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Balta1701

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Everything posted by Balta1701

  1. QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jun 1, 2011 -> 03:34 PM) He has worn that line out this year. I think the size of the house changes every time.
  2. QUOTE (ChiSox_Sonix @ Jun 1, 2011 -> 03:30 PM) He had a decent May. I'd still rather he was gone and/or replaced by Viciedo but he was far from public enemy #1 this past month. The problem is...he had a decent may....by putting up a .704 OPS and still not being very good on defense. If he could still run, that'd be one thing, but he can't. He put up a .704 OPS and can't steal any more.
  3. The captain has his mojo back.
  4. The House leadership had scheduled a vote on a War Powers resolution offered by Congressman Kucinich that would effectively have forced and end of the U.S. involvement in Libya. That vote is no longer scheduled, apparently because there was a reasonable chance that the resolution would pass.
  5. More likely to be on something...Lillibridge or Bautista? Christ.
  6. THE STEALTH ELF STRIKES AGAIN!!!
  7. QUOTE (Chisoxfn @ Jun 1, 2011 -> 02:39 PM) Dunn is the definition of a mistake hitter. Dude has made his career hitting jacks in low leverage situations against mediocre pitching. Put him up against good pitching and he'll get PWNED (as do many players, but he'll get PWNED more due to the huge flaw in his game). Except his career splits flat out disagree with this assessment. High leverage: .916 OPS Med Leverage: .891 Low Leverage: .885
  8. QUOTE (fathom @ Jun 1, 2011 -> 02:36 PM) Omar's in a huge funk. Morel seems like he could have a good chance to hit the knuckler, but Omar's had a lot of success against Wakefield. Short guys don't get into funks.
  9. QUOTE (Quinarvy @ Jun 1, 2011 -> 02:23 PM) After the other day, trade Danks for a reliever and some good prospects. I'd strongly think of moving Sale back down to Charlotte and have him start preparing for being a starter too. What would you trade for a guy with an ERA of 5, a salary around $7 million, and 1.5 years left before he hits FA? If your answer is "Hudson and Holmberg" you're qualified to be the GM of the White Sox, and no other team in the league.
  10. Floyd suddenly snaps out a 9 pitch 123 inning.
  11. QUOTE (Jenksismyb**** @ Jun 1, 2011 -> 02:15 PM) Holding on to a large share or not, I fail to see why we don't consider that a debt that must be repaid, regardless of how long it takes. WTF did we just give them 80 billion. It's a LOAN, with the expectation of REPAYMENT. Don't we still own a ****load of shares in those companies?
  12. QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Jun 1, 2011 -> 12:18 PM) What this means is, in a year or two, as interest rates go up with all the cash being flooded in, and the regulatory environment solidifying... banks will then see that opportunistic situation in housing, and lending will start to loosen - banks going for better return on capital than they will get from a market that already priced in a recovery AND inflation. See where I'm going here? I get where you're going. Problem is...I still don't see interest rates going up. Or if they do go up, it's a mistake that they're doing so, as we're seeing in the Eurozone right now...where the Rise in Interest rates hits the demand side on ordinary goods again. We saw a general bump towards higher interest rate expectations earlier this year associated with the commodity price spike, and the end result has been Europe basically moving back into recession and U.S. growth entirely stalling, to the point that interest rates have once again turned around and QE3 looks like the right move (even if it won't happen).
  13. Well, now we need to hit a slow pitching guy with lots of movement.
  14. QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Jun 1, 2011 -> 11:16 AM) Yes and no. No, the numbers aren't adjusted in the same sense you'd think. But yes, they generally published trends vs previous YoY and such. If you look at the curve of activity, it hit a bottom then spiked around the housing tax credit deals, then bottomed again, now is back up a little. So as I said, there is some increase there... but prices are still plummeting because such a large percentage of sales are foreclosures. This is ultimately healthy for the market, but for now, it sucks. Just need to keep the new home building really low (which it is) for a while longer. A year ago I might have agreed with you...but the longer this goes on, the more I'm starting to flip and think that the fact that the housing market is down has now imposed societal changes that will keep the housing market "Down" at least until something happens with unemployment. Although prices have not undershot the pre-bubble levels yet, I've seen some data suggesting that the total housing construction has already undershot where it should be relative to a hypothetical bubble-less condition. In other words, we're already underinvesting in Housing (and everything else) relative to the long term trend...but there's been very little sign of growth because we're no where near working through the distressed sale gap and won't be for years. The lack of spending on construction/lack of jobs at some point might well be feeding back to a situation where the number of people who would buy houses decreases, causing less and less spending on housing and a long-term stagnation in this market.
  15. QUOTE (Chet Kincaid @ Jun 1, 2011 -> 11:27 AM) Props to Edwin Jackson for stepping up and for being willing to do what's best for the team. I'd like to see the Sox re sign this guy and keep him around. Somewhere, Scott Boras is sitting in an office and he just had an uncontrollable urge to burst into laughter. And he's not sure why.
  16. The U.S. is reportedly about to have 2 living Congressional Medal of Honor awardees.
  17. Somewhat on topic...a "Chart of the day" that appeared whilest I was out. Compared to a decade ago...the formation of new small businesses has plummeted, to the point where small business isn't necessarily the biggest driver of job growth any more, it's larger, more well-connected firms.
  18. QUOTE (RockRaines @ Jun 1, 2011 -> 11:14 AM) Humber added a pitch this year, therefor he isnt the same guy he has been for the last several years. Because of that, his historical numbers dont mean all that much. Its pretty clear by the teams he's beat that he's a legit pitcher. You still have to admit that the .225 BABIP he's given up suggests that he's due for a few bad outings.
  19. QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jun 1, 2011 -> 11:12 AM) Housing numbers aren't seasonally adjusted, or at least YoY analyzed? Housing numbers are not seasonally adjusted, either for the number of sales or for price or anything like that, and any seasonal adjustment you tried right now would get you no where, because the data for the last decade is completely compromised by the inflation of an enormous housing bubble (~1999-2007) the bursting of an enormous housing bubble (2007-present) and multiple one-time government interventions (Irony in phrase duly noted). You can try to do an intelligent YOY operation if you wanted, but that's the kind of thing you'd have to pay me to do. I'd have to account for how much of the YOY changes were driven by those one-time interventions and by the bubble in order to come up with a reasonable comparison. It doesn't make sense to straight up compare year over year home sales right now to year over year home sales in May 2006, or to May 2008, because of how massive the shifts have been, somehow you have to account for that.
  20. QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Jun 1, 2011 -> 10:57 AM) And the housing picture is still going through its girations around the bottom, with prices decreasing but activity increasing. The "Activity Increasing" tells you nothing other than "It's summer". Housing sale activity falls in the winter and rises in the Summer. It's also almost useless to make comparisons to how the activity was changing in previous years of this calamity, since last year at this time was the 2nd expiration of the Housing Tax Credit, which throughly distorted the market. I'd call any data on "activity" pretty much useless for the next couple years, because there's essentially nothing that it can be compared to.
  21. QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jun 1, 2011 -> 10:52 AM) That is a pretty misleading number if you can go from the 0 percentile to the 25th percentile in one start. If you can get ESPN to calculate the Median run support, I'd be interested in seeing it.

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