Everything posted by Eminor3rd
-
Bernstein Column
QUOTE (ptatc @ May 7, 2014 -> 11:48 AM) Correct. However, that is the game of baseball. You cannot control everything to win the game. So why make up a stat that doesn't use it. It came about so agents can get more money for their client because "he did what he could control" nothing else really matters. Linear weights-based stats exist for the purpose of trying to compare players with a common denominator. For example, Brandon Phillips had 103 RBI in 2013. Mike Trout had 97. Does that make them the same class of hitter? If not, then how can we tell who is better and, by extension, likely to produce more in the future? Well, Brandon Phillips had a wRC+ of 91 that year, and Trout had an insano-pants 176. So there you go. Anyway, that's the purpose. Obviously things like RBI are critical when the game is being played, it's how you win, after all. I'd never want a coach to tell a player not to worry about driving in runs, for example. They just aren't good for evaluating ability. Or, better put, there are many other numbers that serve as much, much better proxies for evaluating ability than RBI and other context-based metrics.
-
2014 MLB catch-all thread
QUOTE (caulfield12 @ May 7, 2014 -> 02:09 AM) Jeff Passan's attack on the Super 2/Gregory Polanco/low-balling players by giving them an opportunity to play right away if they'll accept a below-market deal situation http://sports.yahoo.com/news/source--pirat...-232433631.html Tanget: I watched him in spring training this year on mlb.tv a lot -- this kid is an absolute MONSTER. Like holy s***. He's huge and just oozes tools.
-
Bernstein Column
QUOTE (chw42 @ May 7, 2014 -> 11:35 AM) Nobody is telling you how to enjoy the game of baseball. We're just saying what he's doing wasn't sustainable. There's a huge difference. This
-
Bernstein Column
QUOTE (Dick Allen @ May 7, 2014 -> 11:44 AM) He actually mentioned White Sox and salary cap in an article last year when he was saying they would be doing things the new way in baseball. Having teams give up bad contracts, and giving the Sox prospects to take on the contracts. Yeah that was classic.
-
Bernstein Column
QUOTE (Chet Kincaid @ May 7, 2014 -> 11:37 AM) Interesting article. It's a shame that Bernstein gets off on being such a douche. Exactly. His points are spot on, but they're delivered in a package of "screw you for being happy about something, idiots." Having moved from Chicago fairly recently (February), I've been away from the local hype train. All of what he's saying has been pretty obvious through the lense of the indifferent NY media. Is everyone really freaking out in Chicago over Abreu enough to warrant this kind of article?
-
2014 Draft class
QUOTE (maggsmaggs @ May 7, 2014 -> 10:12 AM) Very interesting especially with the elbow concern. I guess he does not take that into consideration when ranking. "I'll post something later about the decision that Houston has at #1, but it's fair to say the industry would have Rodon 2nd and Hoffman 3rd or 4th right now. Hoffman is expected to return not this weekend but next from elbow soreness and he could still make or lose millions based on how crisp he looks in those final few starts."
-
Chris Sale to start Thu May 22 vs Yankees
QUOTE (thxfrthmmrs @ May 7, 2014 -> 09:12 AM) I wonder what's causing him to suck so much the past 3 years. QUOTE (witesoxfan @ May 7, 2014 -> 09:22 AM) Velocity is way down. He averaged about 92 during his and it's below 90 this year. He's also changed from a straight over the top curve to more of a slurve, and his changeup usage is way up, which I'm guessing he leaves up too often. His HR/FB was at about 5-6% during his Cy Young seasons, and it's been 14%, 12%, and 18% the last 3 seasons. Indeed, and this looks like it's a pretty natural thing: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/pitcher-agi...s-introduction/
-
2014 Draft class
Kylie's got Hoffman ranked #2. Interesting.
-
2014 Draft class
QUOTE (Joshua Strong @ May 6, 2014 -> 01:26 AM) You're Rick Hahn and Aiken and Kolek are off the board, who do you take at pick #3? I do everything I can to make sure I can sign Rodon, and then pick Rodon.
-
Attendance
It looked like it was freezing
-
White Sox Winner!
Another ugly save.
-
Attendance
QUOTE (Marty34 @ May 5, 2014 -> 05:20 PM) I think the expanded playoffs have hurt interest in MLB's regular season. Go back to division winners only making the playoffs. Teams with the best record in each league get a buy to the championship series and plays the winner of a best of three series between the second and third seeded teams. Championship series goes from 7 games to 5 games. That's an interesting take because the whole point was to INCREASE interest in the regular season by having more teams in contention, and, by extension, encouraging players to not trade veterans at the deadline.
-
Attendance
QUOTE (Marty34 @ May 5, 2014 -> 03:58 PM) Of course you can do that, but sitting at a ballpark for three hours with kids and not buying them anything makes for an unpleasant experience for all involved in most cases. One that you do once and don't do again. Ok so spend $20 more. Is $60-70 really that crazy for a night out for four people these days? Food at the movie is just as overpriced as food at the ballpark. Same thing at Chuck E Cheese or wherever the hello else kids want to go.
