Everything posted by caulfield12
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The White Sox Hidden Catastrophe-Fangraphs
Charles Johnson, 2000. But he was an All-Star w/ the Orioles that year.
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Brexit
https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/english-...-091744242.html Wow...Cameron resigned. This is getting even more chaotic and unpredictable. http://www.nytimes.com/2016/06/25/world/eu...region&_r=0
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The Second Wildcard
Okay, for some reason I thought he was 32 instead of 30. Maybe I was thinking of Dunn when he came here, around that same age. I don't think it's unreasonable to go from 800 to 750ish changing leagues...and based on the 2nd half of 2015. Obviously, if he picks his batting average up to the .230's/.240's and some of his "bad luck" on BABIP evens out, he could get back to 800, but that extra 50 OPS points might not make as much of a difference as we'd like unless we can get consistent contributions from our non-core hitters. His defense in the last month hasn't been quite as stellar as the first 33 games, but it has been a welcome improvement to Gillaspie, there's no denying that. The position is solid, at the very least. Or maybe I was thinking 32 and a free agent...and then you have a headache of a decision that with your heart is to extend a great guy like Frazier even though your logical saber statistical regression mind is saying no way. And I'm not sure if there's an easy way to look it up, but USCF really tends to cut down on doubles because it plays so small and lots of teams are basically camping their outfielders near the warning track in "no doubles" mode, especially with the warmer weather. So I'm not sure how much of it's Frazier and how much the change from Cincy's stadium to 81 games at USCF. Would have to look at batted ball plot points/exit velocity/launch angles, etc.
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Brexit
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/06/25/world/eu...p-news&_r=0 Yeah, the global "undercurrents" politically with the Trump forces, Marie le Pen in France....following in lock-step, and quite predictable fashion, despite the overwhelming feeling of political chaos and uncertainty. Those forces, anti-foreigner/anti-Muslim/nationalist and nativist and isolationist, could be cribbed directly from The Donald's playbook this election season. Would be shocking to see Cameron and Merkel survive it. France has an election next year as well.
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2016-2017 NBA Thread
Who did the Thunder get for Ibaka again? Why would OKC be the favorites over the Warriors? If Golden State can improve on the interior, they'll be as strong as ever. Paired with adding an outsider shooter in Nowitzki motivated by one last run at a 2nd ring.
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White Sox Acquire James Shields
Pretty sure it's $5 million, then $10, $10 and $2 million for buyout of 2019 season. $27 million total. Average is $9 milion, but it was "backloaded" theoretically so the Sox could add this year to ATTEMPT to make a run for it (which may or may not already be closing in on "too late" to many observers of how last season played out).
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Brexit
http://finance.yahoo.com/q;_ylt=AwrXnCBywW...ZWMDc2M-?s=^HSI Hong Kong down 5% (Hang Seng)
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Zack Burdi's pro debut
QUOTE (Jose Abreu @ Jun 23, 2016 -> 10:30 PM) I'd rather he not start. I think what he has working for him is his insane velocity, which could very well be diminished if he has to throw more pitches in a given outing All depends on the movement of his fastball in the 92-96 range, as opposed to upper 90's. Not sure if he throws four-seam, two-seam or both. If he has a good sinking fastball, that's usually MUCH more effective taking a little bit off and not overthrowing but I haven't watched him at all on video.
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Zack Burdi's pro debut
Also impressive — he’s now projected by some to be a top 10 pick in tomorrow’s Major League Draft, and there’s some talk that the Detroit Tigers may be looking to take him for the purposes of getting him ready for relief work this season. “I think Zack has a great opportunity to be up this summer as a bullpen guy, then depending on the organization, to get a shot as a starter,” U of L coach Dan McDonnell said. So I guess McDonnell would be another prime interview target...
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Brexit
Hasn't been much of a reaction on the Shanghai stock market. Most here would agree it's a bad thing for China's economy, though. RMB continues to hold the line around 6.60 but the great devaluation hasn't happened yet. The irony is that the Chinese market went up 100+ points when rumors of it being added to the MSCI or MCSI or whatever it's called nclusion at a very small 1-2% weighting of the Global/Developing Index of stocks...when they decided to delay the decision because of obvious concerns about how the market is being run here and how off are the "real" numbers for SOE's or even more famous ones like Alibaba...the market just shrugged it off and had almost no negative reaction. Hard to read with all the government buying and manipulation, though...it's definitely institutional/government buys moving the market for the last 6 months, not the mom and pop individual traders who got burned in July/August and then again earlier this year.
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Zack Burdi's pro debut
Is there any talk of pushing him up to Chicago THIS season to fill the donut-sized hole where Albers/Petricka used to be? Did Burdi discuss that with Hostetler/Bell/Hahn was one of the conditions about being drafted by the Sox and his timetable? What about the rumors (his college coach at LOU was a proponent) of him getting stretched out potentially as a starter in the minors next year?
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White Sox Acquire James Shields
But that's $9 million we don't have to fill other holes, especially in 2017 and 2018. If you promised me that Hahn could/would replace Avi/bench bat and bring in another RH (veteran reliever), I might be more optimistic. Waiting until mid-July to make those decisions, the ship might have already sailed without the Sox onboard.
