Jump to content

caulfield12

Members
  • Posts

    100,598
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    35

Everything posted by caulfield12

  1. QUOTE (Jerksticks @ Nov 27, 2016 -> 01:26 AM) Yes. This can't happen. Doesn't matter which side you are on or lean towards. If this recount determines HRC should be president lock your doors. There will be blood in the streets, lone wolf attacks in DC and state capital cities- people will die. All faith in government and the democratic system will be severely challenged or lost. Am i crazy? The US survived 1968 and Watergate...but it would require incontrovertible proof in Clinton's favor. Like the Russians coming out and admitting their involvement. If anything, the US dollar and stock market couldn't be stronger, so other than having the US "overlook" a Latvian invasion, which would require Trump breaking from NATO...not sure of their angle poltically or militarily. Turkey or Syria/ISIS/Assad? Montenegro (Russia has been accused of attempting an assasination to put a puppet government in charge in an effort to dilute NATO). Crimea/Ukraine? Besides, the Green Party "scam" still has $18 million to go in order to catch up with the Trump University scam. Trump Company "profits" and reimbursements from the campaign/election already in the $10-15 million range and climbing. $3+ million for the Secret Service to rent two floors at Trump Tower per year. Not to mention $1 million per day cost to the city of New York, rerouting flights...reinforcing subways, etc. https://www.yahoo.com/news/presidential-pro...-200551548.html
  2. http://www.businessinsider.com/krugman-whi...g-class-2016-11 Greater Appalachian region referred to as the "Big White Ghetto" by conservatives... http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2...ry.html?ref=yfp Interesting Bannon piece...reading this, the whole thing about alt-right just appears to be a pragmatic business school "niche opportunity." http://finance.yahoo.com/news/don-t-think-...-160325324.html Race-based nationalism diesn't "stand the test of logic according to Bannon
  3. Blake Smith, Purke, Beck, Minaya, Kahnle, Soto (pitcher), Coats, Kevan Smith, Lawrie, Leury Garcia, Avisail Garcia, Alfredo Gonzalez (catcher). That's 12, and doesn't include Liriano or Goldberg. Ynoa, either. 40 man roster space is the least of their issues.
  4. http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/26/politics/don...ount/index.html Calling the Dems "badly defeated and demoralized" isn't going to win him any bipartisanship awards. Same with the environmental cause. Demoralized, sure...but's not like he came close to winning the popular vote or has a mandate to completely abandon working class whites by tearing down Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security. It's also only going to motivate stronger resistance from the DNC and Liz Warren on the Senate Judicial Committee looking to pounce on every possible ethics lapse. For example, Trump owns between $15-$50,000 in stock of that Dakota pipeline company. Pretty much every single issue facing the president, both foreign and domestic, is going to have implications for Trump businesses. Just watch the insider trading on stock of the two major private/for-profit prison companies as this mass detention/deportation (see Kris Kobach) thing unfolds.
  5. If they weren't planning to trade Sale, they're sure doing a good job of frustrating and teasing their fans. They're not in a position to add significant talent via free agency, so what's the point of prolonging the inevitable?
  6. The Cubs got much better than average production from their catcher's spot...same thing with the Royals and Perez. The White Sox have proven in numerous ways how hard it is to replace a solid performer either offensively or defensively at that spot. All one needs to do is look at 2013-2016 and our output there. Can't be too quick to bring up Collins for another position of need. Yet another reason rebuilding now instead of forcing Burdi, Fulmer and Collins up too quickly makes more sense.
  7. http://www.latimes.com/local/california/la...ry.html?ref=yfp Immigrants fear that definition of "criminal" will be stretched under Trump. Didn't realize Obama had actually done such a "good" job sending aliens back already, to listen to the campaign the past 18 months...more and more of these stories hopefully will turn the tide against more draconian measures which painfully separate parents and children.
  8. QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Nov 26, 2016 -> 12:50 PM) Guess who isn't accepting the campaign results? I will give you a hint, they campaigned on accepting the election results... This is the exact reason I couldn't vote for these hypocrites. http://wgntv.com/2016/11/26/clinton-campai...in-the-recount/ Would the Green Party have done the same thing had Clinton won? http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/2016...-audit-the-vote Why not audit the vote?
  9. http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/25/opinions/new...rter/index.html New PC should include white people http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/23/opinions/ban...rman/index.html What happens when you normalize the abnormal
  10. Like Kansas always having a tough game at Manhattan, Columbia, etc., no matter the shape of those programs. And then there is scheduling a game at a "mid major" such as Butler, Wichita St., Gonzaga, VCU type of program. KU would still win 95-98 times out of 100 at UMKC. Iowa could just as easily win as lose at UNI these days and lose 25% of the time to Drake. But there are different scales of upsets. IPFW was like Hickory winning in Hoosiers.
