Jake
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Everything posted by Jake
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It's a deal where you can hate the plan and be disappointed that the trade signals the continuation of that plan. At the same time, it's not like the plan doesn't come without its benefits - you can get a good young player in trade like Russell. Some of them will turn out.
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Gordon could be the downfall of Hawk's career. Could lose his mind when he's traded
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It's not rocket science, here. Dayan has to hit better. We know what a good hitting version of him would look like. A little higher average, a little higher walk rate, and an uptick in power. Bear in mind, when looking at WAR, he's going to have an uphill battle this year playing RF where the defensive portion is going to be even more unkind to him
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Official Recruiting Thread II
Jake replied to greasywheels121's topic in Alex’s Olde Tyme Sports Pub
Groce gets 'em with the Jesus talk -
QUOTE (Jordan4life @ Jul 5, 2014 -> 11:24 PM) Yet they were one of the finalists for Tanaka. Sox fans should know better. How many times did KW practically file for bankruptcy during his GM tenure? Yeah, there's nobody besides the Cubs saying they were finalists for Tanaka.
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There is way too much smoke about the Cubs being out of cash for there not to be a fire.
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QUOTE (Melissa1334 @ Jul 5, 2014 -> 08:09 PM) how do you trade gibson though, if he helped you recruit him lol If Melo demands a max deal, he'll understand what would have to happen for him to get it
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QUOTE (Brian @ Jul 5, 2014 -> 06:47 PM) Think LA can give him more money. It has been said repeatedly that the Bulls believe they can easily make the moves necessary to free up space for a max deal if that's his ask.
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QUOTE (Andy the Clown @ Jul 5, 2014 -> 07:06 PM) I'd rather have the financial flexibility going forward. If you're talking about finding someone to fill out the rotation for the rest of the year, sign Wandy Rodriguez to the minimum. We have a LOT of financial flexibility even with Danks on the roster. I'll trade Danks if we get good value. His peripherals are horrible right now, I'm not sure if he can keep it up.
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QUOTE (Heads22 @ Jul 5, 2014 -> 06:33 PM) Woj makes it sound like the Lakers are really moving in on Anthony. I interpret that to be good news. If he's considering Lakers, there's no way he isn't considering Bulls
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22% K rate isn't exactly alarming and you can't ignore his team-leading OBP either.
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QUOTE (Brian @ Jul 5, 2014 -> 05:22 PM) Every guy wants sex from women. somebody (except for asexuals) FTFY
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I wouldn't mind Brian Roberts as a backup PG. I'd like Trevor Ariza, but I'm so uncertain about what kind of player he is that I'm not sure the expenditure will make sense for us. I kinda like Nick Young, but I have no clue what he'll cost. These are all in the "we don't get Carmelo situation."
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QUOTE (Brian @ Jul 5, 2014 -> 04:56 PM) Read this story a couple of weeks ago. Think there were some suspicious Google searches found on his computer about dogs in hot cars. This is exactly why you shouldn't use Google
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My feeling is that the yield on prospects, even good ones, is pretty damn low. This is especially true when we're talking about young and low-level guys like Addison Russel and CJ Edwards. If you accept that maybe 1 out of 5 of pretty damn good prospects nets you a major league regular, then you have to get 5 of these guys for every one major league spot you want filled. It's hard to get that many guys via trade and the difference on your MLB roster for having done so may not be worth the effort. I've always like the Sox's more pragmatic approach, which both values prospects and is hesitant to overvalue them. We often target guys that are close to the major leagues and/or have high floors when it comes to player acquisition. Alternately, we look to high ceiling but low risk players in these situations - who cares if Moises Sierra doesn't pan out? We can release him. I'm not a huge fan of paying top dollar for players that are far away from the majors.
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Chances are, the more trades you make to get to the same end, the worse off you will be. Too much risk in each step of the process.
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My previous employer sent me a letter today saying that they did not comply with some rule (not sure institutional or legal) that required them to let me know that I could divert some of my pay to a TIAA-CREF retirement account. To make amends, they created an account and deposited an amount equal to the average rate of contributions within their company. I wasn't making any money there and it isn't like it's a bunch that they put in there, but it's an impressive gesture. Now, I wish they had given me a clue as to how to access this account.
