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caulfield12

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Everything posted by caulfield12

  1. Very fine people on both sides.
  2. Terminology like “dominating the battlespace” is exactly why we don’t need the military acting as policemen...it’s exactly NOT what they are trained for. A month or so ago, protestors in Michigan, Ohio and PA were cast as American patriots/martyrs/heroes struggling for our sacred freedoms and liberty against the forces of tyranny arrayed against them. Btw, one of the officers shot in St. Louis protecting a friend’s pawn shop died overnight.
  3. Again? I think that embarrassing situation with Mark Esper, JCS Milley now backtracking....religious leaders from the St. John’s church and Pope John Paul II shrine piling on, it will end up as the turning point in all of this instead of an iconic “Law and Order 1968/2020” rerun. Tear gas (which they’re still denying, incredibly), smoke, pepper spray, flash bangs, rubber bullets, mounted cavalry...it was just WAY too much. Too calculated on the part of Barr (who accused the crowd of throwing water bottles when there’s zero evidence.) Young and diverse crowds are realizing the power in keeping the issues at the forefront by disassociating from the looting/lawless elements out to profit from the confusion. St. Louis and NYC were pretty embarrassing, for sure. The treatment of that Australian film crew hemmed in along the fenceline, equally so. One vicious cheap shot with a shield, another attempted punch...baton strike at the female reporter running away (they were incredibly able to laugh it off when being interviewed by their anchors back home), both hit by rubber bullets as well. Another broadcast had a police chief involved in a Sydney take down of an aboriginal teen stating directly, ”Well, we’re not like America...the police here have positive relationships with their community.” Hard to accept how far we have fallen in terms of international perception, more the butt of jokes and a laughingstock. Not even the Hong Kong protestors know what to make of America right now.
  4. Apparently you’ve never been to Breitbart, Alex Jones, InfoWars or Q-Anon...at best, they would have a tweet red-flagged.
  5. Lessons learned since 1619 in America? Well, pretty much none. And there are no organized groups. Antifa is neither organized, nor can you classify it as domestic terrorism when there have been at least ten times as many “right wing” acts of violence ending in loss of life than from the left. And it hasn’t even been substantiated that Antifa is involved at all. Lots of bogus twitter accounts pretending to be Antifa, inciting readers to violence...reports of agitators (white and black) coming in from the outside and pretending to be part of the protests before looting, hoping to create a war between the police and protestors. Could be Russian or Chinese bots online, but there’s definitely no proof and no domestic terrorism group has ever been labeled as such because during the next administration the Tea Party Patriots and Michigan Militia would be on the list and it would just go back and forth. Until we honestly deal with the problems as a country and have an open/frank discussion about race, this cycle will just keep repeating. African-Americans are the likeliest to be classified as essential workers and be forced to continue working in hazardous conditions, the likeliest to die from Covid, the likeliest to lose a low-paying job, the likeliest to be victims of police brutality. You can follow a straight line from 1967-68 to 1992 to 2014 to today...things still haven’t changed all that much. Quelling the violence/looting is just 1/4th of the problem here. How would Pope John Paul II deal with this issue, in your opinion?
  6. It was largely because liquor stores and abortion clinics were allowed to remain open...I mean, let’s be real, if you were paying attention yesterday, a certain someone was actually holding the (borrowed for the moment) book of Holy Scripture upside-down. Then the Catholic Church was dragged into it, too, through an unwanted visit to the Pope John Paul II shrine today. Simply because of slipping poll numbers across religious conservatives, which were caused by the Covid-19 reaction in the first place. Fed's massive 'Main Street' business rescue in danger of fizzling Lawmakers, business groups and analysts are warning that the lending program may fail to deliver the rescue to corporate America that it promised. https://www.politico.com/news/2020/06/02/fed-reserve-main-street-program-297149
  7. Or the sheer density of the city is making those super-spreader incidents really stand out...or the theoretical different strain of the virus?
  8. The key might be to pose in front of a boarded up church with an upside-down borrowed Bible and then NOT offer a passage or even word of prayer. That would definitely teach those weak, yet constantly meddling governors.
  9. Minnesota authorities are now saying a man who drove a tanker truck toward protesters may not have done so intentionally. What happened: On Sunday, Bogdan Vechirko drove a tanker truck toward a group of protesters on the I-35W bridge near Minneapolis. It doesn't appear anybody was injured. He was subsequently arrested and charged with assault. On Sunday, Public Safety Commissioner John Harrington's department tweeted that the driver was “inciting a crowd of peaceful demonstrators.” But Harrington walked it back today, saying, “We don't have any information that makes this seem like this was an intentional act." Harrington says the state had not yet finished putting up roadblocks when Vechirko was on the freeway. “He saw the crowd, and from what it looked like, panicked,” said Harrington. Vechirko is being interviewed by investigators, but Department of Corrections Commissioner Paul Schnell says it will be up to the county attorney whether to pursue the case. Jail records show that Vechirko was still in custody without bail Monday night. www.cnn.com
  10. Military police arriving on the grounds of the White House. Surreal. Might be the first active deployment of troops in Washington since the end of the Civil War and beginning of Reconstruction Era? The Insurrection Act of 1807 invoked to create a photo opportunity holding up a Bible at St. John’s Church? What? And is America now officially at war...with itself? But (fine print) that act is only available to be applied at the request of a state government first. Deliberately confronting completely peaceful protestors with tear gas, mounted police and rubber bullets....ummm...this isn’t over by a long shot.
  11. https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america IHME looking like a range of 122,500-158,000, but it apparently hasn’t been adjusted yet for the protests. 135,109 official projected number for August 4th.
