RME JICO

I check that link regularly. Also, they use PECOTA projections too: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/ps_oddspec.php

I just wonder how much the Sox are willing to spend on a new LF or SS when Uribe and Pods are fairly cheap. Crede is due a raise and all the escalating contracts will go up next year, so it will be interesting to see how this all plays out.

QUOTE(LosMediasBlancas @ Aug 14, 2006 -> 12:20 PM) My co worker was at yesterday's game and said Anderson threw a ball into the CF stands and that a Tiger's fan caught it and threw it back at BA, barely missing him. I guess a few Sox fans pounded this guy until security arrived and kicked him out. Anyone see this? Thats classic, what an idiot.

Actually if you look at some of the Tigers message boards, most of the realistic fans tipped their hats to the Sox. The Tigers still have not been able to beat the elite teams in the league.

QUOTE(supernuke @ Aug 14, 2006 -> 02:09 AM) Hmmm, Both of them were born on Jan. 28, 1974. Fraternal twins separated at birth?

It seems like there are drawbacks to each, but which one gives the Sox the best path to the World Series?

I hope Boston takes 2 of 3. That way the Sox can maintain their lead on the Sawks while gaining on the Tigers.

QUOTE(DBAH0 @ Aug 13, 2006 -> 06:49 AM) There are lots of similarities right now b/w the Tigers and what we went thru at this point last season. We need to keep the pressure on them right now, and keep winning series after series. Doesn't matter if it's 2 out of 3, just find a way to keep winnin em. Fantastic oppurtunity to take another game off that lead with Miner on the hill, and he hasn't been good. If Freddy can only give up 3 or 4ER, that might be enough for us, but the offense will have to do their job as well, which they have all season long. Hopefully that trend continues. I wouldn't say there are a lot of similarities, maybe a few. The Sox had a 12 game lead (13 in the loss column) over Cleveland on August 13th. Detroit only has us by 6.5 (6 in the loss column). That is a huge difference. Also, the Sox only played Cleveland 6 times after August 1st going 4-2. Cleveland was making up ground without beating us, the Sox can actually do damage both ways. I agree that as long as the Sox keep winning series they are going to chip away at this lead. 8 more games vs Detroit, winning 5 at this point would be huge. Hopefully Ozzie won't leave Freddy in for the token 3 run 6th/7th inning.

The NL is so weak that the Marlins can easily overcome that many games with 47 games left. The only thing against them is their schedule (no games vs PIT or CHC).

Past WC Teams to make the WS (since 95): 2005 - HOU 2004 - BOS* 2003 - FLA* 2002 - LAA* & SF 2000 - NYM 1997 - FLA* Actually I like the Sox taking the WC. That more than likely sends Detroit to the West Coast for a few games in the ALDS, while the Sox take on the Yanks or Sawks.

QUOTE(Benchwarmerjim @ Aug 9, 2006 -> 03:50 PM) actually, after they moved Liriano from the pen to the rotation, he was on a pitch limit for the first 3 or 4 starts to strech out his arm Liriano Pitch Count for first 10 starts: 68 - MIL 83 - SEA 105 - LAA 91 - SEA 98 - BAL 101 - PIT 97 - HOU 86 - LAD 103 - MIL 95 - TEX So you are talking about stretching him out with 105 pitches in his third start? I would've assumed that he would've stayed around 80 pitches for the first couple, then 90 for a few more. 105 pitches in his 3rd start out of the pen seems pretty quick. If there was a pitch limit it must have been around 105 then.

Today from Yahoo Sports: This sounds like more than a muscle strain.

QUOTE(Steve9347 @ Aug 11, 2006 -> 09:50 AM) yes How is the Central vs the East if you take out games against the Devil Rays? You gotta look at it both ways. The East (excluding TB) is 30-34 vs the Central (excluding KC). Central Overall Record - 300-268 (.528) East Overall Record - 291-278 (.511)

The East is 60-53 vs the Central, but KC accounts for 20 of those wins. So the East vs the Central excluding KC: 40-45. The East is slightly over-rated IMO.

All 5 players are really solid with RISP: Thome .354 BA, .487 OBP, .756 SLG, 1.243 OPS Dye .359 BA, .427 OBP, .709 SLG, 1.136 OPS Konerko .371 BA, .437 OBP, .649 SLG, 1.086 OPS Crede .365 BA, .409 OBP, .552 SLG, .961 OPS Iguchi .337 BA, .400 OBP, .554 SLG, .954 OPS I have to go with Crede though. It just seems like he comes through the most when the Sox need a hit.

If the Sox can take 7 of 10 for the remainder of the year vs the Tigers, that would be huge. That is 2-1, 3-1, and 2-1 for the next three series. It would shave four games off the lead with only a 4 game difference in the loss column. The other games would have to be made up vs the other teams.