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QUOTE (Chicago White Sox @ Jul 5, 2014 -> 07:41 AM) The most important point in Jake's post is that we promoted a guy to AAA after striking out 31% of the time in AA. If that doesn't give Hahn enough merit to fire Buddy Bell I don't know what else does. Yes. There have to be some seriously extenuating circumstances to promote a player who strikes out in 3 out of 10 plate appearances.
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I'd like JR Murphy
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I'd probably leave Ravelo alone for a while and see if he can convert some of his hitting prowess into power prowess. They have a bunch of IF in AAA and I doubt they want to move Wilkins to AA
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I'm not at all convinced that Baez can play MLB IF
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If I trade Tank, I want to feel like it's a trade I will definitely not lose. Not just a deal where you walk away saying "well it's better than just giving him away!" but a deal where you feel okay if he really puts it together in a different environment
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QUOTE (fathom @ Jul 4, 2014 -> 10:28 PM) I could see them signing Lester and trading for David Price I don't. They don't have money and have show no desire for major league talent. Why trade Samardzija and then trade David Price? Price is obviously better, but the marginal gain isn't enough to justify all the effort.
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I'm still happy with the Sox, but I'd say this is the best return they've gotten in a trade so far. Just makes me chuckle that they aren't even remotely interested in building a winner with the current talent on the roster
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Mitchell is one of those prospects whose stats I rarely visit - I feel like I know his deal and usually there's nothing but sadness to see in his current numbers. So, with that in mind, I checked on things since he's hit so well in AA. I wanted to be able to tell myself that there could be some relevance to his AA production thus far. Let's look at things chronologically. It seems to me that we really set Jared up for failure. 2009 - he's drafted at 20 years old and is known to be quite raw for a 4-year college player. Hits well in Kannapolis in 34 games, drawing a lot of walks and sporting a .296/.417 line. Nearly 29% K rate is a concern, but sample is small. 149 wRC+ 2010 - Awful showing in AFL. .163/.239, 31% K rate. No power. Suffers a gruesome ankle injury in ST, misses entire season. 2011 - Despite time away from baseball and only 34 games experience in A- (and a pitiful AFL showing), he goes to A+. Not insane, by any stretch. He's 22 and they feel like he's too old to be in A-. Okay. He puts up a .222/.304/.377 line. 34% K rate. 93 wRC+. Wasn't ready/needed more time. 2012 - f*** the bad year in A+, he's going to AA. And...it could have been worse. .240/.368/.440, 127 wRC+. His walks recovered a lot, which is always a good sign for a young guy. Still, very high K rate at 31%. He's 23 years old, really not too old for AA. A case of the strikeouts in particular screaming out "don't be fooled by the OBP!" 2013 - He starts in AAA. Not pretty. Walks dip (11.3%), strikeouts skyrocket (37.6%). At this point, we have the cajones to demote his ass despite a modestly okay OBP (.329) and wRC+ (96). He falls on his face in AA, though, an obvious sign of a guy who has been jerked around so much that he's lost his grip. AA numbers are .174/.297, 70 wRC+, 14.1% BB/33% K. 2014 - Given all that....we put the motherf***er back in AAA. Again, he's trying to break everything we know about advanced statistics. High walks, alarming Ks again. .199/.348. Now he's in AA and has hit well in the couple weeks he's been there - .340/.400, 9.7% BB/22.6% K, 194 wRC+. So given his history, I just don't see how we could have ever had a reasonable expectation that he succeed in AAA. The fact that he had some success in AA in 2012 seemed like a fluke. I don't see how you ever promote a player with a K rate north of 30%. It seems to me that we needed to just be okay with the fact that his rawness out of the draft and the major industry the next season were going to make him old for his levels and just deal with that. Instead, we've just inexplicably promoted him over and over. You hear guys like Buddy Bell complaining that he's stubborn and this or that and those things might play into his struggles...but I'd probably be reluctant to make changes when I'm incredibly overmatched too. I don't know whether he'll do well in AA over the course of the season or not. Depends whether his mind is right and whether he has EVER been ready to be a AA player.