  11. QUOTE (ChiliIrishHammock24 @ Nov 26, 2016 -> 12:31 AM) True about Verlander, but even still, he had a 2.9 WAR and made $20M in his clunker season. Grienke had a 2.2 WAR and made $34M. Both had 5 years left, but Verlander set to make $30M less over those 5 years, and will end his contract at age 36, also while pitching in the AL. Grienke will be 38, and in the NL. Both bad and hard to move contracts, but I think Zack's is tougher. Except Greinke had shown the ability to be successful without throwing in the upper 90s. This was the first year Verlander learned how to pitch with less than an optimal arsenal. Greinke has always been more comfortable in the low to mid 90's, with an occasional 96-97 mixed in. Plus, playing on a team that was out of the playoff race for nearly the entire season. If I had excess money and prospects as a GM, you'd be crazy not to at least consider those two guys. Not to mention the looming diminished rate of return on David Price. After presiding over the Tigers' era of bloated contract extensions, and the success rate on the Price for Smyly, Cabrera to Marlins to Sabathia to the Brewers, you can see equally compelling reasons to go in either direction. And surely Epstein's biggest regret in Boston was all those free agent contracts to guys like Dice K, Carl Crawford, JD Drew, Josh Beckett, Lackey, etc.
  12. QUOTE (Jerksticks @ Nov 26, 2016 -> 12:49 AM) Yes and the skyrocketing minimim wage is going to blow it all wide open. That's doomsday http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/opinion...ry.html?ref=yfp How many of Trump's working class voters in the Rust Belt fall into or near the category of minimum wage workers? Minimum wage workers are only 4.7% of the workforce, for one thing. Half are under age 25, while hourly workers under 25 comprise roughly 20% of the workforce. The minimum wage for seasonal/part-time/student workers isn't the reason why many small businesses fail. They could even lower it and it still wouldn't bring any "good" jobs with livable wages back to the US.
  13. Kimi no no wa (Your Name) is by far the best animation feature of the year but will lose the Academy Award to Disney. Japanese with English subs. Another nifty foreign film is the fast zombie S. Korean horror thriller "Train to Busan."
  14. Yeah, that's only for the big market teams to save their prospects and hope for a bounceback. Not unlike the Verlander situation, but those two guys have clearly changed places in the last 12 months. Nobody would touch Verlander even if they willing to send 25% of his contract the other way. On the positive side, Gray and Archer are both assets that will be worth even more prospects with more typical stat linesgoing into midseason.
  15. QUOTE (jasonxctf @ Nov 25, 2016 -> 07:52 PM) Democrats are defending 23 senate seats. 2 independent seats. 8 seats for republicans. A lot can change in 2 years (retirements, running for governors races etc) but right now it looks like 7 big races per cook political report. 1. Heller ® - Nevada 2. Flake ® - Arizona 3. Brown (D) - Ohio 4. McCaskill (D) - Missouri 5. Donnelley (D) - Indiana 6. King (I) - Maine 7. Nelson (D) - Florida Personally I think that #2, 6, and 7 won't be too competitive and that the incumbents will win. I'd replace them with Heitkamp (D)- North Dakota, and Baldwin (D) Wisconsin. Guess the article I read was off by 10 and 2 on the GOP side. Obviously, GOP goal is 60, but that's a tough row to hoe for the incumbent president's political party in the first midterms.
  16. QUOTE (Ro Da Don @ Nov 25, 2016 -> 06:29 PM) Going off of that theory Bregman will already bust with us no matter what, since he'll be moving off of his natural SS any way you spin it. Beckham was rushed to the Majors about a year early, like all Sox prospects have been the past decade. He also killed it at 3B in his rookie season (moving off his natural SS). Viciedo was an absolute butcher at his natural position (3B) and a 2 tool guy (power bat and power arm). Also, none of the former Sox you mentioned were shuffled in different roles consistently as I'm suggesting Bregman and Saladino should be. They played one position one year, another the next year - not 2B Tuesday then 3B on Wednesday and LF on Friday. IIRC, Saladino was one of the league leaders in DRS at 3B (natural SS) in 2015 in not a full season and looked damn good defensively everywhere in 2016. Just trying to stoke the fire here, not be an a-hole. Can anyone list Saladino's injury history? I only know of his Tommy John in the minors and back (?) injury at the end of 2016. Semien is the closest example in terms of the dangers of deciding to move someone off SS prematurely. Obviously, he lacked the collegiate pedigree of Beckham or Bregman, though.
  17. http://www.espn.com/blog/buster-olney/insider/post?id=15060 Looks like Greinke will be on the market too, joining Gray and Archer as options.
  18. QUOTE (maggliopipe @ Nov 25, 2016 -> 02:21 PM) Man, and there are some real Coop'll fix 'em candidates out there on the free agent market this year. The kind of guys you get a couple good months out of then flip at the deadline. Ya know, like, John Danks, Dan Hudson, Jake Peavy, Edwin Jackson types. I really think Coop could wring some values out of those guys. Hudson has to be a short reliever after two TJ surgeries. Danks? No way. Peavy or Jackson...why not, although Jackson has the better stuff at this point. Not sure Peavy fits in a rebuilding atmosphere but might have no choice if he wants a big league job.
  19. Theoretically because moving guys like Beckham, Viciedo and Semien didn't work out well for the Sox. Similar arguments have been made about Saladino, while others want to try him in the outfield to increase his versatility (well, at least until the scope of his injuries became apparent.) Obviously, the Cubs move Zobrist, Baez, Bryant, Contreras and Schwarber a lot...less of a problem because of talent level.
