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southsider2k5

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Everything posted by southsider2k5

  1. QUOTE (ChiSoxFanMike @ Feb 10, 2016 -> 11:35 AM) If Latos was guaranteed a spot in the rotation, who is the odd man out? Johnson or Danks? I'd have to assume that it'd be Johnson just because Danks is paid so much $$$. 100% EJ.
  2. QUOTE (Chisoxfn @ Feb 10, 2016 -> 11:13 AM) Momentum though. Had Rubio had a strong finish, I think Bush is out. Rubio is eroding right now (whether he can stop that erotion or not, remains to be scene). Bush has benefited from it, as has Kasich, and Bush has to see that Kasich is a beatable guy (if not from the pure perspective that Bush has so much more resources than Kasich). I just see no logical reason for Bush to walk away now. If he has a weak showing in SC and Nevada, than I could see him turning away and getting pressured to turn away, because the non Cruz / Trump candidates are all going to get a ton of pressure from more mainstream conservatives to widdle their side of the field down to 1 by Super Tuesday. I put the odds much higher today that Bush could be that guy than I would have a week ago (when I'd have given him zero chance...odds might only be 10%, but that is still an improvement). Kasich might actually be the guy in the driver seat right now, but he needs to capitalize on it with a strong showing, as this is going to be the first time he gets any sort of main stream coverage (or so I suspect). He absolutely has to capitalize on this opportunity. I'd actually say odds are pretty split between Kasich / Rubio of who would come out and who would have said that a week ago (when Rubio had all the momentum). Note: Kasich might end up getting lucky cause I have a feeling Bush is going to spend his time and money attacking Rubio and Rubio will thus have to do the same to Bush, which might mean Kasich can stay above the fray and benefit from the other two beating themselves up. None of this impacts Trump / Cruz as I think they have an entirely different base. That is the irritating part. While calling a 4th place finish momentum, they are missing out on the chances to get real momentum behind whoever is the NotTrump candidate for the convention, leading to an actual convention fight for the nomination, instead of giving the eventual candidate a chance to start campaigning months earlier.
  3. QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Feb 10, 2016 -> 10:23 AM) One thing they could have done was not bring back the entire roster except Portis for Nazr and proclaim it a championship roster. You are saying the roster is flawed. GarPax didn't see it that way, and were willing to pay $9 million to show everyone the thing holding back the Bulls was their coach. To me, that's fireable. It isn't a championship roster if everyone is healthy, and to expect this particular group of players to be healthy is beyond crazy as well. Gar called it a championship roster. He should be held accountable to his words. Obviously Foreman is giving the typical GMs BS answer when he talked about this being a title team. What seems obvious to me is that with even typical health, this roster wasn't a top level team, but in the second tier right under the GS, SA, CLE level. It is a starting line up with multiple All-Stars, and a pretty good amount of talented depth. Obviously a couple of the guys weren't ready for the bigger minutes that injuries forced them into, but I don't think anyone anticipated Tony Snell and Doug Mc being counted on for huge minutes this year. The roster as it is playing today is obviously not going to beat many teams at all, but when you look at how many front line players are out, there is no roster in the NBA that would survive that. My hope is that at the very least Pax forces Foreman to punt on this season and at least trade Gasol to the highest bidder, and then see what guys like Taj and Noah with an expiring deal can bring.
  4. QUOTE (Chisoxfn @ Feb 10, 2016 -> 10:59 AM) Given Bush's finish in NH, I have a hard time indicating why he should drop out. You might think he's toast, but reality is he's gotten a bit of momentum recently and is starting to gain some traction (all while Bush's primary competition, Rubio is sliding). He'll need to keep building on that and can't have a poor finish here on out, but I see no reason, with all the money he has raised, that he should drop out based upon the results in NH. He beat Rubio and was basically the same as Cruz (two guys who are clearly in the race). Now Christie, Fiorina, and Carson clearly all need to walk away. Christie put all his eggs in New Hampshire and was way behind everyone else. The other two have zero momentum or just declining momentum. I'm sure Carson won't (since he didn't focus much on NH anyway, but I don't know that he makes it to Super Tuesday). Note: I refer to Rubio as Bush's primary competition, because I clearly think the core republicans want one of Rubio / Bush / Kasich and prior to super tuesday they need to get the field narrowed to one of these remaining candidates so they can actually stand a shot at beating Trump or Cruz. Bush still finished tied for 4th at 11%, after getting crushed in Iowa. He is also polling 4th in SC right now at 10%. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/20...imary-4151.html
  5. QUOTE (BrianAnderson @ Feb 10, 2016 -> 10:54 AM) Is that what happened in Houston? I lived down there last year and we had a pretty large sports package at the apartment, but couldn't get the Astros. I had the MLB package and could watch every team except the Rangers and Astros due to blackout restrictions. Pretty frustrating. I'm just waiting for the future - like 5-10 years from now when we don't have to buy a whole cable package to watch sports. I watch like 5% of my channels. And then the Blackhawks and White Sox. I'd pay $250 for the Sox and $250 for the Hawks alone and say peace to the rest of my cable package if I could. http://www.chron.com/opinion/editorials/ar...-TV-4283444.php http://climbingtalshill.com/2014/12/21/wil...rozen-tv-games/
  6. QUOTE (bmags @ Feb 10, 2016 -> 10:55 AM) Does this theoretically move us up in that comp pick? I believe it would. I do not see them signing any comp pick guys, so they would have to give up their first rounder, which would move everyone behind them up a pick. of course assuming we don't sign someone who requires us to give up our comp pick.
