August 12, 20205 yr 8 hours ago, caulfield12 said: 6th Astros 82.2% 7th White Sox 69.4% 8th Red Sox 37.1% 9th Angels 34.5% 10th Tigers 33.2% Are you seriously going to standings watch for every game? Better buy stock in TUMS.
August 12, 20205 yr 1 minute ago, ptatc said: Are you seriously going to standings watch for every game? Better buy stock in TUMS. Southsider2k5 did it too, lol. Seriously, despite that 1-5 slide, providing this "statistical prediction" on a regular basis can at least validate that we're on the right trajectory for making the playoffs. (For example, at the time of the James Shields trade in 2016, the odds at that time were closer to 33%.) Of course, adding 3 teams in each league changes the equation pretty dramatically.
August 12, 20205 yr 5 minutes ago, caulfield12 said: Southsider2k5 did it too, lol. Seriously, despite that 1-5 slide, providing this "statistical prediction" on a regular basis can at least validate that we're on the right trajectory for making the playoffs. (For example, at the time of the James Shields trade in 2016, the odds at that time were closer to 33%.) Of course, adding 3 teams in each league changes the equation pretty dramatically. I get it. But with a team this young and beat up it's going to be a rollercoaster all year. So buy stock in TUMS and enjoy the games and the ride.
August 12, 20205 yr Author Sox pen is currently tied for 5th in all of baseball and 3rd in the AL for Win probability. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=0&type=3&season=2020&month=0&season1=2020&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2020-01-01&enddate=2020-12-31
August 13, 20205 yr Are the 2nd place teams getting seeded 4-5-6 no matter what, or is it just record past 3, but must include 2nd place teams?
August 13, 20205 yr Author Off-day update: 74.9%, still 7th in the AL https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
August 13, 20205 yr 4 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said: Off-day update: 74.9%, still 7th in the AL https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds Ptac?
August 13, 20205 yr 16 minutes ago, flavum said: Are the 2nd place teams getting seeded 4-5-6 no matter what, or is it just record past 3, but must include 2nd place teams? I’ll answer my own question. 2nd place teams are seeded 4, 5, and 6. Another mistake by MLB.
August 13, 20205 yr By record, the Sox are top 8. By playoff format, the Sox aren’t in the playoffs because head-to-head with Cleveland. The Rangers would be the 6-seed with an 8-9 record. Edited August 13, 20205 yr by flavum
August 13, 20205 yr 48 minutes ago, caulfield12 said: Ptac? Yep. TUMS all around. At least this one is on an off day when there really isn't much else to post. Edited August 13, 20205 yr by ptatc
August 14, 20205 yr 9 hours ago, southsider2k5 said: https://twitter.com/SportsInfo_SIS/status/1293905761526075392?s=20 Luis Robert I'd guess has at least 1/3.
August 15, 20205 yr 11 hours ago, southsider2k5 said: Would love for Super Joe to be our manager some day
August 15, 20205 yr 56 minutes ago, ScooterMcGee said: Would love for Super Joe to be our manager some day That would placate LaRussa, at least...
August 17, 20205 yr Author This hasn't been talked about much so far with the offensive misery, but the defense for the Sox has been a huge positive this year. They currently rank 4th in MLB in defensive runs saved
August 17, 20205 yr 7 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said: This hasn't been talked about much so far with the offensive misery, but the defense for the Sox has been a huge positive this year. They currently rank 4th in MLB in defensive runs saved They've made a lot of good plays and if they can just clean up the awful ones this would be an elite defense with all the speed and arms scattered throughout. Getting Mazara out of RF would be a big boost. Between him and Eloy not even Robert can cover those gaps.
August 17, 20205 yr Author Also interesting is the list of Sox players showing up in the top of the DRS chart. http://fieldingbible.com/DRSLeaderboard
August 17, 20205 yr Author Sox now sitting at 73.8% playoff chance according to fangraphs, still 7th in AL.
August 17, 20205 yr 2 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said: Sox now sitting at 73.8% playoff chance according to fangraphs, still 7th in AL. Toronto took a huge hit with Bichette likely missing at least a month.
August 17, 20205 yr Author 1 minute ago, fathom said: Toronto took a huge hit with Bichette likely missing at least a month. The really good thing for us is the remainder of our schedule is pretty low. Ours is .518, while Cleveland is .543 and Minnesota is .555. We have a real shot at a top 2 slot in the division still, especially if Clevinger and Pleasac are gone for.
August 17, 20205 yr 3 minutes ago, fathom said: Toronto took a huge hit with Bichette likely missing at least a month. His numbers are absurd.
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