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Balta1701

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Everything posted by Balta1701

  1. Tom Brady is not taking less to come to the Bears this year I think we all know that. If he's giving a team a discount he can simply stay with the Pats; if he leaves it's because he's tired of giving the Pats a discount and wants to be paid and treated like the GOAT. And those 2 moves still leave the Bears not having enough cap space to sign Brady and their draft picks. So keep going, you need another $8 million more, maybe $13 million more if someone like Oakland pushes Brady's deal up to the highest QB salary in the league.
  2. He'd be sensible but seriously, how do you get Tom Brady when you have $15 million in cap space total right now? You've got to clear $30 million for Brady before even counting your draft holds, so where is that extra $15 million going to come from?
  3. If the White Sox make the playoffs 4 straight years, reaching the ALCS 2x, winning 1 trophy, and then losing in 1 WC round, before either guys get too expensive or injuries and performance issues start piling up, I will consider this rebuild an unmitigated success and congratulate Rick Hahn on his adroit trades and free agent spending.
  4. Foles's contract is so big I can't figure out how the Bears could make it work this year. I don't know all the details of cap hits and trades, but he's sitting on a $15 million salary this year, so taking that contract on means the Bears need something like $15 million in cap space available and they're right up against it. There are ways they could do that a-la what happened with Tannehill - converting a whole lot of that contract to a signing bonus so that it gets stuck onto the Jags's cap in 2020 and 2021, but compared to going out and just signing a Dalton or a Mariota, Foles seems to be much harder to work with. I could see one of the teams with a lot of cap space (Miami? Tampa Bay? Buffalo?) being willing to take him on if the Jags threw in a draft pick or two as a sweetener and that would be far easier.
  5. Of course not. We'll have >10k tests done by the end of the week most likely because now we're allowing states to do them on their own. That will mean likely several hundred additional cases discovered, depending on how good of a job they've done finding the thousands that are out there. LOL no. Our system is built on the premise that you should tough it out through as many illnesses as you can, to do otherwise is overuse.
  6. I like Vaughn just fine, but if the White Sox had Burger destroying the minors and moved him to 1b and also had CJ Abrams in their system now as a consequence, I'd be totally ok with having 2 solid prospects as opposed to 1.
  7. The lesson from places like Japan and Singapore is the opposite - that it is possible to at least slow it down, if not stop it, through aggressive tracking and appropriate quarantine. What's really going to matter from that is that the US doesn't maintain excess capacity in its health care system. So, if it travels rapidly through the US, the US doesn't have the resources to handle that response other than sending people home. And the failures at the CDC combined with the US health care system being so poorly designed for this, it's going to kill people. Finally, just remember when you tell people "it's not going to be bad", those of us who have compromised immune systems also hear "if you die it's fine because I won't".
  8. Ok, with what we know as of right now it is clear there has been a complete failure of public health systems in this country and it will eventually cost lives, possibly in the hundreds of thousands. We are going to see a skyrocketing number of cases this week in the US from people who have been sick but not recognized, and unless the US follows the Korean/Italian/Chinese model and begins fully shutting down areas right now, the virus will spread from there. This is clearly on the CDC. They have made a number of enormous mistakes at this point. 1. Approximately 20 cases came back from China and nearby in various stages since late January. It is now clear that these cases were not contained in the US. We have a cluster in Washington that started in late January, we have a cluster in California that started at some point (not known yet), we have a case in San Antonio of an infected person being allowed to leave quarantine, and we have a whistleblower report saying that the quarantine techniques used in California were crap. Local and regional hospitals and health care centers are not trained or equipped to deal with epidemic control, they rely on the CDC for equipment and expertise, and it's now clear that there have been multiple failures over the course of a month+. An 80% success rate in this case is not nearly acceptable. 2. Had #1 not happened the rest of these might not have mattered as much, but #1 makes this far more important. Although the World Health Organization was offering countries test kits, the US did not accept them and said they could produce their own. The CDC produced a few, but many of them had an issue that prevented their use. This week there will be dozens of labs in the US finally set up to do these tests, but the US hasn't been able to effectively test for this disease at all for the entire month. 