caulfield12

QUOTE (jasonxctf @ Nov 25, 2016 -> 07:52 PM) Democrats are defending 23 senate seats. 2 independent seats. 8 seats for republicans. A lot can change in 2 years (retirements, running for governors races etc) but right now it looks like 7 big races per cook political report. 1. Heller ® - Nevada 2. Flake ® - Arizona 3. Brown (D) - Ohio 4. McCaskill (D) - Missouri 5. Donnelley (D) - Indiana 6. King (I) - Maine 7. Nelson (D) - Florida Personally I think that #2, 6, and 7 won't be too competitive and that the incumbents will win. I'd replace them with Heitkamp (D)- North Dakota, and Baldwin (D) Wisconsin. Guess the article I read was off by 10 and 2 on the GOP side. Obviously, GOP goal is 60, but that's a tough row to hoe for the incumbent president's political party in the first midterms.

QUOTE (Ro Da Don @ Nov 25, 2016 -> 06:29 PM) Going off of that theory Bregman will already bust with us no matter what, since he'll be moving off of his natural SS any way you spin it. Beckham was rushed to the Majors about a year early, like all Sox prospects have been the past decade. He also killed it at 3B in his rookie season (moving off his natural SS). Viciedo was an absolute butcher at his natural position (3B) and a 2 tool guy (power bat and power arm). Also, none of the former Sox you mentioned were shuffled in different roles consistently as I'm suggesting Bregman and Saladino should be. They played one position one year, another the next year - not 2B Tuesday then 3B on Wednesday and LF on Friday. IIRC, Saladino was one of the league leaders in DRS at 3B (natural SS) in 2015 in not a full season and looked damn good defensively everywhere in 2016. Just trying to stoke the fire here, not be an a-hole. Can anyone list Saladino's injury history? I only know of his Tommy John in the minors and back (?) injury at the end of 2016. Semien is the closest example in terms of the dangers of deciding to move someone off SS prematurely. Obviously, he lacked the collegiate pedigree of Beckham or Bregman, though.

http://www.espn.com/blog/buster-olney/insider/post?id=15060 Looks like Greinke will be on the market too, joining Gray and Archer as options.

QUOTE (maggliopipe @ Nov 25, 2016 -> 02:21 PM) Man, and there are some real Coop'll fix 'em candidates out there on the free agent market this year. The kind of guys you get a couple good months out of then flip at the deadline. Ya know, like, John Danks, Dan Hudson, Jake Peavy, Edwin Jackson types. I really think Coop could wring some values out of those guys. Hudson has to be a short reliever after two TJ surgeries. Danks? No way. Peavy or Jackson...why not, although Jackson has the better stuff at this point. Not sure Peavy fits in a rebuilding atmosphere but might have no choice if he wants a big league job.

Theoretically because moving guys like Beckham, Viciedo and Semien didn't work out well for the Sox. Similar arguments have been made about Saladino, while others want to try him in the outfield to increase his versatility (well, at least until the scope of his injuries became apparent.) Obviously, the Cubs move Zobrist, Baez, Bryant, Contreras and Schwarber a lot...less of a problem because of talent level.

What are the changes, if any, that Getz has out in place since taking a leadership position? It would seem to be an extremely important interview, especially if any of these Sale/Q for prospect deals take place with Red Sox, Dodgers, Rangers, Astros, Dodgers, etc.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/middle-class...0--finance.html Almost 8 million middle class families could pay more taxes under Trump (especially single mothers)...top 1% gets a lot richer and everyone will act surprised when the Federal debt level increases. http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016...on.html?ref=yfp It's the Storytelling (Not the Economy), Stupid! http://finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-t-amer...-101500439.html Medicare cuts will probably take place after 2018, when the Dems have to defend 33 Senate seats to 5 for the Republicans...of course, nobody is pointing to the military spending from 2002, unfunded Medicare B giveaway as two of the primary drivers of runaway government spending. They simply blame Obama but foget what a complete mess things were in from 2008-09.

