49ers are fav to win the Super Bowl

 

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The Cubs were one of the favorites to win the WS this year.

Last time I checked the 49ers still have Alex Smith at QB.

My Super Bowl prediction

 

49ers over Houston

 

Sounds good to me

Last time I checked the 49ers still have Alex Smith at QB.

 

We should have won it last year, if it wasn't for Kyle Williams.

We should have won it last year, if it wasn't for Kyle Williams.

Not this s*** again.

49ers - 4/1

Pats/Packers - 6/1

Broncos - 7/1

Bears - 8/1

 

Keep in mind of course that this means nothing. The Cowboys are 10/1 and I'd be shocked if they made the playoffs next year.

The Bears are 22/1 at the Wynn.

 

We should have won it last year, if it wasn't for Kyle Williams.

If someone recovered the fumbles for the 49ers, nobody would care. If Alex Smith would've thrown for 1 more TD, nobody would care. You can't blame it on one guy if other players could've done more throughout the course of the game before the fumbles.

If the Bears are 8/1 at one place and 22/1 at another, then bet $1955.55 against them at the first place and $100 on them at the second place and you're guaranteed a profit of $244.45

If the Bears are 8/1 at one place and 22/1 at another, then bet $1955.55 against them at the first place and $100 on them at the second place and you're guaranteed a profit of $244.45

 

You can't bet AGAINST a team winning the Super Bowl?

You can't bet AGAINST a team winning the Super Bowl?

 

Why not?

Why not?

 

No one offers those bets.

Why not?

 

Ask the bookies who offer the bets

It'd be worthless. You've got 31 out of 32 options to win the bet, so the payout would have to be incredibly low.

We should have won it last year, if it wasn't for Kyle Williams.

 

Well if we can be revisionist, the Bears would have won it if Cutler didnt break his thumb. See how that works? It happened, Williams fumbled.

It'd be worthless. You've got 31 out of 32 options to win the bet, so the payout would have to be incredibly low.

 

I understand that. If the payout is 8/1 on the Bears winning the Super Bowl, then the payout should be 1/8 on them not winning.

I understand that. If the payout is 8/1 on the Bears winning the Super Bowl, then the payout should be 1/8 on them not winning.

 

In theory, sure. But this isn't a two sided proposition. You can either bet the Bears to win, or not bet at all. That's it. No one offers the opposite side.

I understand that. If the payout is 8/1 on the Bears winning the Super Bowl, then the payout should be 1/8 on them not winning.

 

That's not remotely how it works. They only have to pay out one bet for the Super Bowl winners bet. If they provided bets on NOT winning the Super Bowl, they'd have to pay out 31 different bets every year. The odds would be drastically different.

those are some horrible odds.

 

 

5dimes has the 49ers at 12-1

Bears are 24-1

Packers are 5-1

That's not remotely how it works. They only have to pay out one bet for the Super Bowl winners bet. If they provided bets on NOT winning the Super Bowl, they'd have to pay out 31 different bets every year. The odds would be drastically different.

 

You mean that when you bet the field, IE have 31 out of 32 chances of winning, the odds are better than when you pick the Bears, 1/32.

 

Can I subscribe to your mathematical newsletter?

 

 

those are some horrible odds.

 

 

5dimes has the 49ers at 12-1

Bears are 24-1

Packers are 5-1

 

That is all about how much cash people are putting on specific teams.

That is all about how much cash people are putting on specific teams.

 

which is why the Cubs always have such low odds to win the WS, even with this year's roster

which is why the Cubs always have such low odds to win the WS, even with this year's roster

Yup, when I was in Vegas they were the 3rd most likely to win the WS based on the odds.

which is why the Cubs always have such low odds to win the WS, even with this year's roster

 

Those are the days I wish I had a casino. I would love to be taking peoples money to bet on the Cubs.

No one offers those bets.

 

There are places that do that but the odds do not translate. The odds to be the Bears don't win the Superbowl are probably something like 4-5.

 

Also Vegas is all money driven so the stupid set the line more than the book in things like cubs baseball and USC football.

Yeesh, I'd jump in on the Bears at 25-1 if I could.

IndyStar reporting that Luck has signed.