HuskyCaucasian

FYI: Looks like Drudge and CNN might be working with different numbers. Drudge has Obama with 53% of men, but CNN has CLinton with 55%.

QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Apr 22, 2008 -> 04:30 PM) On the other hand, the contact of one of the guys at the National Review has it 52 Obama 47 Clinton. FWIW. Who knows at this point. So, it looks like Clinton +4 MIGHT be weighted?

mmmmm my baby Nora O'Donnell on MSNBC. *drools* Speaking of baby... i think she's pregnant.

QUOTE (SoxFan562004 @ Apr 22, 2008 -> 03:32 PM) http://www.drudgereport.com/ the headline is "5pm (et) exit Poll 52 Clinton 48 Obama" no source or anything, but first numbers I've seen. WOW!!!!! I can believe it. But, wow. Even to project that is incredible! (note that he reported yesterday that Clinton internals had her +11. So, that that for what it is worth)

Exit Polls Via CNN: 1 out of 7 are new democratic voters (60% voted for Obama) assuming 2,300,000 voters, that 197,142 votes for Obama and 131,428 for Clinton. Voters who decided in the last week: Clinton 58% - I missed the obama number

QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Apr 22, 2008 -> 03:19 PM) How might the candidates look after 4 years in office? Time does not work well for Hillary. OUCH!

QUOTE (Athomeboy_2000 @ Apr 22, 2008 -> 01:46 PM) We will know the winner of the Pennsylvania Primary the moment the polls close. More to come.... ...Ok, now that I have you all teased, here's what I mean. I kinda lied. But here we go... I did a statistical breakdown of all the exit polling from all the other primary states. (Apparently I have nothing better to do!!) What my stats show is that if you compare the exit polling to the ACTUAL results, there is only a difference of about .63%. The exit polls have been exceptionally accurate. In the 26 primaries (not caucuses) held to date, only 5 times has the difference between the exit polls and actual results been more than 1.5% apart. That's 26 states times 2 (obama and Clinton). So 5 out of 52 data points... that's pretty darn accurate! If you factor in .63% on both sides, that leaves a margin of error at about 1.5% Typically the exit polls are released the moment polls close. So, unless it shows a 50-50 or 51-49 result, we will know the winner before the results roll in, especially if the polls show her with a 3+ point win.

QUOTE (Texsox @ Apr 22, 2008 -> 02:41 PM) Look at the bottom. This is someone's campaign piece. Instructions to vote yes on the questions etc. The Paid for on the bottom. This is not the official ballot. People are confused. unfortunately some people dont read the fine print

QUOTE (Texsox @ Apr 22, 2008 -> 02:22 PM) Actually it is amazing we get it right as much as we do. Imagine even a .5% error rate would number in the tens of thousands, and it never gets that bad. But I am certain it was Clinton and her people. no disagreement from me on that

QUOTE (jackie hayes @ Apr 22, 2008 -> 02:27 PM) Just read the comments, the claim is garbage. This claim arose around noon Eastern, but no photos of bad ballots have yet to surface, only photos of campaign literature that looks like a ballot and instructs people how to vote for particular candidates. It's nothing. Are you referring to this?

Unknown Authenticity, but... Obama not on some ballots?

QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Apr 22, 2008 -> 01:48 PM) How is that? You mean the networks will "project" it right away based on their exit polls? If they are saying that now, then Clinton won. it's called a tease I'll get you more info in a bit.

QUOTE (mr_genius @ Apr 22, 2008 -> 01:47 PM) they would have to register before hand, 30 days before the election I believe. you can't just walk in and be like "I'm a Democrat now!" on the day of the election in Penn. Exactly. In my case, i am an independent, so in IL i can just walk in and pick a side. In PA, i would have had to call and declare myself 30 days prior.

We will know the winner of the Pennsylvania Primary the moment the polls close. More to come....

QUOTE (Texsox @ Apr 22, 2008 -> 01:42 PM) I wonder what system they have to "register" if it is "trouble". IN Illinois and Texas, it is a matter of announcing which ballot you want. Same effort all around. Do you have to fill something out in advance, or take another step in Penn? You have to register as a Dem or Rep when you register to vote. Registration closed a while back. So, you cant change the day of.

QUOTE (kapkomet @ Apr 22, 2008 -> 01:26 PM) Uh huh. Then, though, it was ok. It's never ok. But let's not get into THAT debate again. lol

QUOTE (BigSqwert @ Apr 22, 2008 -> 01:22 PM) Hey you're right. Didn't think that one through all the way. I expected better form you. I am shamed. lol jk

Reports that in one "republican" district a lot of republicans had switched and voted for Clinton.

QUOTE (Athomeboy_2000 @ Apr 22, 2008 -> 08:29 AM) Bill Clinton: Obama "Played The Race Card On Me" “I think that they played the race card on me. We now know, from memos from the campaign that they planned to do it along.” Can he back up that statement about the memos? Or is this another Sniper Fire story? Bill Clinton DENIES he ever said it even though it is on TAPE!

MSNBC is reporting major voting machine problems in Philly and especially in African American areas. UH OH! Update: A PA official came on MSNBC and was darn near irate that there were suggestions that there were still problems. He said that there was a few problems earlier, but they have been corrected.

QUOTE (Reddy @ Apr 22, 2008 -> 08:38 AM) its probably the government doing some crazy s*** out of area 51. in FL too? This is honestly such a weird story. Two different areas of the country. One a repeat performance.

Why this is over by May 6th... Let's assume CLinotn nets 10 delegates out of Penn this evening. Let's then assume that Obama wins NC by 10 points (or 11 delegates). Clinton then needs 80% of the remaining pledged delegates. Even if Obama dropped out after NC, she still wouldnt get 80% of the remaining pledged delegates. She can not win if she does not win by 20+ points. Even THEN she needs 75%.

Play my Alto Sax. It's the only "talent show" worthy talent I have.

Mystery lights reported over Phoenix Mystery Lights Spotted Flying 'In Formation' In Fla. Skies

Obama's Road Map to an Upset Win the city of Philadelphia by a 75% to 25 margin. Philadelphia is Obama country and Pennsylvania's most populous urban center. If he can run up the score there and minimize his losses elsewhere, Clinton will be unable to get the big win she needs. Win the Philadelphia suburbs by at least a 55% to 45 margin. While working class white voters comprise a significant proportion of the populous, there are also colleges and coffee shops. Voters are on average better educated and unapologetically progressive - two variables which weigh in Obama's favor. Turnout the youth vote. Much has been said about Pennsylvania's older, blue-collar population. It is the ultimate obstacle between Obama and an upset. However, over 380,000 new voters have registered Democratic to vote in today's primary, a substantial proportion of which are converts and collegians. 62 percent of these new Democratic voters support Obama. If these voters turn out, Obama is in good shape.