QUOTE (caulfield12 @ Jul 7, 2009 -> 10:29 PM)
In order to get those draft picks, we'd be in the same exact situation we were in with Orlando Cabrera last season.
The max you can cut a guy in arbitration is 20%, and most cases go to the players, certainly Dotel would probably be guaranteed an even higher salary than 2009 with the Sox if they offered $4.8 million and he asked for, let's say $6.5-7.0 million, we would have an incredibly high-priced, sometimes inconsistent 7th inning set-up man who, like Vazquez, has great numbers but the reality of him isn't quite as good as it looks on paper with K/BB/IP ratios.
KW basically dared Cabrera and his agent to blink, but a lot of the Type A's will have learned their lessons (unless they change the compensation system again because of the economic landscape) and accept arbitration so as not to end up like Varitek, Cabrera, Garland, etc.
It took Juan Cruz forever to find a home because of his Type A status this past offseason.
Dotel will likely be traded before the end of the season (because you can move him much more easily than Linebrink) and Pena essentially replacing him...supported by Omogrosso, Ely, Link, Santeliz, Nunez, Rodriguez, Russell, etc.
I dont deny any of this, but we gave Dotel 13 million for 2 years in the first place, and I know the market has gone down, but he is more consistent then 2/3 of the rest of the bullpen arms in the league, some team will look at this and will offer arbitration and wont care about the outcome - whether having Dotel on for 1 more year at around 6 -7 million, or getting the picks. Many teams are in the hunt this year and someone will overpay, someone usually does.