-
Jose Abreu wins AL Player of the Month and Rookie of Month
QUOTE (chw42 @ May 5, 2014 -> 03:44 PM) He definitely deserved the AL ROTM over Tanaka. I'm not sure about Player of the Month though. Abreu was 12th in the AL in wRC+, behind both Adam Dunn and Dayan Viciedo. Black ink though
-
AL Rookie of the Month/Year watch
QUOTE (Jerksticks @ May 5, 2014 -> 10:06 AM) I think it's pointless as a tool to rank superstars or even good players, and should never be used as an end-all for determining value. We already know good players are good, because they produce. You can't say player A is "better" than every other player with a lower WAR because players have different jobs. I think it's an excellent tool for finding value in non-superstar players when constructing a team but I doubt front offices give one hoot about WAR. I don't think you understand what WAR attempts to do. I'm not saying that patronizingly. It's all about removing bias and context. It's all about being objective. Player X may be an elite baserunner while Player Y is just an above average hitter, but if hitting is more valuable (objectively) than baserunning, Player Y is the better player. The mechanism from where this value is derived is based on linear weights, and this is the part of WAR that is most solidly correct and doesn't need work -- valuing offensive events precisely and accurately in relation to themselves. The whole point is NOT to give a guy a subjective bump for something -- it's to strip away all the BS and see who contributes the most to a team winning, no matter what is more exciting or hard to find or whatever. EDIT: It is precisely that challenge of ranking players across their different "jobs" that makes it useful.
-
On scheduling killing the Cubs/Sox series
As soon as both teams are good again, this will be a big deal again.
-
2014 Draft class
QUOTE (The Ginger Kid @ May 5, 2014 -> 11:21 AM) Is it wrong to assume that the Walkers and Mitchells were a heavy favorite of KW, the type of player he looked to develop? All around athletes who showed promise at baseball? Seems like it is/was. Oh, absolutely. I'm just saying that I disagree with it, or at least have learned from him being wrong about/our system being bad at it.
-
2014 Draft class
QUOTE (BigHurt3515 @ May 3, 2014 -> 11:24 PM) I am going to bump this. I would like to hear opinions.. There were at least 4 scouts at the game today video taping his at bats, 2 of which were home runs batting Right handed.. And he has more power left handed. Both were hit at least 390 feet. Generally speaking, I am ALL for drafting positionless, one tool guys that can hit in the later rounds. I think the hit tool is the most important and that our team has been a case study on it being harder to teach than people want it to be. After about round 4, give me Dan Vogelbachs and the other teams can have the Kennyn Walkers.
-
2014 Draft class
QUOTE (Dick Allen @ May 3, 2014 -> 07:24 PM) The Angels did. The Mariners picking 2nd were torn, and they were wrong.the Yankees thought he was the best player in the draft. His point is that Trout didn't fall because of signability, he fell because people were wrong about him.
-
Attendance
The reality is that MLB, like any successful business that relies on media, has been evolving its channels of consumption with the development of technology. Fewer people are showing up, but more and more are watching on TV and on mlb.tv. All that "new TV money" stuff that everyone is talking about didn't just fall out of the sky. The contracts are bigger than ever because consumption is being redistributed across several channels. This is the nature of media. The teams will be just fine if they facilitate this constant distribution; if they continue to make their product available via the channels that fans are demanding. They need to build these changes into their budgets. Expect fewer through the gates, more through digital, and maximize the yield from all channels.
-
Payroll Obligations 2015-2019
QUOTE (Marty34 @ May 3, 2014 -> 11:30 AM) Masterson is the mid-rotation starter that people are clamoring not to sign. How much are you willing to spend on him? It's unbelievable that you still don't understand the difference between a 32-year old trainwreck-turned-bounceback free agent this past offseason, and a 29 year-old consistently solid free agent next offseason. We don't hate free agents, Marty, we hate s***ty players.
-
sox lost
Yeah that pitching staff looks very Astros-y right now.
-
Noesi probably starting Tue
I don't think it's anyone's "fault" that the rivalry is dead right now, it's just the teams both suck. Both fanbases are disenfranchised. It's hard to care about who is king of a pile of s***.
-
Payroll Obligations 2015-2019
Who was it that used to do that awesome PDF of payroll commitments that was stickied every year. Was that you, Jake?
-
GAME THREAD 5/2: SOX @ CLE
QUOTE (pettie4sox @ May 2, 2014 -> 02:02 PM) I rather Semien get more ABs than Beckham but whatever. I'm tired of Hawk slobbing on his knob too. It's just borderline f***ed up. It really is. It's almost like Beckham is actually Hawk's illegitimate child. Hawk talks about his mom almost as much as him.