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Everything posted by Balta1701
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WTF? I have no idea wh at this means. Theoretically I can get a gallon of milk for $1 but since it's $2 I don't have milk? Put a reasonable number on your post. If you don't know what that is, ask and we can talk about it.
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Bumgarner is going to be something close to $20 million per year and a $100 million deal. Maybe a little less, could see $80 and $18 million per year. You are underestimating the cost of these pitchers by half.
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There is no earthly way Wheeler gets anything close to that little, and I wouldn't pay that much for Avi.
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I hope he rips that team apart somehow.
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I will say this every time someone says this around me; we have no way of knowing this, you are simply saying that you believe tetrahydrogenstrinone is an honest person and you can take his word about being clean. You're saying sure he lied about part of his career but I believe him about the rest of it. There is no reason why we should just assume that he only started doing steroids when he went on the THG. He could absolutely have cycled on and off of various products before. He and other guys could have been using that stuff all the way back in high school. Some of these guys had no one ever suspecting them until they were named by Canseco because not every steroid makes your head size change - Palmeiro had the benefit of the doubt until he tested positive for a steroid that people used specifically because it didn't make your body explode, and that just happened to be the same one Canseco said he used. Palmeiro used that because the physical effects weren't as obvious as some of the other stuff. If you believe the quote in the book about Bonds having dinner with Griffey and saying he was going to "go on the hard stuff" after the 98 season HR chase, that line could easily mean that he had been doing softer stuff repeatedly throughout his career and it was time to switch it up.
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This is literally exactly, to the letter, the logic of the 2015 and 2016 white sox. "We'll trade everything we possibly can afford to give up for one more star (Samardzija/Frazier) and then we'll just bring the positions that were gaping holes the year before up to average and that will be good enough." Melky Cabrera, David Robertson, Adam LaRoche come in to do that job in 2015, Jimmy Rollins, Austin Jackson, Mat Latos, Avila/Navarro come in to do that job in 2016.
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Mike Tomlin is the 2nd best coach in the NFL.
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He was, but a good defensive performance can make a really good QB appear as "Same old Mitch". That was solid defensive work by the Packers and the Bears didn't seem to help with their game plan. It was 1/16th of a season. If a guy is hitting .100 after 10 games in baseball you don't declare his season a bust. If a guy is hitting .150 around Memorial day you get concerned and move him to the cleanup spot for the next month. If he's hitting around .150 half way through the season then you release him.
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We haven't yet seen enough of him this season to evaluate all of those, but last night his footwork was improved while he also struggled with 3/4 on some important plays. Whether that was this defense, rust, or something systematic we need a season to evaluate. But you're 100% right there should be substantial improvement on the others.
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Not at all. Baseball America had the Astros 25th in 2011 when they really started their rebuild - 26th was this team named the Chicago White Sox, so their system was "as bad as the White Sox" which is pretty darn terrible. The Cubs were a little better (around 15th) thanks to Starlin Castro but the thing that mattered for that team was that they flipped Andrew Cashner for Anthony Rizzo in a trade that looked suspicious at the time and still does.
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With the talent they brought in from those trades and how close it was to the big leagues, I genuinely thought year 3 would look a lot better than this. Maybe not in the playoffs but at least over .500. Said so at the time. Absolutely better than this. Other rebuilding teams needed longer, but none of them had the huge infusion of high minor league level talent that the White Sox got in those 3 trades. The Cubs were in the world series in Epstein's year 4 and although he got an assist from Hoyer robbing the Padres, I thought we should have been able to recover faster than them. So, year 4 - we better be ready to do some damage, because 4 years was the Cubs standard and 5 years was the Astros.
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The problem remains the same one as Moncada: he already got $26 million. Eloy signed for $2.8 million. If you already have $26 million, $43 million is a good amount of money, but if you originally signed for $2.8 million, $43 million guaranteed is life-changing. Robert has 0 good reason to give up any years of free agency for a moderate guarantee like Eloy did because he's already banked so much money in his original signing bonus. Once he's up and established, if we wanted to start talking about a $150 million or $200 million deal that buys out a couple years of FA for him (Mike Trout did this), that's far more plausible.
