funds (they were already hurt).
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Keith Law's Top 100, 2 White Sox make the list
For pitchers it's a lot about body though. He's not going to rank an under 6 ft RHP often. Not a lot of lanky dudes, he doesn't like side arm. He likes tall pitchers with good athleticism that have a clean delivery. That was his only rationale for staying with Giolito, and the reason Giolito was able to reinvent himself? Because he had a basleine to work with of being a very athletic 6'6 frame that gave him great deception with his fb/changeup arsenal while allowing him to re-do his delivery in an offseason.
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NFL Thread 2020-2021
Miami or Jets for sure. But if I'm him I certainly would want SF or Indy. I also wouldn't hate getting paired with Jefferson in Minny ? As I have said, I can't pretend to know what to do with QB. I'll ride with @Chisoxfn 's takes as they are optimistic and I can only take so much bears dredge. Tua, Wentz, Darnold all scare me. I don't know that I can handle uncertainty unless from a guy whose clock is up quickly. And If I'm Houston, I think I'd rather go after the 3rd qb than Tua? That is a disaster for the Lions.
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Market/Financial Thread
Looking at all the dumbest people on twitter complaining about this, I feel safe saying the people helped today by trading restrictions were not wall street.
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Jerry Reinsdorf is cheap
After Giolito and Lopez beat my estimate for arb I took the high end for the rest of they guys but we will see.
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Keith Law's Top 100, 2 White Sox make the list
when has Law ever put bullpen guys on his top 100 though? He isn't going to start for Garrett Crochet.
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Keith Law's Top 100, 2 White Sox make the list
He liked Moncada (top 20), Giolito (when no one else still did), Eloy (top 10), Robert (top ten) and Kopech (kept in top 50), and now Vaughn (top 10). Tim Anderson was still top 100. This seems like a pretty accurate summation of the sox top prospects. He was low on Lopez when BA/MLBP were high on him. Check. Here were his thoughts on Cease: Ryan: What are your thoughts on Dylan Cease? Results at the big league level have not been great so far. Can he be a top of the rotation guy? Keith Law: I don’t think he was ever a top of the rotation guy … when he was throwing super hard, he couldn’t stay healthy. I get questions like this a lot, but I wonder why it’s always about “ace” or “top of rotation?” If he’s an above-average starter, that’s a huge win for the team – those guys cost a mint in trade or free agency. And I think Cease can be that, given time. Keith Law has really proven to be the one worth reading. Yeah, currently the sox lack high end talent, we agree with that. His rankings agree with that. But the good news is he thinks Vaughn is a top 10 guy, he has been great with grading hitters. Vaughn should be a star. I remember thinking he was way too infatuated with Dom smith for too long. Then Dom Smith started destroying the ball. And let's not even bring up he who must not be named, whom he put on his top 50 before anyone and we all said he was just trying to embarrass hahn. He's the best evaluator by far. And to me he is like Ebert. He has his type, he describes his type, and you should go into things knowing that if they aren't his type he won't like it. And some of those dudes will be an outlier and make him look silly.
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Tanaka Signs With Rakuten - 2yr/$17mm
They definitely have a progressive rate, he's going to be paying a 45% rate on quite a bit of his income. I think the flat tax of 10% is to account for their workforce that works in multiple countries, and their japan income would get at least 10%. But they have a progressive personal income tax.
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Jerry Reinsdorf is cheap
Good god, sorry, I don't actually think they are "surprised". But the way they operate looks a lot more like a team that expects to be able to use FA as a major pipeline of talent when that is not the case. You'd thinkt heir offseason would have looked a lot more like San Francisco's than what they did.
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Jerry Reinsdorf is cheap
I took ~10 million off for hendriks so that's where 120 comes from.
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Tanaka Signs With Rakuten - 2yr/$17mm
hmm, I don't think this is right.
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Tanaka Signs With Rakuten - 2yr/$17mm
I'm really grossed out by how MLB is so indifferent about other leagues being legitimate competition for top talent. Go NPB, keep retaining and taking mlb talent.
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Jerry Reinsdorf is cheap
I continue to maintain that the bigger issue isn't Jerry's spending limits, it's that Kenny and Rick continue to act surprised by them. This is a team that has a lot of cheap talent. Thankfully, Hahn was able to lock them up so they can grow for years. But, all eyes for them need to be on drafting, INTL and development. I love having hendriks, but if you were to tell me the sox were going to roll with a 120 mill budget this year but they plan to take advantage of other teams cutting back in intl and going big with scouts and upgrading DR facilities, I'd say that's a good use of money. Sox with their farm have to get lucky. No regression from the guys that look like they'll be great, Vaughn and Kopech need to hit, and we need our young prospects to show a lot of promise this year to help us load up on ml cheap talent, if not use them.
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Hector wrong. Again. - Cruz back with Min
Remember when for no reason at all the Sox fed nightengale to say they specifically NOT going to put a bid on for Harper after losing Machado? They knew they wouldn’t get him, but this made sure a fellow owner didn’t negotiate against themselves.
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Hector wrong. Again. - Cruz back with Min
No no no. It’s that Jerry will not let his team be a bidding prop in the media because that raised players salaries. And suppressing salaries is Jerry’s #1 goal.
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COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
53k yesterday in IL. Monday was really low, but take the two day and it’s 40k/day. Fingers crossed for maybe 60k thurs/fri?
- Market/Financial Thread
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Hector wrong. Again. - Cruz back with Min
I have been wondering. If they've been able to lure back some of their big stars, wouldn't Nelson Cruz be a target?
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Market/Financial Thread
OTOH for AMC they completed their secondary, so at the very least they were able to get some capital.
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Hector wrong. Again. - Cruz back with Min
I think sox aren't so wrong with their approach they just need to make sure to have depth in SP that can actually pitch 5 IP even if its a 4 ER game. I'm starting to feel like of offense, starting pitching, bullpen, and defense, you can have the most slack with defense and be good (see dodgers, nationals), then next would be starting pitching. But having excellent bullpen+offense seems to be where the top teams are ending up last several years. Then you have teams with one exceptional thing, like the Nats starting pitching being able to pull forward its lackluster bullpen and defense. But Reds with just great starting pitching? Was able to pull into an expanded playoff field.