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The Second Wildcard
Frazier's a mid 700's OPS guy. Not sure if it was realistic to expect improvement switching from the NL to the AL, after his second half and he's 32 now. Lawrie was much better earlier in his career in terms of WAR, but to expect better than this consistently, no way. Saladino, sure, if he was playing everyday...you can see him 50-75 OPS points higher. Garcia just sucks, don't care about his BA w/ RISP if he's only OPSing in the mid 600's. Jackson was 660's in OPS, right where most predicted. Navarro and Avila, where predicted based on years of decline and injury. Eaton has been overperforming, by and large. That leaves this whole theory based on improvement from Abreu (which has already happened), Frazier (slight room for improvement but trending negatively except homers), Rodon and the injection of Tim Anderson (which, optimistically wasn't expected to be much above a 700 OPS number by even his biggest fans THIS YEAR). It's very simple, replace Garcia and get at least one more potent bench bat...and don't put all your eggs in the Justin Morneau basket or it will be too late to course correct. The bullpen needs another RHP. That's a HUGE problem at the moment. And then Shields improving, but he can't get any worse. The White Sox SHOULD have won 2 of the 4 games he has started, so it's not like you expect them to win 3/4. 1/4 obviously isn't going to cut it, and that's probably what the number deserves to be, the rally from 7-0 down cancelling out today's blown game. And I wouldn't count on Gonzalez continuing to pitch as well as he has, either. Rodon Shields Frazier (what higher OPS number can be realistically expected, though??) Avi replaced (Morneau/trade) Anderson doesn't get exposed offensively RH reliever (veteran) Perfect health and Jackson coming back and hitting the ground running where he left off offensively. The same case can be made for every team in the division, and they've all gone through just as much if not more than the Sox. Let's just say we shouldn't bet Greg's house until they actually show they can win 2/3 series against non-MN Central opponents.
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June 23rd Game Thread: White Sox @ Red Sox 12:35pm CT
Beck didn't have much command with his fastball. He threw it 94-96, but it was his slider that saved him today. And Webb wasn't counted on by anyone to be a part of the bullpen. He was just AAA depth.
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Time to Trade Chris Sale?
I think facing the Blue Jays with a decimated bullpen, a Twins team playing much better and out to avenge two sweeps and the Astros (best team in the AL the last month, along with Texas) will swing the pendulum firmly away from any more desperation additions.
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White Sox Acquire James Shields
Shields is NOT the reason for the loss today. We might as well blame the ump (Harrelson ploy) for not giving him a K on the 3rd pitch in the sequence to Big Papi. That really stuck with him and affected him with the next hitter, IMO.
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June 23rd Game Thread: White Sox @ Red Sox 12:35pm CT
QUOTE (ptatc @ Jun 23, 2016 -> 04:06 PM) Unbelievable........ Here we go...nobody can even figure out who to blame, as it's really genius in terms of front office construction to insulate both KW and Hahn from criticism.
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June 23rd Game Thread: White Sox @ Red Sox 12:35pm CT
The one thing the White Sox are CONSISTENTLY good at is playing just well enough when things are seemingly going south to keep everyone employed and the hamster/gerbil spinning on that wheel another year. Not really in it, but not completely out of it. Stuck in the middle. Same arguments everyone is having about the Bulls' situation going forward.
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June 23rd Game Thread: White Sox @ Red Sox 12:35pm CT
QUOTE (SoxPride18 @ Jun 23, 2016 -> 04:01 PM) Chances Burdi is called up? He's not in Arizona anymore. Hahn is coming up with a new fireable offense every week if he does that. The White Sox system used to be good at least at producing serviceable relievers. Ynoa has some potential, but Beck just doesn't belong at the major league level. Albers is toast and his confidence is shot. Jennings and Duke have been the bright spots. Robertson is starting to teeter as well.
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June 23rd Game Thread: White Sox @ Red Sox 12:35pm CT
GAME OVER Knew that was happening. Can't believe I just wasted five hours staying awake from 1 a.m. to 6 a.m. This team just doesn't have that killer instinct to put our boot down on another team's neck and crush them. The Red Sox gave us so many chances to sweep the series and we choked the bit.
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June 23rd Game Thread: White Sox @ Red Sox 12:35pm CT
Beck was like a deer in the headlights. Can't believe that JBJ let him off the hook with that bunt in the air to Lawrie.
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June 23rd Game Thread: White Sox @ Red Sox 12:35pm CT
How do you walk someone after you have him down 0-2? Might as well walk Bogaerts (pull a Maddon/Bonds) to load the bases. That would result in a wild pitch or walk by Purke, undoubtedly. Such a pathetic but predictable ending looming...hope I'm wrong.
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June 23rd Game Thread: White Sox @ Red Sox 12:35pm CT
QUOTE (RockRaines @ Jun 23, 2016 -> 03:52 PM) On the plus side, at least 3 of 4 vs Boston and the offense woke up. Shuck sucks though, horrible. Shields righted the ship. That might end up being more relevant in 2017 and 2018 than this season, but the bleeding there has stopped (for now). On the negative side, Albers and Jones continue to struggle coming up with clean innings. We just have a huge issue in the 7th and 8th inning right now, getting games to Robertson. And Robertson's really starting to show signs of wearing down. When his cutter isn't crisp, he gives up lots of hits, and his walk rate is very high for a closer. I'm convinced his best pitch is that knuckle curve, not the cutter.
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June 23rd Game Thread: White Sox @ Red Sox 12:35pm CT
QUOTE (Jose Abreu @ Jun 23, 2016 -> 03:49 PM) I'd much rather have won the first 3 games and lost this one than lost the first 3 and won this one. I don't know what you're talking about. We're falling further and further behind in the AL Central. If we lose it here, Detroit will be 2 games clear and we will be six games back. There's going to be so many teams stacked up in the race for the two wild card spots, the odds will turn against them (see last August)...especially when they have to actually beat AL Central foes down the stretch. And they definitely can't count on sweeping Minnesota a THIRD time this season.
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June 23rd Game Thread: White Sox @ Red Sox 12:35pm CT
For a veteran "contact" hitter, and a player who has had lots of opportunities to get into his offensive rhythm recently....Shuck just has to get the job done ONE of those times. Anderson's failures are a bit more excusable. And Eaton's had a good game overall, offensively and defensively. Hard to rip on him too much.