QUOTE(DBAH0 @ Aug 9, 2006 -> 06:49 AM) The infamous Dayn Perry wrote this about the stretch run home for the A.L contenders; So the schedule makers haven't been kind to us this season. Here are a few for Dayn: Current Playoff Contending Teams (Sox, DET, MIN, NYY, BOS, OAK, LAA) Head-to-Head Records: Sox 20-15 .571 LAA 19-16 .543 DET 22-22 .500 OAK 23-24 .489 NYY 16-17 .485 MIN 20-23 .465 BOS 13-16 .448 Away Games Remaining: Sox - 22 (Away Record 31-25) BOS - 22 (Away Record 30-29) MIN - 22 (Away Record 27-31) Boston's Last 11 games (4-7) vs LAA (1-2) * Extra innings win vs CLE (2-2) * Both wins from Carmona 9th inning meltdowns at TB (1-2) * Ortiz Homer in the 8th at KC (0-1)

The Sox have as good of a chance as anyone once the postseason starts. If the season ended today the ALDS matchups would be: OAK at DET Sox at NYY I like our chances, and especially with Detroit having to travel to Oakland for games 3 and possibly 4, then travel back to the Detroit to play the ALCS.

He came out of the bullpen and started throwing 100+ pitches a game, so this should come as no surprise. Especially since he has never thrown this many pitches before, and didn't really get a chance to build up his pitch count. I wouldn't be surprised if Verlander starts to tail off as well, not necessarily with an injury, but with arm fatigue because of the number of innings pitched. He has almost pitched 150 innings this year.

QUOTE(KJean @ Aug 8, 2006 -> 06:15 PM) Thanks! I know Felix, Scwible, and RME JICO have done a lot too. But thanks for your comment because I just recently started wondering if anyone was actually coming here looking for pictures. I guess so! And here's a few more from August 7th, 2006 vs LAA: KJean, keep it up, your work is definitely appreciated. I normally check the day after and if you have not posted, I try to post what is still available on CBS. Here is another one of Bobby from August 8th:

QUOTE(Steve9347 @ Aug 8, 2006 -> 07:13 PM) 13 of 20 might be a tad unrealistic. I was saying that 13 of 20 (now 12 of 19) would be about the max you could expect. If you expected more than that, it would be unrealistic (like 18 of 20). I also think with the Liriano situation and the struggling Sawks (just lost 3 straight vs TB and KC), the Sox have a real good chance of taking a big lead in the WC over these next few weeks.

QUOTE(Hangar18 @ Aug 8, 2006 -> 09:56 AM) So lets see. The SOX MUST GO 18-3 in their next 21. Currently are .... 0-1. Fine, get the one loss out of the way, reel off 10 in a row now in order to go 18-2 in their next 20 Why do the Sox need to go 18-2 in their next 20? That is totally unrealistic. If they win 13 of the next 20, with Liriano going to the DL and the Red Sox struggling, that would be huge. The only way the Tigers are going to be caught is if they lose and come back to the pack (which is still possible, but more unlikely by the day).

I understand that it seems like the offense is a problem, but even during the last 25 games which started with the Boston series before the ASB, the offense has averaged 4.72 runs per game. Before that stretch they were averaging 5.96 per game. So it is easy to see why the team has faltered. The offense carried the team with almost 6 runs a game for the first 85 games, then it slowed down to 4.72 per game. The offense is not perfect, but the pitching is still the #1 problem. Last 25 games - 5.32 ERA, first 75 games 4.32 ERA. Also, look at how many games the Sox score over 3 runs and lose. The last 7 losses the Sox have scored 3 or more runs and still lost. The offense has only been shutout twice the whole year.

LAA 0-1 NYY 2-1 DET 2-1 KC 3-1 MIN 1-2 DET 3-1 MIN 2-1 Total 13-8 Sox: 30 Home games, 22 Away games remaining 31 games vs winning teams, 21 vs losing teams 10 games vs Detroit 9 games vs Minnesota 3 games vs NYY 3 games vs Boston Notes about other teams remaining schedules: Minnesota - 24-30 vs winning teams, 32 games vs winning teams Minnesota - 26-31 Away, 24 Away games remaining Boston - 22-27 vs winning teams, 28 games vs winning teams New York - only 23 home games out of 54 games remaining Detroit - 31 out next 40 games vs winning teams (16 straight, 22 of 25, and 28 of 34) NYY and Boston play each other 9 times Minnesota and Detroit play each other 6 times Boston's Last 10 games (4-6) vs LAA (1-2) * Extra innings win vs CLE (2-2) * Both wins from Carmona 9th inning meltdowns at TB (1-2) * Ortiz Homer in the 8th They could have easily went 1-9 or 0-10 in this stretch.

Here is the Sox Runs Scored and Runs Allowed by inning for their last 25 games (9-16 record): Sox pitching is getting destroyed in the 1st, 4th, 6th, and 7th innings. The Relief pitching hasn't been much better than the starting pitching either. In the last 25 games the Starting Pitching ERA is 5.46 and the Relief Pitching is 5.01. That does not account for the inherited runners which would make the two pretty close.