QUOTE (jasonxctf @ Nov 25, 2016 -> 07:50 AM) My prediction, no depression. A recession for sure. Starting in late 2018. High inflation. Interest rates are on the rise meaning that businesses who have some form of borrowing (equipment loans, lines of credit, etc) will pay more in interest expense. This will discourage equipment purchases. I do a lot of equipment loans for businesses. Been told to expect a 0.25% rise before 12/1 and another 0.25% in January. Just check out how the 5 year treasury has reacted since the election. http://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^FVX?ql=1&p=^FVX For consumers this means higher interest rates on mortgages (new and variable), auto loans, credit cards,etc. Now, I believe that rates do need to rise, but slow and gradually. Maybe 0.25% every 6 months. But hearing what I am from many banks that I work with indicates it's going to rise rapidly. Life will cost more. Yet another way middle class Americans will get squeezed. Grocery/food prices, higher rates on loans (rich just pay off in cash), gas prices, health care costs, tuition costs. Always will have a disproportionate impact on those with less money...probably the tax cuts will barely offset these, but some will argue they have more money in terms of disposable income but not the decreased purchasing power.

Just don't think the Astros have to be so desperate to go after Frazier as well with Gurriel being a good defensive 3B. That's just too many prospects to be giving up, especially with Todd being a one year rental in all likelihood.

It's more likely you were always a Republican and were led to believe that Obama would bring change or a "breath of fresh air" into politics. Whether they're called Reagan Democrats or the forgotten/overlooked Rust Belt voters of 2016, it amounts to the Democrats failing to present a compelling narrative or story to counter what Trump was selling. No new jobs are coming back. Those were replaced MOSTLY by automation and advanced technology, and secondarily by lower labor rates in 2nd and 3rd world developing economies. It remains to be seen if he's willing to provoke a trade war with China or Mexico. So far, the stock market and value of the dollar have skyrocketed, but that's mostly benefiting the Top 10% of Americans that have significant incomes from investments. There is unlikely to be another Great Depression...just more hollowing out of the Middle Class. Maybe it's a good thing with education costs skyrocketing that families are forced to re-evaluate BA/BS degrees in terms of return on investment, and what other avenues to making livable wages without a degree are actually out there (obviously, starting or spurring more small businesses, but that takes loans/capital/collateral.) The Wall is a mistake, except in the sense that it will spur SOME economic growth if Americans are building it. But it's not going to be effective, it's more symbolic. People will continue to tunnel under, and go around via the Pacific or Gulf of Mexico. It sends the wrong message, that America isn't a country of immigrants, it's a country of "the right kind of immigrants," and everyone else who's not white or highly-educated should stay out. Except for Chinese and Indian workers in STEM subjects who are willing to work for 25-33% of what Americans would expect to earn in those same low and mid-level tech jobs, just to get their foot in the door.

QUOTE (greg775 @ Nov 24, 2016 -> 05:36 PM) She won the general vote by 2 million! I think there's a better than 50/50 chance recounts come up in her favor. She was the popular vote choice for President. Greg, this is the problem with being "against" someone or something. When that person is no longer relevant, you have to move on OR actually work to make things better. It's what YOUR party, the GOP, is going to learn quickly enough when they control the majority and name a Supreme Court seat as well, that people who were promised (just for one example) "repeal and replace" of Obamacare expect (maybe even demand) something better. People in the Rust Belt were promised a return of jobs, so that means, at the least, that the $1 trillion infrastructure spending plan has to get past the Democrats and the Tea Party/Balanced Budget side of the Republican Party. Otherwise, you're left with a whole lot of disillusioned voters (see 1994/2010) who will take it out on the party in charge of fixing things.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/business-boo...-121633538.html Business is booming at Trump Tower...of course, all of those souvenirs/merchandise were probably manufacturer in Asia. http://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/201...e-working-class Trump's presidency will be a disaster for the white working class...

