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His spin rates have been way up too. Velocity as well. Which is probably the real cause for what the article listed. He needed to make a change and actually appears to have over the break. Hope it continues.

You'se right, fixed it. That table obviously isn't enough to prove a conclusion, but it's an idea why people care about the stat.

Sure but then you're looking Wins Above Irredeemable Major Leaguer or something. Here's the top 15 teams last year for example, I just added a flat 48 to everyone. WAR Actual Exp 1 59.9 103 48 107.9 4.9 56.3 108 48 104.3 -3.7 51.3 100 48 99.3 -0.7 50.7 91 48 98.7 7.7 49.8 92 48 97.8 5.8 49 97 48 97 0 47.3 90 48 95.3 5.3 45 95 48 93 -2 40.7 90 48 88.7 -1.3 39.8 82 48 87.8 5.8 39.6 96 48 87.6 -8.4 36.6 91 48 84.6 -6.4 35.7 89 48 83.7 -5.3 34.9 80 48 82.9 2.9 34.1 82 48 82.1 0.1 They Brewers are the largest outlier, and it did feel that they over performed their true talent at least to me.

It's because you're supposed to at ~43.5 wins to the WAR total, as that's how many games you'd expect a 0 WAR team to win. The Sox were expected to get ~61 wins by bWAR last year, they got 62. Obviously it's still baseball and weird shit happens but it's almost always within +/- 10 wins and more often than not within 5.

Wow a lineup with 3 people that matter long term. Amazing how much progress they made since last week.

If this were true, than there'd be one version not 3. I'm not even hating on it, I'm big on the numbers, but saying there is zero subjectivity is not true. It's certainly not objective fact that RA9 is better than FIP or vice versa. Straight from the horses mouth: "There are hundreds of steps to make this calculation, and dozens of places where reasonable people can disagree on the best way to implement a particular part of the framework"

With facts and logic

Hasn't Elias been the GM for like 10 months?

1. To say there's nothing subjective isn't totally true, but the situation you laid out and the way it's scored doesn't make any difference to WAR. That play will be a knock on him in both instances. 2. I'm not even sure what your point is. 3. Use Wins Above Average then. What difference does it make what the baseline is. This is completely silly. And yes the 9th inning generally matters more than the first couple, but not necessarily more than the 8th or 7th.

Don't they have two or three more offspring in the pipe too? The still have Kacy Clemens right?

I wonder if this indicative of some org strategy to target blood, or if it's mostly just coincidence

Is Trey Mancini too bad in right to target?

He's worth a shot, but I'm not holding my breath he doesn't suck

It’ll probably be something like ‘4 levels in one year is a lot to ask’ but I am fascinated to see how they dance around not calling him up.

You figure you hope to have a ++ bat in left and a + bat in center, there are worse things to do with the right fielder than help steal outs back that Eloy gives away.

Bob is as untrustworthy as they come. There’s just no one this is true, and if it is they need to do it yesterday.

Are these real words?

He's under contract for two + an option. It could be worth an ask at least imo.

What do you call what they're doing now?

This is what I don’t want the Sox doing with Nova

Well considering the AL east (Mostly either NY or BOS) has accounted for 90% of pre-two team wild cards.

The fact that they need to add WAY less from outside than they did in 2016

I think it does a couple things for cheap 1. You just made teams who may be looking into Thor more desperate, by taking out the second best option, and you could probably get back 75-80% of what you gave up for Stroman in the offseason. 2. You could do a lot worse than going into 2020 with DeGrom, Syndergaard, Stroman, Alonso, Nimmo, Conforto, McNeil.

I thought this was dumb at first, but now I'm leaning toward it being creative.

The only way it was happening faster than 2020 was if literally every single prospect hit the ground running full speed and healthy. That obviously didn't happen and quite frankly is a ridiculous expectation.