Everything posted by Texsox
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The Presidential Prediction Poll
QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Oct 24, 2008 -> 08:21 AM) Who on earth wants the approval of a random phone pollster? If anything, people are liable to lie to piss them off, more than the other way around. OK. So are they lying and saying McCain or Obama to piss them off? Bottom line, there are margins of error in all polls. I believe these margins are actually in Obama's favor and we'll see McCain on election day with better than poll numbers for the reasons I mentioned. Do you believe the polls will be 100% accurate? Or favor one candidate or the other?
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The Presidential Prediction Poll
QUOTE (BigSqwert @ Oct 24, 2008 -> 08:36 AM) So after hundreds, if not thousands, of polls over the past few months you're saying that time and time again people keep lying. And enough of them keep doing so that it's actually McCain who's leading in most of these polls? I find that a little hard to believe. No, I am saying that there are reasons why legitimate polls post margins of error, it is factored in that people are not always truthful in their responses. Further, there is some error based on sample populations. My hunch is we will find that more McCain supporters lied and said Obama than Obama supporters lying and saying McCain. Pollsters are hoping that people will lie both ways and it will balance, and it does in most polls. Looking at the sample sizes on many of those polls, it would take dozens of people to sway those polls, not tens of thousands. I also believe there will be a late push towards McCain. I do think Obama would have won if the election was a couple weeks ago.
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The Presidential Prediction Poll
QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Oct 24, 2008 -> 07:51 AM) That's the fear factor I've been talking about. But at this point, Obama's leads where it matters are so dominant, I don't think the fear factor can overcome them. Obama wins in a tighter than polled race. Not fear at all. It's the same phenomenon that had people telling surveys they are watching Masterpiece Theater when they are watching Dukes of Hazard. Imagine polling people on their masturbation habits. In the words of House, "people lie". In this case, perhaps not out of fear but out of wanting the pollster's approval.
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The Presidential Prediction Poll
QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Oct 24, 2008 -> 07:50 AM) Oh jeez, I hope no one is actually using internet blogs/board comments, etc., to show who is winning. That would be a little ridiculous. I think it goes to explaining the "buzz" that is clearly Obama around electronic communications. We are all informal pollsters. We hear from friends and coworkers who they are voting for. We read comments on message boards. We read some of the professional polls, then make predictions.And that is what this thread is really all about. If not, just average all the polls and we all should have the exact same prediction.
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Country-themed mini-parties
What is your technique for frozen at home? I just can not get the right consistency. I'm holding off on the $300 margarita machine. And besides the obvious alcohol kick, what flavoring role does the overproofed rum play in recipes? I am always tempted to substitute the 151.
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The Presidential Prediction Poll
QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Oct 24, 2008 -> 06:43 AM) non-internet using? Most polls are conducted by phone. I think he was referring to what seems like a landslide because the people we hear from on forums, emails, etc.
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The Presidential Prediction Poll
McCain. Pollsters will say later that respondents were afraid to appear as racist by not picking Obama but once they were in the privacy of the voters booth, they pulled hard for McCain.
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College Classes And Drinking
I went to an Abnormal Psy class after a pitcher of beer. It happened to be a night with a presentation on the Rorschach (Ink Blot Test),
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College Classes And Drinking
- What movies have actually made you cry?
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Oct 23, 2008 -> 09:16 AM) After 15 minutes I was rooting for the Ocean.- What movies have actually made you cry?
Titanic About fifteen minutes in I started thinking, I have three more hours of this s***?!- Current Gas Prices
.88 difference. Someone tell me again why having states lower their taxes during higher prices is a bad thing for consumers?- Current Gas Prices
Woo Woo $1.99 in South Texas yesterday 10-22-08- People Are So Gullible
My Scout list took this seriously, 12-Year-Old Boy Scouts Volunteer To Give Women Breast Exams- What movies have actually made you cry?
QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Oct 22, 2008 -> 07:15 PM) That. The message of the book, which may have been lost in the movie (which I did not see), is about stupidity. Kind of along the lines of Grizzly Man. Same with the equally irresponsible guy that needed to cut off his hand in Canyonlands N.P. when a moving boulder trapped him. All he needed to do was file a trip plan with someone and he would have been found without any trouble. Jon Krakauer is a great writer for that genre. His Everest book is top notch also.- What movies have actually made you cry?
QUOTE (Sonik22 @ Oct 22, 2008 -> 02:05 PM) Into the Wild - the end That guy was just irresponsible. I have 11 year old Boy Scouts with more common sense and outdoor skills to survive that experience.- Country-themed mini-parties
QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Oct 22, 2008 -> 05:50 PM) You could be America, ca. 1920, and be the dry room. nice. cheap too. Spain and Sangria Bahamas and Rum Punch- Esquire's 10 Worst Members of Congress
QUOTE (CanOfCorn @ Oct 22, 2008 -> 04:39 PM) I have revoked your Texas card. Please turn in your jackalope, Big Tex Burger and belt buckle at the border. A couple hours ago I corrected my mistake from last time. Go Rick!- AFTER You Vote, Come Here
- Texas Tech student wins free rent and...kicking job?
I'll bet they love that idea in Austin- Esquire's 10 Worst Members of Congress
QUOTE (CanOfCorn @ Oct 22, 2008 -> 03:10 PM) Tex, if I were still in Texas, I would join you in the hopeful ousting of John Cornyn. Ick. Well I am partly to blame, I voted for him.- Married Money Management
QUOTE (mreye @ Oct 22, 2008 -> 01:26 PM) I disagree. With one account we don't fight over how much shoes and bowling balls cost because we have a solid relationship. When we married we became ONE. That is exactly how I felt during my first marriage, we did become one. Now I look at that and realize we didn't do everything together, and we didn't share a toothbrush. Sometimes she needed her time with friends, sometimes I needed mine (personal space). I think there is room for some independence, not in case of divorce, but sudden death. My ex-mother in law faced the death of her husband and had no clue what they had and where it was. She has no credit score because nothing was ever in her name. They were "one" as God intended, and that was her desire. As I researched this over and over again money matters was a prime reason that couples divorced. You worked out something that works for you and that is perfect. Others find ways that work for them, and that is perfect. It's when there is a mismatch that issues develope.- Married Money Management
During my first marriage we kept one account and my wife over time pretty much controlled it. That led to a lot of friction and poor management practices. Next time I'm leaning towards a her, mine, and ours approach. I've been researching and it seems like a nice way to allow some independence while keeping shared goals and responsibilities.- Married Money Management
- Weird Science
probably tax payer supported research - What movies have actually made you cry?
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