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GuerreroEnjoyer @aidan54186539 Toronto sports enjoyer Toronto, Ontario Joined May 2020 1,734 Following 651 Followers

"There’s obvious risk in this profile. Miguel Sano jumps to mind as a faux third baseman with 80 power who could never make enough contact to stick even as a first baseman. On the flip side of the coin, there are scenarios where Murakami is effectively a lite version of Kyle Schwarber’s skill set — but eight years younger with more defensive value as a competent first baseman. The range of outcomes is all over the place on Murakami, but the upside here is tantalizing enough that we’re predicting a huge investment — likely one with opt-outs along the way. There will be a sizable cost on top of the contract guaranteed to Murakami himself. The signing club would owe a posting fee to the Swallows that is proportional to the size of the contract: 20% of the deal’s first $25MM, 17.5% of the next $25MM, and 15% of spending thereafter. A $180MM contract would come with a posting fee just shy of $29MM. It’s worth noting that the posting fee is not part of a team’s competitive balance tax calculation." 8/$180 million + $29 million posting fee Sure, why not a $209 million investment???

Oh we so fucking back!

If you've been to Gary or Hammand recently you know there's no credible plan on spending billions, he'll much less millions in an area as economically challenged as those communities. Developing in AH provides a dense concentration of households with incomes exceeded $100,000. The collective wealth of the North West Suburbs is probably 50x of NWI. You can sell developers on hotels, restaurants, retail, smaller event venues, a wide range of entertainment options. There's no economically viable plan to do that in NWI. The Bears know they have a weak hand, they made the opening move and committed $200M because they knew if they didn't they'd have to spend $400M. When they develop the land and start to sell off pieces to private equity they'll sell it for billions. Sorry, but no, NWI is a bluff, a really bad bluff from an organization that doesn't need a single penny from the pubic to still come out billions ahead. But at this point they have nothing to lose, either their bluff works and the state kicks some money in or they're right where they started.

I cannot imagine how anyone could see how Reinsdorf teams have operated for ~40+ years and think he'd be willing to operate at a loss for 1 year let alone several.

Do you have a credible source for that

"San Diego Padres explore sale of team two years after owner Seidler's death. LAS VEGAS — The San Diego Padres, who are about $300 million in debt, are exploring the possibility of selling the franchise, the team announced Thursday at the end of the GM Meetings." Go look at the Forbes team valuations in 2006 and compare to 2025. https://www.sportsbusinessjournal.com/Daily/Issues/2006/04/21/The-Back-Of-The-Book/Forbes-Releases-MLB-Franchise-Valuations-Yankees-Top-$1B/ The franchise values have BOTH increased to roughly $1.8 billion...but SD has been one of the most entertaining teams since 2019 and a constant Top 5 attendance presence. 4/6 playoffs made, etc. Four playoff series victories. Knocked off Dodgers in 2022. SD is just over luxury tax threshold 2025. $4-5 million in luxury tax. Also just added almost $90 million in new contracts this week. Darvish Bogaerts Cronenworth Merrill Musgrove Tatis Machado all over $100 million...Tatis/Machado $330ish. Added Pivetta $55 million last off season. King @ $75 million. Two very distinct ways to run a team, but ending up in the same franchise valuations despite one being decidedly small market. The only difference is $150 million in debt. But still $200 million less debt than the Twins.

The Sox have been losing money year after year according to SS2K5. An easy way to soften those losses is to slash payroll. Especially right before you are planning to sell the team in 2029. And I am not buying that Ishbia is going to fund any Sox offseason until he actually owns the team.

I’m guessing Robert will be traded at some point, so it’s basically Benintendi, Kay (who will probably be traded too if he’s any good), and then a bunch of guys making league minimum in 2027. It’s basically as clean of a slate as you’ll get from a payroll standpoint.

The truth is that Jerry isn’t approving any real spending outside of cheap low tier free agents until he sells the team. It’s been funny reading this site and posters still having hope that Getz will sign some decent free agents. Guys like O’Hearn and Fairbanks are more than likely out of the range of what Getz can even spend. Jhonkensy Noel for 1B is right up Getz’s alley, just like Everson Pereira was for RF/CF.

I won’t hold my breath

Clearly, we should all 100% believe this Twitter rando.

https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/12/pirates-designate-marco-luciano-tsung-che-cheng-for-assignment.html Now you’re speaking Jerry’s Chenguage

The problem is can anyone be sure about Tucker for $300-425 million? Those sure things like a Tyler Glasnow or Dylan Cease have even more risk attached at peak FA rates. Same with Valdez and Imai, for that matter. Would anyone be really excited about Bellinger, for that matter? Enough to go out and buy a new jersey? You need the type of players little kids dream about being (see PCA). That's also part of the inherent responsibility of owners in the entertainment business.

I doubt they want to risk adding another potential bloated contract if they aren’t sure about the guy to begin with. They already have to sell Robert and his $20 million plus his $2 million buyout on some team and have no hopes of dumping Benintendi’s remaining 2-years and $31 million. That’s already $53 million dollars the Sox don’t want on their payroll over the next two seasons.

Tier B is where the White Sox have committed almost all of their big FA mistakes.

Of course, but Jerry sucks

I’m not expecting them to spend until after the lockout issues are resolved. It would be nice to see them try to improve though.

I’d take Okamoto or O’Hearn as alternatives, but I just don’t think those guys have the same ceiling of Murakami. Take a big swing for once.

They’re not going to spend like you think they should, end of story

You’re not wrong, but this is the perfect time for them to take a risk. The payroll is basically non-existent. If he doesn’t translate, then it’s unfortunate but at least they tried. But there is also the possibility that he is a monster. And he fits in perfectly from an age/skillset standpoint.

WestEddy named as Getz lieutenant?

And Okamoto would be 30-31, then 32-33 in the years they most needed him to perform. Equally risky, albeit maybe 60% of the financial commitment of Murakami.