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Balta1701

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Everything posted by Balta1701

  1. Exercising outdoors is one place where if you can keep 6 feet of distance I think you're probably in good shape, even if the person passing you is wearing no mask. Even if you get a little bit from someone, it's unlikely to be an infectious dose, and air currents will stir it up pretty quick, and it won't survive all that long in sunlight although how long we're not sure. I'm more worried about outdoor surfaces than outdoor air, and far more worried about anything indoor than that.
  2. I'm doing grocery runs and Dr. runs and that's it for anything other than walking the dog. But it's clearly noticeable how there are fewer masks and fewer precautions than even 2 weeks ago here. I'd say 1/3 of Kroger and 60% of Aldi customers had masks. I had masks, gloves, and a sanitizer strategy, and will for the foreseeable future apparently. We can see people having familial get-togethers in our neighborhood. I seriously feel like "luck" is the plan at this point here because everyone's convinced it's over and wasn't a big deal to begin with, and maybe that works but...?
  3. I don't know numbers about India, but Spain's newly identified caseload yesterday is 1/3 of what it was at their peak. There's a good chance that any individual traveler from Spain might be clean, you just have to worry about how to deal with them in groups. If the US has decided they're going to go up in cases and not down, then within a few weeks it's going to be so prevalent for the US that you can't make that assumption, instead you have to assume that every individual traveler from the US probably has it and just not import them at all. Even a 21 day quarantine still puts your health services at risk.
  4. At this point in this country, it's just a matter of hoping that the cases don't explode. We've given up. Maybe summer will help? If not, then the rest of the world is going to basically wall off the US and treat us as completely contaminated for the next year.
  5. If a stylist actually is an asymptomatic carrier, and they're breathing through a mask in close proximity to you, indoors, for 20-30 minutes, you've got a good chance of getting it. These aren't gas masks.
  6. Yes, but it tells you an important message. It’s not a random sample, but when you have a person insisting that way more people have been infected than we know (see the last post), this is pretty strongly inconsistent. and even though it’s not a random sample, it’s telling you that there are enough people out there to do New York scale outbreaks everywhere, several times.
  7. Germany loosened some restrictions this week and because they have an advanced testing setup they are already seeing a spike in cases the last 2 days. https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2020-05-09/outbreaks-in-germany-s-korea-show-the-risks-in-easing-up
  8. Let’s also never forget that the white Sox did some incredibly high risk stuff with Fulmer. Aggressive push to AA, reworking delivery mechanics, then calling him up to the big leagues to save the bullpen on the collapsing 2016 team when he was still struggling with the revamped mechanics as a starter. What has Fulmers problem been? Repeating mechanics and control, exactly the kind of thing that could be triggered by changing a guys mechanics and not giving him reps to adapt to them. Maybe he never would have amounted to anything, but he had a good arm and good movement on stuff, so he at least had a chance, and that was just about the worst bunch of things you could do for that players’ development.
  9. I think on a lot of these you're right. I don't know about the common cold part, but yeah stadiums, trains, planes, church, restaurants, movies, these all sound terrible right now. I was reading this piece today and they showed how having 1 person infected in a restaurant, where people sit for a couple hours, or in an office where people are for a day, led to large numbers of other infections based on the airflow directions, including infections well outside of 6 feet. So yeah, 2 hours in a movie theater? Talk to me when either the US has gotten cases down near zero like well-run countries, or when a vaccine is available. https://erinbromage.wixsite.com/covid19/post/the-risks-know-them-avoid-them
  10. So South Korea today is something. They've mostly re-opened stuff, including nightclubs in Seoul. One infected individual went clubbing last weekend, and so far they have tested about 600 of the people he was potentially in contact with that night and found 40 cases. They have something like 1400 people to track down, and they're struggling because even though the clubs had sign-ins, much of the information was incorrect or false, so now they've got to find all those people and then start tracing every single contact for the ones who became infected. They've also re-closed nightclubs for 30 days. It's hard to avoid thinking of the now-open restaurants and businesses in the US with this.
  11. That’s the right move for now, but you can’t “no comment” it if a season starts, you have to either have a responsible country that got it under control (out of the question) or have an answer to it.
  12. I would certainly hope they would as the VP would have to stop all travel in case the President needs disabling treatment. I don’t like either but crisis mode in a nuclear power is a bad thing. People would also notice if either all his aides disappeared from him if he was asymptomatic or if he stopped making public appearances for weeks. But hell guys go on wear no masks. If both the president and Vice President are on ventilators we get a president Pelosi for a few days.
  13. You're posting this today? We're already up to Katie Miller, the Vice President's spokesperson and Stephen Miller (Immigration Nazi)'s wife today. They at least temporarily pulled people off the Vice President's plane prior to flying to Iowa after she tested positive. So all those times when they aren't wearing masks around people...
  14. New paper preprint suggests that one of the main ways the virus is transmitted is from people to surfaces, where is survives long enough to pass on. Plastic and steel are the worst surfaces tested.
  15. I'm sure they've thought of it but I still haven't seen a clear answer from any of the major sports about this issue. If MLB clearly had a case crop up through them, they'd potentially be exposing themselves to an awful lot of liability legally, and could you imagine the bad press if a manager or coach or player died?
  16. Philly didn't offer $330 until March or so, that was the "put this on the table and we'll get it done" day. The White Sox's meeting with him was in December. The rumor at the time was the White Sox hadn't spoken to Boras since early January when things were getting finished.
  17. They started off thinking that Machado could be had for $175 million and Harper for something like $200 million. When they sat down with Boras, whether they made an official offer or not, it was clear by the end that it would take a Giancarlo level deal to sign him, so the White Sox never made a formal offer. By the time things got serious with Harper, as usual Boras leaked all the teams that were remotely involved to try to make sure that the bids were pushed as high as they could be, and the White Sox weren't even mentioned by the people Boras leaks to. They were never close.
  18. Ewing's playing weight was something like 255, and he had a better in-between shooting game than Shaq. I could see Ewing being a guy who would benefit from the current league, especially if he didn't have Pippen occasionally annihilating him.
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