  12. Sure, but if you look at those pics, it’s a huge difference between Schwarzenegger in the late 70’s and early 80’s. The bulk just wasn’t there. Looked more like a ripped swimmer than the later bodybuilding mold.
  13. Connery, Dalton, Brosnan...all pretty thin dudes. Then Roger Moore was a wry humorist. It wasn’t until the Matt Damon/Jason Bourne films that the physicality of the Bond flicks picked up to match up them with Daniel Craig.
  14. Well, on the plus side, that’s not as bad as the NYPD police wagon plowing forward into into the crowd through a barrier/bike fence, Bakersfield (suv or minivan just plowing through an intersection, reverses and comes back through) or another scene (Denver?) where people were trying to jump on top and the driver panicked and tried to hit at least one protestor. Then there was the Atlanta officer run over by an ATV. (The first thing that immediately to mind when the truck driver stopped for the kid (?) in the road was the Reginald Denny situation during the LA Riots.) And apparently the White House on Friday night was worried enough about a potential breach that Trump had to be locked down in the secure bunker for one hour...would have been first “occupation” of WH since the War of 1812.
  15. https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2890521-esteban-loaizas-wrong-turn
  16. They’re NOT already inside us? News to the anti-vaxxers.
  17. On the other hand, there will be all those veteran hitters like Josh Donaldson and Encarnacion that really can’t afford to sit 18 months and then get out of the gate slowly in 2021. We know how all the players that signed in May/June the last 3-4 cycles struggled mightily. With pitchers or anyone coming off an injury, this is the ideal time to get that extra rest and rehab in...as if the case with a number of young pitchers in our organization. Then you have the free agents risking a lower deal by sitting out the cycle and going into an even more uncertain economic environment in terms of doling out megacontracts, t.v. deals perhaps having peaked, owners crying poor/collusion. For example, the Cubs’ carriage deals for Marquee, even less likely to come to an agreement with advertising spending down across nearly industry.
  18. https://www.politico.com/news/2020/05/18/coronavirus-vaccine-266679 Probably not....it will take 2-3 if not 3-5 years to fully distribute, and then there’s going to be global political/economic battles if it comes from either the US or China. Maybe it’s better for the world if France, UK or Germany gets there first...or the Gates Foundation.
  19. Isolation for 14 days 'unnecessary', claims Germany's top government scientist A second wave of coronavirus infections can be prevented, says Prof. Christian Drosten https://www.yahoo.com/news/isolation-14-days-unnecessary-claims-134829445.html “In the beginning, of course, we needed the whole wide range of measures because we didn't know exactly what would help. Now we know the virus better, we know better how it spreads,” Prof Drosten said in an interview with Germany’s Spiegel magazine. “The incubation period and the time in which you are contagious are all much shorter than originally thought.” There is still no sign of a second wave in Germany almost six weeks after the country began lifting its lockdown, and Prof Drosten said it may be possible to avoid one completely. “There is a theoretical possibility that we can get through without a second wave,” he said. The way the virus is spread by relatively few people — the so-called “superspreaders” — means it is easier to control than initially feared, he explained. “We have a few people who infect many others. That sort of infection is easier to control than one that spread uniformly under the radar, as we assumed at first. If you notice where an outbreak is brewing, you have to hit it hard.” Prof Drosten said a policy of tracking and tracing is key, but warned that testing all those who have been in contact with an infected person can be too slow. “The latest analysis shows clearly you don't start testing all possible contacts. That will always be too late. Instead, all contacts need to be isolated. But for a week, not 14 days.”
  20. Assuming we can actually trust anything coming from the CDC...and take into consideration the the much higher likelihood of it spreading like a wildfire through an entire team or two opposing teams that can’t take place with shelter at home (unless you’re the Cuomos).
  21. I went with the numbers on the far right hand column. You’re also leaving out anyone 35-38. And you’re not taking into consideration average age of coaches, trainers and staff. Think the likes of Don Cooper, Herm Schneider and Joe Maddon. Average age of scouts. So let’s say 450 with a likely undercount of 60%, you’re still much closer to 700 than 400. The problem is that total amount of infected could be as low as 3%. That would be, 1020000. 700/102000=0.000686 You’re at a death rate of much closer to 1 every 2 years, .53508. At any rate, there’s someone being paid big bucks to calculate real risk of death, risk of + cases, risk of ICU/hospitalization. If that opportunity cost isn’t worth the amount of salary fore gone, they will make the decision not to play, and it will be a rational decision from an analytical, cost-benefit analysis. The owners are idiots to let the NHL and NBA come back...give up the late summer when there’s no live sports programming and then into September/Oct/Nov when there will likely be no competition from college football and the NFL because there will be too many cases and the SEC/ACC (Covid country), Big 12 (Texas/OU), Pac 12 (UC schools out), and Big Ten/ND (flu/covid season combined) will all be out of commission eventually. Too many players in close contact...it’s going to be by far the highest infection rate of Big 4 sports.
  22. Or Rowand/Bumgarner.
  23. https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-COVID-19-Death-Counts-by-Sex-Age-and-S/9bhg-hcku https://www.statista.com/statistics/241488/population-of-the-us-by-sex-and-age/ It’s much closer to 800. I’ll raise your overall demographic number to 34 million males in age range. For the entire country, 5% is a pretty good estimate of total penetration...giving you 1.7 million total cases. 800/1.7 million= 0.00047 out of 780 players=0.37 deaths expected That’s not considering those who actually get sick and end up with chronic or long-term damage to their bodies. So if we’re looking at a 1.5% hospitalization rate of these positive symptomatic cases, another handful of players would be in the ICU. Not to mention their families, team staff, coaches, etc. But we also have to know from how quickly it spread in the NBA that all these numbers could be much higher.

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