chitownsportsfan

I will try and explain this as easily and concisely as possible. WAR is based on the idea that baseball is at heart, a discrete sport with a very nice denominator (outs) that allows statisticians to break it down into easily digested parts and assign each action (centered around outs) a value.. This guy named "Tango Tiger" did just that. He assigned a run value to pretty much everything that happens in baseball. The math is a bit beyond my pay grade but he actually uses the empirical data as well (like how many times a double produced a run, or a triple, or a single, or a walk, and so on) to sanity check his math and it turns out his math was pretty much perfect. The values he gave for example to a triple turned out pretty damn accurate. Here is a math primer: https://gosu02.tripod.com/id16.html Once you can assign a run value to every action (stolen base, triple, crazy Luis Robert running catch) it becomes easy to assign overall ranking against the hypothetical "replacement player" who is basically expected to produce enough runs (or prevent enough) so that a team filled with 25 of them would win like 45-50 games. This is the difference basically between a team full of average players (so roughly 81 wins) and one filled with 0 WAR players (replacement level). Pitching WAR is harder because people disagree on how much credit pitchers should get for preventing runs (usually the controversy is in how much hard hit contact they have control over) and always use pitching WAR values with a large grain of salt. In fact take all WAR values with a grain of salt because they are NOT PROJECTIONS ABOUT FUTURE PERFORMANCE. Sometimes a player can just get really fucking lucky all year (Hello Avi Garcia) and every worm burner finds a hole. That player really isn't a 4 WAR player, they just got really lucky one year. Hope this helps.

Are you familiar with Twitter clout? That's the entire point of the thing.

Have to wonder how healthy he is given nobody would even go 2/15 it appears. Might have dodged a bullet here.

I'm good at that price. Jesus. Talk about bidding against yourself. Who else was even in at that price...

Imagine how good it would have been for her career to just sleep with him and get the sources. Just a horrible position to put her in and this guy as noted is scum. He should be cast out from baseball.

Pipeline is by far the least accurate scouting list and are usually just rehashes of a player's reputation. Nobody that watched Nick last year thinks he's a gold glove level 2B. He has range issues and arm issues. In fact I am shocked that any scout that ever watched him thought he was a potential SS. He can be a solid 2B but there was talk he'd be a generational type defensive stalwart and that is just not the case.

Exactly. And she spoke out because she wanted to prevent more of this crap in the future.

He's scum.

You could just boilerplate "trying to find a FA that fits the budget and ____" every offseason for the Sox.

lol, neither do I but it seemed to fit the situation.

The devil you don't know is better than the one ya do!

All that's true and I'd still have rather just non tendered him.

Might as well light 2.1 million on fire. Whatever. I'd have preferred to just non tender him. The chances he turns into anything more than a shitty mopup guy are about 1/100.

the beauty of Fandom. ?

Nick and Leury both get rightly ripped for doing stupid shit on the bases. Didn't really see much bias in it, at least on this board.

How did the Madrigal slappies turn this into a Madrigal pumping thread? Man I hope this dude balls out so some of you guys find another player in need of a defense force.

Do we know if anybody is already down in AZ at Camelback? I'd assume there's a few heading there soon.

Noticed the morning was noticeably brighter today for the first time since solstice. Crazy we are basically 4 weeks away. I hope MLB doesn't screw up spring training too much. The guys have already proven they are capable of being disciplined. Whatever they did last year with protocol keep it rolling.

They squeezed that orange for all the juice and it was good juice. But going forward Hendriks > Colome and it's not really that close.

I like it, signals JR is ready to roll as long as the window is open, even if it means rolling over the roster that year at the expense of some cash.

Is there a team off the field with more talent...maybe...the Yankees WAGs?

There's many ways to think about it but it seems like the Sox are trying to leverage the next three years and Hendricks is trying to leverage being 31 in a COVID offseason.

"best pitch in baseball is first pitch fastball strike" Good advice maybe 50 years ago when most guys weren't capable of hitting a good fastball 400 feet. These guys are geared up now for heat and as we've seen the last few years the idea that you can't "pitch backwards" over and over has been proven an old wife's tale. Plenty of guys are now having success throwing well under 60% fastballs.