https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds

A’s at least at 1.5%.

We did it! Eliminated by April

What?  I’m not seeing Jim Carrey anywhere in here.

Who care.  These numbers are made up

4 minutes ago, Green Line said:

Who care.  These numbers are made up

Not made up:

"To generate the playoff odds, we take the current standings, the remaining schedule, and each team's projected performance. We use those inputs to simulate the remaining season 20,000 times. We aggregate these outcomes to find the probability of winning the division or a Wild Card spot, along with winning the World Series and various playoff rounds. If a team has a 90% chance to make the playoffs it means that 18,000 out of the 20,000 simulated seasons end with the team making the playoffs."

MLB Playoff Odds | FanGraphs Baseball

26 minutes ago, KipWellsFan said:

Not made up:

"To generate the playoff odds, we take the current standings, the remaining schedule, and each team's projected performance. We use those inputs to simulate the remaining season 20,000 times. We aggregate these outcomes to find the probability of winning the division or a Wild Card spot, along with winning the World Series and various playoff rounds. If a team has a 90% chance to make the playoffs it means that 18,000 out of the 20,000 simulated seasons end with the team making the playoffs."

MLB Playoff Odds | FanGraphs Baseball

They say if the concept of infinity exists then eventually apes will type out Macbeth. I'd assume eventually the White Sox would also win a playoff series.

52 minutes ago, Green Line said:

Who care.  These numbers are made up

Do you believe they are exaggerated or incorrect 

1 hour ago, Green Line said:

Who care.  These numbers are made up

Me care. Number bad.

4 hours ago, Kyyle23 said:

Do you believe they are exaggerated or incorrect 

Exaggerated.  Theyre always wrong.

1 hour ago, Green Line said:

Exaggerated.  Theyre always wrong.

But they pretty accurately capture a given moment in time based on up to date results and their proprietary assessment of body of work/rigid statistical analysis...but not necessarily what will happen in the future.

A bit like in-game win loss probabilities displayed on the screen.

5 hours ago, Green Line said:

Exaggerated.  Theyre always wrong.

They aren't wrong. They are probabilities based on specific points in time and historic models.  It is stats 101.

Suck it Vegas odds makers

Those three teams (from thread title)...along with the A's (1.1%), are the ONLY ones with less than 10% odds of making the playoffs as of current moment.

 

Marlins 11.1%

Angels 14.6%

Royals 14.4%

 

1-5 Astros still are predicted for first place in the AL West, for example.

So you're saying the Sox have a chance, EXCELLENT 

Edited April 3, 20242 yr by Falstaff

We still have a chance!

39 minutes ago, SoxAce said:

We still have a chance!

That's what they get for loading up on former White Sox players 

8 hours ago, southsider2k5 said:

That's what they get for loading up on former White Sox players 

The 2021 Braves?