  7. QUOTE (Chisoxfn @ Feb 10, 2016 -> 10:50 AM) Christie has to drop out now, right? He put all his eggs in NH and lost. I thought Jeb would be on his way out, but with his showing, he clearly won't drop out and Kasich clearly can continue a little longer (how much so, who knows...unless he gets the backing of Bush). The bottom half of the field should be dropping out. Realistically the only guys who should be left are Trump, Cruz, Rubio, and maybe Kasich.
  8. QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Feb 10, 2016 -> 09:20 AM) On the other hand, Romney also maintained that steady 30-35% polling support throughout the primaries until he was the last man standing. Trump is going to continue to pile up delegates. It's not the exact same dynamic as it was in 2012, but I don't think a ceiling of 30-35% is some sort of a death knell for the nomination. This could actually be a real convention if other candidates stick around not allowing Trump to win 50% +1 of the delegates. If you get Trump with say 35%, and a whole mess of candidates with less, who those other candidates throw their delegates to could sway the convention. Say Rubio moves up to around 25% after more guys drop out, while Cruz stays at 15%. You have 40% undecideds who could literally sway the convention to any of the three. It could be the most interesting convention of my lifetime. OK, I just re-read and the math doesn't work exactly, but you get the idea.
  9. QUOTE (Eminor3rd @ Feb 10, 2016 -> 08:49 AM) I'll say it again: to anyone still referencing the existence of a hard "three-year contention window" that we're currently in -- that quotation was taken entirely out of context. Williams' was referring to the idea of a rolling three-year outlook, specifically that ideas need to fit into that process. But I wanted to misquote and rant irrationally
  10. QUOTE (Iwritecode @ Feb 10, 2016 -> 09:16 AM) But to actually watch the game live, you typically have to pay for it. Whether it's cable, a satellite provider, mlb.tv, etc... Back then paying for any type of TV was unheard of. Sportsvision wasn't really a bad idea, it was just a few years too early. And for most of Chicago, they won't be able to watch the game at all, because the teams network won't be picked up by most TV providers in Chicago. Remember Comcast has zero incentive to pick up the network as it is competition. Look at LA and Houston's numbers for great examples. The Cubs will be on millions less TVs if they start their own network.
  11. QUOTE (3GamesToLove @ Feb 10, 2016 -> 08:51 AM) One prospect website I read the other day (might've been BA, might've been 2080) mentioned expecting Fulmer to start in Charlotte. That sounds a little aggressive; I think he'll get a few starts in AA first. I'd even go to High A as a possibility for a starting spot, though no higher than B-ham.
  12. QUOTE (GreenSox @ Feb 10, 2016 -> 08:56 AM) It probably does. They got him for nothing so if he can pitch, he can pitch. Another pitcher in the mix for the pen is Tommy Kahnle, for whom they traded 21 year old Almonte who blistered A ball (modest K totals are the only neg I see on Almonte). Kahnle is another one of those high K pitchers, with command and control issues that they like to try to fix. Hope they can. I assume they made the trade thinking he had a good shot for a pen spot. Bullpen is getting crowed. Putnam is pretty much the only reclamation project that has worked out in the last few years. He can be inconsistent, but he gets Ks. They also have Phillipe Aumont who was pretty solid out of the pen for Philly as well who is on the outside looking in.
  13. QUOTE (LittleHurt05 @ Feb 10, 2016 -> 08:54 AM) I think it's all a set up for the playoffs, so the Hawks don't get screwed over when every goal matters on a much bigger stage. I don't doubt at all that he is that pissed about losing two points. Seeding is really important, though not vital. When you have the United Center home advantage, you want it as much as possible.