3. The CDC gave orders not to test people unless they had specifically returned from an infected region; their orders were based on the assumption that there could not be any community transmission. While other countries have done tens of thousands of screenings, through the end of last week the US is at something like 100 or less. So even if people in WA felt sick in mid-Feb when that cluster could have been recognized, they either weren't treated or they weren't identified. It's only now that they're ramping up to a few thousand completed tests, and we don't know what fraction of those might have had production issues. Altogether it is now virtually certain that there are clusters of several hundred people sick in both Washington and California, and maybe elsewhere as well. Worse, we know the Washington one has been around for a month, meaning there was a round of people sick in mid-February and literally 0 of those cases were recognized, so the people who are being recognized as being sick right now are the 3rd or 4th generation of ill folks in that area. The California one may have been around for that long. At this point, tracking down the connections over the full last month in those zones would be literally impossible. The only option to contain this right now is to close down basically the entire US west coast and start testing everyone who goes to a doctor for anything, while quarantining those who do test positive. If we don't shut down those areas today, people will transmit it today. There will be people who go to work today and get infected, who go to school today and get infected, and that will be the case every day. Now that it's clear these clusters are out there, the worst parts of the US health care system - the high costs that motivate people to avoid seeking care, the lack of paid time off for illnesses that force people to come to work even if they're not 100% - those will now make this worse. There has been a clear breakdown at the CDC. Whether it's because of budget cuts or because they received orders to not do anything large scale because that might make the politicians look bad, who knows, but the failure has now happened. There should be investigations and people should lose their jobs, but there isn't even time for that right now. Right now, countries all over are finding patients infected from Italy and Iran - in about a week or two that's going to be happening with US based travelers. So in other words, Greg, go ahead and panic.
  9. This just isn't true. Yolmer struck out in nearly 25% of his at bats last year. If you drop that to 5% (close enough to Madrigal's range and I'm using round numbers) that comes to an extra 30 hits per year. Without changing anything else in Yolmer's contact profile, if all he did was strike out 5% of the time rather than 25% of the time, he would have hit .311 last year.
  10. So you're thinking the starting pitching is going to be bad?
  11. The idea of Chris Sale getting sick and losing 10 lbs is perhaps the most terrifying concept possible.
  12. That could be the luxury tax number which is higher since some contracts like Robert and Jiminez inflate over time and the luxury tax number is the average?
  13. I'm not sure I believe the 1-3% number, because it's a lot easier to underreport sick people than dead people. But one other important factor is hospitalization. The rate of severely sick people, needing medical treatment, is something like 20% on the reported cases, which might mean it's like 5-10% of the full number who do get sick. If you're getting a few dozen extra people visiting your hospital because of flu season that's one thing...but what happens when 1000 people show up at your local hospital and each need 7 days of treatment? If all the precautions do is slow down the infection rate, it makes it more manageable.
  14. There's always some line items i can't follow but I think the Spottrac version probably captures most of it, and that lists $120m. https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/chicago-white-sox/payroll/
  15. Next year. Basically they said if the team wants him back they get him back at $3.5, but in exchange for him giving that up they gave him $250k.
  16. https://www.theplayerstribune.com/en-us/articles/ben-gordon-mental-health-nba Ben Gordon talking about thinking constantly about suicide after his last season.
  17. I don't know how these guys will end up doing, but their pitching staff is loaded with recent top 50 prospects. They're one of the highest ranked systems still even with Tatis having graduated. Pitching development and injury is a crapshoot as we've seen, but the players are there.
  18. I specifically brought up Freeman because the comment on Vaughn was "He's only around 100th in the league in exit velocity and that won't produce 50 HR's". Both Freeman and just for good measure Paul Goldschmidt have been right in that same range.
  19. They have some really bad money in there, but Machado certainly can be an elite player worth his money, and they have a large load of talent comparable to ours arriving at various points over the next year or two. If they cannot make a move in the NL West within the next 2 years, that's an abject failure of player development.
  20. That's one of those things a GM should say even if they are 100% maxed out down to the last cent. "Oh Mr. Holt I'm sorry the White Sox said publicly that they're maxed out, I guess you'll have to take a discount with us" says the Brewers GM.
  21. I very clearly have no idea what photo you're referring to as that was the only ST photo of him I saw...but as you can see from my post, if you want to highlight whatever it is that has terrified you, this board will embed the IG image.
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