Balta1701

If you’re doubling every 4 days versus every 6 days, You still wind up in the same place. Limiting isn’t enough, you have to fully break the exponential trend.

Then we needed to act far more aggressively a week ago. If people are living their lives right now and doing anything other than social distancing, the exponential growth will continue.

Unless there’s an effect of heat, it won’t.

If you can’t expect that, then you can expect a few million deaths. We can’t fix that problem now, we have to treat the emergency situation. Figure the rest out once we have limited the explosion.

If you had perhaps supported me a week and a half ago when I argued for major travel shutdowns I might agree. But now? It’s everywhere. If you have people going to the store in Pierre South Dakota, or going to work in St Louis, they will pass it along.

this is what was done in Italy and we already know it completely failed.

Now I have to wonder about this guy's expertise. Yes, MERS was a coronavirus that didn't show strong seasonality, but a type of coronavirus can cause the common cold and that has a strong seasonality to it. So the correct answer is "we don't know but we can hope".

The short answer is we dont' know. A vaccine is an 18 month proposition. And while maintaining these measures long-term doesn't seem like an option, neither does having to burn bodies because there is no place to dispose of them. According to the Wall Street Journal, the death rate in Lombardy, Italy is currently standing around 5%. There's probably some asymptomatic people that they're missing, but that's what happens when the hospitals are swamped. Worries about 6 months down the road, or an economic stimulus package - all of those are completely the wrong worry right now. To use the appropriate metaphor, when a person has been shot, you don't worry about the infection they may develop a couple days down the road - you deal with the fact that they're bleeding to death. Watch what is happening in Wuhan. They shut the area down for nearly 2 months. They are gradually starting to reopen factories right now, which will probably trigger other transmission and infection. But, if they keep it at a manageable rate, then the death rate stays down. We may get lucky and get a reprieve from heat in the summer, but we don't know enough about the bug to say yet. There have also been some unconfirmed reports of people in China getting sick more than once, which could imply that building immunity might be difficult as different strands start to circulate. There's a reason the stock market plummets every time we get a speech about the economic part of it, because no one wants to hear about that or care about it. That part doesn't matter until you stop the bleeding. Right now, the number of cases is doubling every couple days. We already know that some areas are about to be swamped by cases infected this week, we can't let the whole country have that happen.

one of the officials worked the Jazz game a few days ago and may feel sick? im going to bed, any predictions for who is sick in the morning?

JFC. I'm seeing he was taken to the hospital midgame.

Fair enough. I'll give Gobert the tens of thousands of blocked shots.

OTOH, if this is the thing that gets the regular people who have been saying this is no big deal to suddenly say "whoa wait a minute maybe this is serious", Rudy Gobert could have just saved a ton of lives. I have to go out tomorrow to pick up my 90 day prescription supplies, but I'm going to start hiding tomorrow.

Apparently Rudy Gobert has now won DPOY.

I’m morbidly curious if we might hit the “all trading stops” break point.

Plummeted over 1000 dows now. Started right at the end of presidential address.

There is no earthly way Zoom can handle this bandwidth explosion.

I think this is the craziest single day since the 2008 financial crisis.

I have a sadistic urge to bump the “Why has Hahn failed” thread from the middle of the offseason and add this detail.

Gobert tested positive and there’s your first actual player. Do we think any of the MLB players want to be next and then take it home to their families?

Balta, Balta, Balta, you seriously need to stop being so positive. 2 weeks? 7 hours dude, 7 hours.

And there goes the NBA season apparently

This is nuts and such an obvious version of the “its not a big deal” response.