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mr_genius

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Everything posted by mr_genius

  1. QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Feb 13, 2011 -> 03:26 PM) And if you simply read Gallup's numbers, you'd think we'd be going into a depression every year in Jan/Feb. Each survey is telling you something, these 2 are essentially telling you the same thing, as long as you understand the adjustments that are made to them. if that's the case, when do they reconcile? care to make a prediction?
  2. QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Feb 13, 2011 -> 01:32 PM) Because January/Feb is typically at the down-turn of a non-seasonally-adjusted employment number, since it's right after the X-mas layoffs. It really doesn't tell you anything more than the BLS number; they're pretty much telling you the exact same thing, and the BLS numbers sample a much large pool of employers/employees. BLS samples 60k from what i know. Gallup is 30k. So you are telling me that the BLS is going to normalize to the Gallup? You know, based on the BLS stats, we could lose a sum of 50k jobs next month and unemployment would still magically decrease. even with a number of +125,000 needed just to keep pace with new entrants into the job market.
  3. whats your point lol? the link was obviously posted to show a different method.
  4. Gallup has unemployment at 10.2 / Underemployment at 19.7 http://www.gallup.com/poll/125639/Gallup-D...-Workforce.aspx
  5. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y64gknQX7rE haha
  6. QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Feb 10, 2011 -> 01:58 PM) No, but the lobbyists do care whether or not you've ever been a member of or been associated with the party they don't support. The K street project made sure that the lobbyists understood that. no one is following DeLay's K street reform. it was even made illegal. can't interfere with the bribe brocess, brah. that is one thing both parties can agree on.
  7. QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Feb 10, 2011 -> 07:47 AM) serving in the Senate might hurt...you're associated with a political party once you've done that politicians don't care if they get bribe money from someone who used to be a member of the other party. the main thing to them is that they get bribe money.
  8. QUOTE (Cknolls @ Feb 9, 2011 -> 11:01 AM) Add another to the list. http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/021...reelection.html This seems certain to set up an Allen vs. Kaine election, no? he probably wants to get his career as a lobbyist started
  9. QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Feb 5, 2011 -> 11:08 AM) Senate votes 81-17 in favor of preserving $22 billion in tax breaks for oil drilling. http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/01/...ers-and-losers/ tax rates per industry
  10. QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Feb 6, 2011 -> 09:08 PM) Neither team dominated, the team that didn't give up 3 TO's won. yea, those turnovers were huge.
  11. Aaron Rodgers is real good
  12. big drop. but makes up for it
  13. wow. i hope they aren't paying this halftime band
  14. QUOTE (Quinarvy @ Feb 6, 2011 -> 06:41 PM) My ears were too busy bleeding to notice. ^^^
  15. QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Feb 6, 2011 -> 05:25 PM) Ok, the win was the under on the length of the anthem (1:54 was the bet, 1:51 was the length) and over on the length she holds the word Brave (0:06 was the bet, 0:09 was the time). you have a gambling problem
  16. +36,000 is way worse than predicted. but tons of people are falling out of the labor market, so the rate goes down. it's just how they count someone as unemployed.
  17. haha. i actually think that was pretty good.
  18. QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Feb 1, 2011 -> 04:05 PM) Really, you think the Republican Party (especially the religious wing) is going to be willing to leave Israel out to dry? Give you an example. Right now, presumptive Republican presidential nomination contender Mike Huckabee is in Israel and giving speeches opposing the revolution in Egypt, solely on the grounds that it could damage Israel's security. Give you another example. John McCain came up with a list of $60 billion in "earmarks" he wanted eliminated int he 2008 election. Rapidly, it was pointed out that under his definition of earmarks, all aid to Israel would be eliminated since Congress specifies where that goes. That was pretty much the last you heard of that list, and we were back onto the more normal $20 billion in earmarks to be eliminated. I definitely think it could. Huckabee is indeed shilling for Israel right now, but he will change his tune if it starts to damage him. McCain, the GOP pres candidate, faced a primary battle for re-election. Should have been uncontested. GOP voters have already shown they will turn on big spending Republicans. Just a matter of time before the foreign aid issue comes to the front. Now, foreign aid is a small percent of the deficit, but that doesn't matter if the majority of primary voters see it as a big deal. Last time it was health care reform, next time it will be other spending issues. Foreign aid is just so unpopular right now and candidates are going to start using it for leverage to get elected.
  19. QUOTE (lostfan @ Jan 30, 2011 -> 07:08 PM) Yeah, I see where he's going with this, never happening though. I don't care if Dennis Kucinich was elected president. I think it can happen. The Dems are going to be the only ones holding it up. GOP voters are cleaning house, no more foreign aid or get voted out.
  20. The health insurance mandate has to be a tax if anything. I definitely don't want to go down this bulls*** path of forcing people to buy f***ing corporate services.
  21. mr_genius replied to Brian's topic in SLaM
    QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jan 30, 2011 -> 07:49 PM) WTF

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