Everything posted by chitownsportsfan
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So What Happens to Zack Collins?
I like Collins, I think his bat will play, even if he's just a backup 1B/DH long term. But yea. He doesn't bring anything defensively. It's hard to project him as anything but a poor man's schwarber. usefullplayer on a cheap deal sure, but hardly worth too much fuss when they just signed EE. As for the "inconsistency" of bringing in Mazara also hoping for a breakout: they needed a warm body for RF. They already had a bunch at DH/1B/C. I'm not sure it's a great move, probably mildly bad over the multitude of outcomes but they had a hole to fill. How well they filled it remains to be seen.
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So What Happens to Zack Collins?
I already explained why but you didn't read. Edwin is projected for about 2.5 fWAR. Collins for about .5 In a year they are obviously trying to contend you can't trot out a replacement level DH in hopes that he has a breakthrough. Collins will get his chance. Jose/Eloy/EE will probably miss around 60 games between the three of them. They are building depth on the MLB roster. This is what that looks like. I know, it's been a long ass time since we saw what that looks like.
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So What Happens to Zack Collins?
EE is predicted for a 123 wRC+, Collins 96. That's about a 2-3 WAR difference at DH. Could be the difference between a wild card birth at 87 wins and going him with 85. It's no longer possible to give guys like Collins 600 PA to "see what they have". That's a good thing.
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So What Happens to Zack Collins?
All that makes sense but I can't argue against adding EE on a one year deal given what he brings with the bat. He's a proven 125 wRC+ hitter, Collins COULD be that in a couple years but the Sox made the right call IMO bringing in EE and trying to contend this year.
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So What Happens to Zack Collins?
How many starts can Rickie give him? I'm thinking maybe he DHs twice a week and maybe catches once every other week. That's like 250 PA, which isn't ideal but if 175 of those are against RHP I think he could slash something like 250/340/460 against RHP, which would cement him as at least a big league bat worth carrying.
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The Sox' moves have me interested as a fan again
All I really want is to watch meaningful games and be engaged with the team after June. The last half a dozen late summers or so have been completely pointless as an everyday follow outside checking the highlights and box for Moncada or TA or Gio or Eloy highlights. Thanks to the pitching and black holes in the lineup watching the actual games stunk. This year I'd love to just watch a team sitting at 50-40 after the first half try and make the playoffs. Regardless of outcome just being in the hunt and winning 85+ will be fun.
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Sox still looking at Puig?
It's not hard at all when you look at the record of incidents with Puig and teammates and coaches. Few guys actually deserve the "clubhouse cancer" rep, many of them are just prickly guys that love to win -- Puig from almost all accounts is not that. He's a genuine nutcase that thinks he knows more than the coaching staff and straight up alienates his team mates. As I said yesterday if he does want to come here 1 year 8 million that's fine. It's the only scenario is makes sense because one incident and his ass is DFA the money is so light. Anything more than that, easy, easy pass.
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Sox still looking at Puig?
tell parkman to hand your account back over.
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Sox still looking at Puig?
what? isn't he just commenting on the puig rumors?
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Sox still looking at Puig?
honestly I can't give them the benefit of the doubt on any FA signing but if it was for this cuban guy with Jose and EE around and Rick el jefe I would have to give them the benefit of the doubt. I'd be OK with it for like 1 year 8 million because at that point if he goes nuclear you just DFA his ass it's so cheap. That's it. He has to be able to do better than that. Or maybe because of his attitude he really can't.
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Sox still looking at Puig?
maybe, but why? spend the money on pitching or make a trade for price and eat some cash.
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Sox still looking at Puig?
just however they calculate their ran values for dwar on their site. I honestly don't know I'm not even sure if it's average runs or above replacement. Either way he's not good and it's backed up by the fans that watch him daily. He's kinda like Rios. Talented, but a head case. Except alex was just kinda spacey, Puig has the potential to legit explode a MLB locker room. Enticing player for many reasons but also a silly, ridiculous risk imo. You already have a younger, more stable RF that could break out in Mazara, you just signed another good bat in EE, why the hell you want Puig?
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Sox still looking at Puig?
I agree 100%. Like maybe there is a 5 WAR season in him -- but the Sox are not in a position to find out. Maybe at mid season if he's performing...
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Sox still looking at Puig?
He can't play defense. He's -15 runs in RF the last two years via Fangraphs metric. He is lazy, doesn't follow the scouting reports, and takes bad routes. He's got an arm tho.
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Sox still looking at Puig?
He's not good. That's the problem. People still have this idea in their head (not all but many) that he's this dynamic 5 WAR talent still in his prime. He's produced 3 WAR in his last 300 games. If he was still good, he'd already be on a roster, but, he's not. He'll be lucky to sign a 1 year deal for around 8-12 million.
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Sox Officially Sign Edwin Encarnacion (1YR/$12M), Kodi Medeiros DFA
On paper Sox' 2019 offseason looks a lot like the 2018 one the Twins did last year. Brought in good players at the start of their contending window while banking on improvement from the youngsters. Just need to sign Cruz's doctor and maybe the Sox will set the MLB HR record.
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Keuchel to Sox, 3 years, 55.55 million; 4th year team option
If I could lock in 27 starts, 160 innings, a 4.20 ERA I'd do it. Just eat some innings and keep the team in the game. On paper the offense should be more than capable of winning a few games 7-5.
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Sox Officially Sign Edwin Encarnacion (1YR/$12M), Kodi Medeiros DFA
would be an ISO of 120, which might be a tick high but I think he's going to hit about 8-10 HR in the cell next summer. If they "unjuice" the ball a bit maybe that goes to 5 and he's closer to 270/320/370, which as a plus baserunner and defensive 2B wouldn't be be bad for a rookie. Obviously I'd be hoping for more of everything (power, patience, average) as he matures.
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Sox Officially Sign Edwin Encarnacion (1YR/$12M), Kodi Medeiros DFA
feels good to be out of the fucking wilderness.
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Sox Officially Sign Edwin Encarnacion (1YR/$12M), Kodi Medeiros DFA
270/320/390 with about +5 runs on the bases, +10 runs over an average defender at 2B and over 500 PA should be good for about 2.5 WAR.
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Sox still looking at Puig?
Have. Some. Articles. Imagine this happening this fall in Chicago and it helps cost the Sox a championship:
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Sox still looking at Puig?
Difference between the two is that TA is beloved by his team mates and Puig is tolerated at best. Serious rumblings about Puig being as prickly towards his own team as the opposition the last few years.
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Sox still looking at Puig?
Puig is barely a better player at this point than Mazara and comes with serious red flags in the clubhouse, one of a few guys in MLB I'd label a real distraction. No chance they bring him in, no room on the roster, no upside long or short term, and possible clubhouse problems on top of it.
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Sox Officially Sign Edwin Encarnacion (1YR/$12M), Kodi Medeiros DFA
OK I'm completely happy with the Mazara trade now that this is the other side of it. Team has some real big league depth now and didn't have to handcuff themselves to any long term commitments. There's still a huge question mark in the rotation but on paper the lineup looks as good as anything since 2006.
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Castellanos to Reds , rumored 4/64M
this should be pinned.