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6/19, Sox @ Tigers, 5:40 PM, Let’s Take Game 1

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1 hour ago, BigHurt3515 said:

Shitty way to lose a game with the duck snort and then an awful play letting the 2nd run score

OK , I'll play the blame game.

First as to Peters dive to try to catch a line drive ... a catch that could have helped end the inning and win the game. A low line drive directly at a CF is the hardest ball to judge in terms of its trajectory. Peters has caught line drives like that one, including another one in that game. He was going full speed to try to catch the line drive. I don't blame him, but if anyone wants to, go ahead. In my eyes, he went for it to try to win the game. Once he committed, he could not stop and catch the ball on a bounce. The guy is a gamer. Don't blame him for that.

Second, who lost the game ? Eisert. He could not even get through an inning without giving up the lead. And further, who decided to go with Eisert to open? Any blame for that.

Yes, the blame game can be brutal when you lose. Just look ahead and hope the Sox win a game or two in the series.

Edited by tray

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28 minutes ago, hi8is said:

Tired?!?!?!???? Nobody’s allowed to be tired!!!!!

( of course - they were gassed and rightfully so. Can only imagine the nightmare NY was while they were there with all the Knicks stuff going down. )

I like this new character you have going. Show we trade Mune as the season is clearly over?

46 minutes ago, Colome's Hat said:

I like this new character you have going. Show we trade Mune as the season is clearly over?

Ask Senior Douchebag fake Sox fan and he‘ll tell you Mune sucks, always strikes out, and doesn’t even want to play for our team.

Some stats on Quero’s out to center from a LLM:

looking at the pure physics and Statcast's baseline overlay data for a ball with a 102.9 mph exit velocity and a 29-degree launch angle that travels 415 feet, we can break down exactly how this translates across the league's 30 ballparks.

The Short Answer

A 415-foot blast straight to center field is a home run in 26 to 28 out of 30 major league parks.

It is a guaranteed "no-doubter" in the vast majority of stadiums, but it gets caught or hits the wall in a select few deep outfields.

The Dynamic of 415 Feet in Center Field

To put this hit into context, the average major league distance to dead center field is roughly 402 feet. At 415 feet of distance, the ball has plenty of clearance to clear 8-to-10-foot walls in about 90% of the league.

Here are the specific parks where a 415-foot shot dead-center is either a guaranteed out, an off-the-wall double, or highly dependent on the exact vector:

The Definite Out

 Fenway Park (Boston Red Sox): Dead center is manageable, but if the ball shifts just slightly to the right of the bullpen into "The Triangle," the wall extends out to 420 feet. A 415-foot flyball here is nothing more than a very loud F-8 out to centerfield.  

⚠️ The Borderline "Wall-Scrapers" (Stadium Dependent)

 Coors Field (Colorado Rockies): The wall in dead center is exactly 415 feet. Because of the high altitude, a ball hit with this exit velo/launch angle combo usually carries further than 415 feet, making it a home run in practice. However, if environmental factors hold it to a strict 415, it risks hitting the top of the wall.  

 Oracle Park (San Francisco Giants): Dead center is 415 feet. Combined with the heavy, dense marine layer air and the wall height, a 415-foot shot directly to the deepest part of the park frequently clangs off the brick wall or gets tracked down at the warning track.

 Comerica Park (Detroit Tigers): Officially listed at 412 feet to dead center, a 415-foot flight path clears it, but if it pushes slightly to the left-center gap (which historically played out to 420 feet before dimensions were pulled in), it becomes a highly stressful watch at the track.

Summary

If you see these exact Statcast numbers flash on a broadcast, the hit has an Expected Batting Average (xBA) of nearly 1.000 and will be a home run in 27 parks on average, failing to clear only the absolute deepest, historic configurations of modern baseball.


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