  20. What are the changes, if any, that Getz has out in place since taking a leadership position? It would seem to be an extremely important interview, especially if any of these Sale/Q for prospect deals take place with Red Sox, Dodgers, Rangers, Astros, Dodgers, etc.
  21. http://finance.yahoo.com/news/middle-class...0--finance.html Almost 8 million middle class families could pay more taxes under Trump (especially single mothers)...top 1% gets a lot richer and everyone will act surprised when the Federal debt level increases. http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016...on.html?ref=yfp It's the Storytelling (Not the Economy), Stupid! http://finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-t-amer...-101500439.html Medicare cuts will probably take place after 2018, when the Dems have to defend 33 Senate seats to 5 for the Republicans...of course, nobody is pointing to the military spending from 2002, unfunded Medicare B giveaway as two of the primary drivers of runaway government spending. They simply blame Obama but foget what a complete mess things were in from 2008-09.
  22. QUOTE (jasonxctf @ Nov 25, 2016 -> 07:50 AM) My prediction, no depression. A recession for sure. Starting in late 2018. High inflation. Interest rates are on the rise meaning that businesses who have some form of borrowing (equipment loans, lines of credit, etc) will pay more in interest expense. This will discourage equipment purchases. I do a lot of equipment loans for businesses. Been told to expect a 0.25% rise before 12/1 and another 0.25% in January. Just check out how the 5 year treasury has reacted since the election. http://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^FVX?ql=1&p=^FVX For consumers this means higher interest rates on mortgages (new and variable), auto loans, credit cards,etc. Now, I believe that rates do need to rise, but slow and gradually. Maybe 0.25% every 6 months. But hearing what I am from many banks that I work with indicates it's going to rise rapidly. Life will cost more. Yet another way middle class Americans will get squeezed. Grocery/food prices, higher rates on loans (rich just pay off in cash), gas prices, health care costs, tuition costs. Always will have a disproportionate impact on those with less money...probably the tax cuts will barely offset these, but some will argue they have more money in terms of disposable income but not the decreased purchasing power.
  23. Just don't think the Astros have to be so desperate to go after Frazier as well with Gurriel being a good defensive 3B. That's just too many prospects to be giving up, especially with Todd being a one year rental in all likelihood.
  24. It's more likely you were always a Republican and were led to believe that Obama would bring change or a "breath of fresh air" into politics. Whether they're called Reagan Democrats or the forgotten/overlooked Rust Belt voters of 2016, it amounts to the Democrats failing to present a compelling narrative or story to counter what Trump was selling. No new jobs are coming back. Those were replaced MOSTLY by automation and advanced technology, and secondarily by lower labor rates in 2nd and 3rd world developing economies. It remains to be seen if he's willing to provoke a trade war with China or Mexico. So far, the stock market and value of the dollar have skyrocketed, but that's mostly benefiting the Top 10% of Americans that have significant incomes from investments. There is unlikely to be another Great Depression...just more hollowing out of the Middle Class. Maybe it's a good thing with education costs skyrocketing that families are forced to re-evaluate BA/BS degrees in terms of return on investment, and what other avenues to making livable wages without a degree are actually out there (obviously, starting or spurring more small businesses, but that takes loans/capital/collateral.) The Wall is a mistake, except in the sense that it will spur SOME economic growth if Americans are building it. But it's not going to be effective, it's more symbolic. People will continue to tunnel under, and go around via the Pacific or Gulf of Mexico. It sends the wrong message, that America isn't a country of immigrants, it's a country of "the right kind of immigrants," and everyone else who's not white or highly-educated should stay out. Except for Chinese and Indian workers in STEM subjects who are willing to work for 25-33% of what Americans would expect to earn in those same low and mid-level tech jobs, just to get their foot in the door.
  25. QUOTE (greg775 @ Nov 24, 2016 -> 05:36 PM) She won the general vote by 2 million! I think there's a better than 50/50 chance recounts come up in her favor. She was the popular vote choice for President. Greg, this is the problem with being "against" someone or something. When that person is no longer relevant, you have to move on OR actually work to make things better. It's what YOUR party, the GOP, is going to learn quickly enough when they control the majority and name a Supreme Court seat as well, that people who were promised (just for one example) "repeal and replace" of Obamacare expect (maybe even demand) something better. People in the Rust Belt were promised a return of jobs, so that means, at the least, that the $1 trillion infrastructure spending plan has to get past the Democrats and the Tea Party/Balanced Budget side of the Republican Party. Otherwise, you're left with a whole lot of disillusioned voters (see 1994/2010) who will take it out on the party in charge of fixing things.
×
×
  • Create New...