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The rules changed after Castillo was signed, there was no "Multi-year penalty box" which affected your other international signings at that time, nor was there the large over-limit fees.
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Well, for the Bears it seems like a good thing their big trade was for Mack and not for Brown.
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If that was the case (it wasn't), the fact that they knew they needed to fill those positions and then did such an awful job of filling them does not raise one's confidence.
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You know what's really worrying me right now? It's the feeling like they're falling back into old habits. What have been my complaints for years with this team? That they haven't coached guys on fundamentals, their minor league system is basically lazy, they haven't drilled guys enough, they just expect people to figure things out on their own. Last night, key baserunning blunder by guys who should know better - not by the rookies. Anderson had 3 errors in June, and has had 8 since he came back at the end of July. The team brings in "analytics people" and then the manager tells the team to F*** off with those suggestions publicly without being fired for saying F*** off to a program his bosses should be working with. Go ahead and believe I'm too panicky about this, it would just be really nice to see competitive baseball again next year and there's enough here that they could make good signings and still have their poor fundamentals and poor coaching and lack of leadership sabotage their season.
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he's an ok player but everyone remembers him lighting up the league his first year so they think of him as far better than he is. Since his first year, his OPS is right around .800, this year it's only .767, which is below average for a RF. His defense is average at best. This year he's literally 1 win, below average player according to baseball-reference's version which is the only one I have open. He doesn't balance out our RH/LH hitting issue where Moncada and Collins are the only lefties available for the roster. If you sign him for a small amount that's ok, but anything more than Avi Garcia money and you're signing him out of the hopes that he has better in him.
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More important than them "Not having the money" is that they may want to use that money somewhere else (Cole or Stras).
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I know the White Sox won't do this, but I'd use that money on a starting pitcher. Anyway, what strong outside hitter do you think actually exists as a difference maker? Ozuna is the best available corner OF, but he certainly hasn't been a difference-maker the last 2 years. None of the guys who people have talked about trading for or signing to fill the corner OF spot are anything close to difference makers. There's no 5 win corner OF on the free agent market this offseason, so what kind of difference maker are you thinking of? Are you planning to move Vaughn as a key piece for this?
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You don't need any of them to be "can't miss" right now, you need 1 of them to be an average player. Out of those 4 guys, maybe we've got a 50% shot of covering RF for us, and if we cover RF with an average player who is cheap for 3-4 years, that's a big win.
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This is literally why it's useful to go to the advanced defensive stats, because "lots of mistakes on easy plays" and "makes some high range, low chance plays" will both feed into the balance. So when both DRS and UZR are saying "He's average to slightly below average and substantially worse than in 2018" you're getting a more complete picture than either stat can provide. He's average to slightly below average because either: his range is making up for some of the errors, or because his errors are counterbalancing his range, however you want to look at it.
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I would rather spend the money on a stop-gap 1 year solution like Alex Gordon than trade something from the mid-levels of our system. Those guys have been banged up and inconsistent but I'd be surprised if there are 0 ballplayers in that 6-15 range, and getting 1 of them to turn into a tolerable ballplayer or a better trade asset in the future is far more valuable to me than a little more upside in 2020. Especially when our payroll is so low right now. Throw Gordon or Calhoun out there (if non-tendered or available for something outside the top 30), let them play for a year, and then re-evaluate.
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While they're subjective, they also are a really big deal. They let people on base who otherwise wouldn't be. They give up multiple bases at a time. They give the opposition an extra out. Sometimes they put a run on the board directly. 10 extra errors over the course of a season could easily be more than a win given away.
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The basic problem is I said that last year and he got worse, substantially, with the sloppy plays and errors. He looked like he was showing improvmeent in the 2nd half of 2018 and he's gone downhill noticeably from there this year. So given that the White Sox are almost certain to do "absolutely nothing" to help improve this, do we just tolerate SS who should be way better than he is, but who is mediocre at best because he's so sloppy? When the org won't work with people on things, I don't know what the answer is.
