July 10, 200718 yr What's everyone's prediction on when Thome will hit #500? My prediction: On Elvis Night, Friday August 10 vs Seattle. Will there be much hype, locally and nationally, leading up to #500, and will it be a big deal? Will it be like any other homerun or will it generate a sellout crowd (if it's at home) with a playoff type atmosphere? I can't wait for this.. it's something to really look forward to in the 2nd half!!
July 10, 200718 yr QUOTE(SouthSidePride05 @ Jul 9, 2007 -> 08:14 PM) What's everyone's prediction on when Thome will hit #500? My prediction: On Elvis Night, Friday August 10 vs Seattle. Will there be much hype, locally and nationally, leading up to #500, and will it be a big deal? Will it be like any other homerun or will it generate a sellout crowd (if it's at home) with a playoff type atmosphere? I can't wait for this.. it's something to really look forward to in the 2nd half!! August 27th. Because it's mine and Thome's birthday. It's only fitting.
July 10, 200718 yr Save for a miracle run that we all know isn't going to happen, Thome's quest could be th emain story of our second half. They plugged it in the ESPN Baseball tonight first half recap- they ended with Ortiz, Thome, and Bonds' last home runs teasing that they all reach where they're going.
July 12, 200718 yr Hopefully the big man stays healthy enough to hit it this year. Konerko being hot is going to be getting some pitches to hit, so that ought to help.
July 12, 200718 yr i dont know if it will happen this year. i know that he has to get 14, but i just dont know
July 12, 200718 yr QUOTE(WHITESOXRANDY @ Jul 12, 2007 -> 08:23 AM) I just hope that it happens in Cleveland. I bet they'd be really concerned with it as they boo during an Indians' victory en route to the AL Central title...
July 13, 200718 yr QUOTE(WHITESOXRANDY @ Jul 12, 2007 -> 01:23 PM) I just hope that it happens in Cleveland. Not that it means much but MLB.com has predicted that Thome would hit 500 9/2/2007 at..... CLEVELAND. My prediction.... July 29th vs Tor!!! 17 games and only 13 home runs needed! I know a long shot but i just want to be there when it happens!
July 13, 200718 yr QUOTE(ChiSox9 @ Jul 13, 2007 -> 01:32 PM) Not that it means much but MLB.com has predicted that Thome would hit 500 9/2/2007 at..... CLEVELAND. My prediction.... July 29th vs Tor!!! 17 games and only 13 home runs needed! I know a long shot but i just want to be there when it happens! haha, good luck with that
July 13, 200718 yr QUOTE(Shadows @ Jul 13, 2007 -> 06:50 PM) haha, good luck with that If not then it will have to happen at a weekend home game in August.
August 21, 200718 yr his production has dropped WAY off. Is there any mystery that he is starting a dramatic decline?
August 21, 200718 yr QUOTE(Gregory Pratt @ Aug 21, 2007 -> 01:52 PM) Doubt he'll get it this year. +1
August 21, 200718 yr QUOTE(RockRaines @ Aug 21, 2007 -> 01:58 PM) his production has dropped WAY off. Is there any mystery that he is starting a dramatic decline? Jim Thome, even when healthy, has traditionally been one of the streakiest hitters in baseball. I'll give you hsi splits from 04, when he was healthy, as an example: April/Mar. .364 .456 .714 1.170 May .253 .371 .560 .931 June .306 .430 .816 1.246 July .229 .345 .417 .762 August .264 .412 .560 .972 Sept./Oct .225 .364 .380 .744 Even when he was pretty healthy, in a season where he hit 42 home runs, his numbers swung up and down like crazy. You can look back at earlier seasons and see the same thing (hit .212 in April of 02, etc.) If he's actually hurting, then he's hurting. But just because his numbers are down for a month doesn't necessarily mean he's finished.
August 21, 200718 yr QUOTE(Balta1701 @ Aug 21, 2007 -> 06:14 PM) Jim Thome, even when healthy, has traditionally been one of the streakiest hitters in baseball. I'll give you hsi splits from 04, when he was healthy, as an example: April/Mar. .364 .456 .714 1.170 May .253 .371 .560 .931 June .306 .430 .816 1.246 July .229 .345 .417 .762 August .264 .412 .560 .972 Sept./Oct .225 .364 .380 .744 Even when he was pretty healthy, in a season where he hit 42 home runs, his numbers swung up and down like crazy. You can look back at earlier seasons and see the same thing (hit .212 in April of 02, etc.) If he's actually hurting, then he's hurting. But just because his numbers are down for a month doesn't necessarily mean he's finished. When was the last time he slugged under .500? How bout under .530? Shoot, whens the last time he hit under 30 hr's? The guy is declining, and declining fast.
August 22, 200718 yr QUOTE(RockRaines @ Aug 21, 2007 -> 06:40 PM) When was the last time he slugged under .500? How bout under .530? Shoot, whens the last time he hit under 30 hr's? The guy is declining, and declining fast. Up until 3 weeks ago, he was second in the AL in OBP. I'll take that decline. He's as streaky as they come. He may hit 8 homers the next 2 weeks. The thing is when he's hitting, he's also walking a lot and not striking out much. When he's not going well, everything pretty much goes with him. He'll be fine. The answer to both of your questions is 2005. Edited August 22, 200718 yr by Dick Allen
August 22, 200718 yr QUOTE(Dick Allen @ Aug 21, 2007 -> 07:20 PM) Up until 3 weeks ago, he was second in the AL in OBP. I'll take that decline. He's as streaky as they come. He may hit 8 homers the next 2 weeks. The thing is when he's hitting, he's also walking a lot and not striking out much. When he's not going well, everything pretty much goes with him. He'll be fine. Well if OBP is all you want from him then thats good. But his eye isnt something that delines, his power stroke does.
August 22, 200718 yr QUOTE(RockRaines @ Aug 21, 2007 -> 07:21 PM) Well if OBP is all you want from him then thats good. But his eye isnt something that delines, his power stroke does. Right now he's on pace to hit 30 or 31 homers if he gets to 500 ABs which is actually pretty good. Putting that into perspective, Willie Mays hit 660 homers in 10880 at bats. About the same rate the declining Jim Thome is hitting them this season. He has the best home run per at bat ratio on the team. Better than Konerko, better than Dye, better than even Josh Fields. This is right after he's been sort of cold, chances are it will go up. Edited August 22, 200718 yr by Dick Allen
August 22, 200718 yr only 7 more. that'd be nice for him to get to 500 this year, just adding on with this year of milestones.
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