Or Ezra Miller?

Devenski makes no sense because: 1) We already have Fulmer, Burdi, Stephens, Hansen and Adams for those innings (now and in the future). (Or Shields). 2) Taking him back would make the White Sox look a bit like they made a mistake in the first place. 3) You gamble on position players with higher ceilings/bust rates at the lower levels of the minors before trading for players on the major league roster that you're more than likely just going to try to flip anyway.

And don't take Tyler White back instead of Reed. That would be good bargaining.

Now the Cubs' Dynasty is insured!!!

Walker still has a ton of upside, but it's in the same erratic/inconsistent way that Rodon does... Imagine if we got that return for, let's say, Rodon and Frazier (or Saladino), would anyone be happy? Segura was almost a non-tender guy last offseason and had a huge bounceback year, but can you count on that if you look at his numbers year by year?

Yeah, if you can get huge offensive production at 3B, 2B, C or CF, you're still much better off. SS as well, obviously. Looking at some of the AL DH numbers this last season, you can almost say that about a hitting-only position as well, crazily enough.

QUOTE (TheFutureIsNear @ Nov 23, 2016 -> 08:40 PM) Sale and Frazier for Bregman, Martes, Reed, Paulino, Cameron, and Stubbs I think that trade helps both franchises out a lot. Only if they're convinced Gurriel can't play 3B competently. One would think they would want to diversify their offense away from high K, high homer but mostly lower OBP guys. That's not the type of offense that's going to successfully manufacture runs in the postseason, after you get through Altuve and Correa. Sure, they might all get hot at the same time, but the odds of that happening against elite pitching aren't that substantial.

http://www.southsidesox.com/2016/11/23/137...-be-cba-related

Yeah, the whole idea of trading your two best pitchers and then plugging in the holes with Springer and JBJr. (for example) and competing "on the fly" would just require way too much going right with the remaining pitching staff. It would require bullpen repairs (costly) as well. That would leave a rotation of Rodon, Gonzalez, Shields, Fulmer and ?????. You basically have to hope breaking those established major leaguers into 2-3 prospects (depending on their Top 100 ranking) gives you AT LEAST two 3-4+ WAR players back, and improves the overall depth/quality of your team. You can argue back and forth about which is more valuable, a 3 WAR CF and a 3 WAR 2B or C, but you're always going to be generally better off having a solid line-up 1-9 than 2-3 superstar players and 5-6 stiffs.

If he HATED Jewish people, he wouldn't have allowed Ivanka to marry Jared Kushner, especially with a criminal probe hanging over Kushner's father in NJ. Netanyahu apparently prefers to work with Trump. In fact, between Putin and Netanyahu (I guess you can add Duterte now as well), those are the three foreign leaders most outspoken about disliking Obama and US foreign policy in the last 2-3 years. Of course, when you make flippant statements about preferring for them to count your money (compared to African-Americans) or that your son-in-law is somehow qualified to mediate the Israeli/Palestinian conflict simply because he has a high EQ and is also Jewish is dubious at best. https://www.yahoo.com/news/clinton-leads-tr...-184044245.html Clinton up by more than 2 million votes now in the popular vote, almost 4X the spread as Gore over Bush in 2000

If Springer was a Gold Glove caliber CFer, or the equivalent of Heyward on the corners...it would be Springer and a tier B prospect for Sale (because Sale will actually be cheaper). Of course, Springer isn't that type of defender. But getting both Bregman and Springer for Sale is probably unrealistic...that's where you have to throw in another player like Frazier or Jones and go after guys like high ceiling but 2-3 years from the big leagues prospects like Tucker/Cameron.

Yeah, Springer is like the JBJr. Debate all over again...would be shocking if Astros dealt him.

Buying low on Cameron as the fourth piece would be huge too...but might be overreaching with those top three. Two simultaneous supertrades with the consolation prize of Quintana going to the loser for Sale?