  14. QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Feb 10, 2016 -> 09:05 AM) One of the key things about Trump that people need to keep in mind, and that add to the reasons why he won't win the nomination, is that no one is going to "flock" to him as people drop out. When polls ask who people absolutely would not back, Trump's numbers are ridiculously high among those not currently supporting him. His ability to grow his base is almost non-existent. I mean, look at New Hampshire as a data point. Trump's support there was in the low to mid-30's in polls back in December, before Iowa and when there were like 15 candidates. Post-Iowa, and with a bunch of candidates dropping out, he ends up with... low to mid-30's. Meanwhile in that same period, looking at the remaining other candidates in that period, Rubio stayed about the same despite having a terrible debate performance, Cruz went up a little from high single digits to low double digits, Kasich went from high single digits to mid-teens, Bush went from high single digits to 11%, and Christie actually went down (not sure what happened there). This despite NH being predominantly white, lower income and lower education which should be Trump's wheelhouse. Here are some recent polls that indicate the much higher numbers for "I'd never" on Trump than anyone else. Like, many times over, and the numbers are trending up. No one is flocking to Trump. He's alive exactly because there are so many other candidates. As that changes, so will his fortunes. Totally agree. It is why the R field needs to narrow to one other candidate ASAP. The longer the losing candidates hold on to false hope, the more delegates that could go to Trump later.
  15. QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Feb 10, 2016 -> 08:40 AM) Labor force participation and the various unemployment stats (U-3 is the one typically reported) compiled by the BLS all have their uses, but hacks love to conflate them when convenient. Realistically U6 is the most true read of unemployment in this country. Even I wouldn't go past that number.
  16. QUOTE (GreenSox @ Feb 10, 2016 -> 08:30 AM) 2015 9th 2014 23 2013 16 2012 12 Then 2011 2 2010 1 2 pitchers in their mid 20s, Danks and Floyd, basically at their peak these 2 years. those 2010-11 teams had good starting staffs. Anyway, regarding EJ, check out Floyd's cup of coffee numbers with the Phillies. They were terrible in 3 tries. As for Jacob Turner, he was horrible by any measure in 2013 and 14 (pitched 9 minor league innings in 2015). his GB % is 47% and it's not like he's striking out a lot of guys. Charlotte doesn't seem the answer for EJ. Which tells me it comes down to scouting, not numbers.
  17. QUOTE (LittleHurt05 @ Feb 10, 2016 -> 08:03 AM) Q was so pissed about the called back goal, he pulled a Cam Newton in the post game presser. He should be upset about it, but the fact is you don't win many NHL games scoring only one goal...
  18. QUOTE (Al Lopez's Ghost @ Feb 9, 2016 -> 08:43 PM) Could be analogous to the Daniel Hudson scenario. If it were my money, I would put it closer to the Clayton Richard scenario.
  19. QUOTE (TheFutureIsNear @ Feb 9, 2016 -> 07:50 PM) Johnson was pretty damn good in his 1st AAA appearance back in 2013... And harping on peripherals on a 35 inning sample size in September is grasping for straws at best. Not like he's had bad periphs in the minors at any point minus 2014. How dare he not come up and dominate right away. And the velocity was back up over 91 last year, you're creating problems with the guy at this point. He had 1 fluke bad year. Why? Who knows. He's not the 1st nor the last pitcher it will happen to. I'm not saying EJ is going to be great (solid 4th starter), and the Latos deal for $3M certainly can't be called bad. I'm just confused as to why they seem to want to replace a 26 year old with a good track record before he fails. Hopefully both EJ and Latos pitch well and we can be talking about Danks DFA'd. A team is going to know a lot more than his stats when it comes to a pitcher that has been in their system as long as Johnson has. They know something more than just his numbers.
  20. QUOTE (RockRaines @ Feb 9, 2016 -> 08:12 PM) Lol the Hawks consistently get screwed on reviews. The key seems to be to have a defenseman ram the offensive player into the goalie so they will disallow the goal.
  21. QUOTE (Dunt @ Feb 9, 2016 -> 05:01 PM) Didn't realize his numbers were that good in the 2nd half, K/BB took a decent dip, but otherwise it looks good. Don't see Johnson making this team then. The 6 run outing where he took one for the team made his season long numbers look a lot worse than the actually were.
  22. MLB ‏@MLB 38m38 minutes ago Cuban phenom “Lazarito” says he plans to make a decision by Wednesday. Who's in the running? http://atmlb.com/1nVN9is
  23. Chris Cotillo ‏@ChrisCotillo 32m32 minutes ago Source: Ishikawa gets $900K if in majors with White Sox. Same deal he had agreed to with Seattle.` Ishikawa was recently examined by an orthopedic specialist and a back specialist and cleared for full baseball activities, per source.
  24. FutureSox.com ‏@FutureSox 56m56 minutes ago Now looks like Ishikawa, Davidson, Delmonico, Hayes will mix for corner INF playing time in AAA. Hard to think they'll all be there in April
  25. It really does move like a combination splitter/cutter. It backs up towards righties like a cutter, and drops off like a splitter.

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