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almagest

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Everything posted by almagest

  1. If Vargas is getting hot again I like our chances to hold on to the division MUCH MORE
  2. That's a homer in 29/30 parks I'd bet. 106.2 mph | 418 ft | 34 deg LA
  3. But Peralta went for WAY more than Castillo. Three top 30 prospects in a good system vs one in a decent system, a mediocre MLB reliever with another year of control, and a nothing AAAA guy. Like maybe it'd be Lodise or Wolkow instead.
  4. Not even sure if it would be that much of a discount. Freddy Peralta was roughly comparable numbers-wise to Castillo, is only signed for the rest of this year, and it took three top 30 prospects from a good Rays system (outfielder Aidan Smith (Rays' No. 15), right-hander Gary Gill Hill (No. 26) and infielder Émilien Pitre (No. 27)).
  5. They weren't getting that much of a prospect discount for $4m of Ray's salary. Castillo they would have been able to get for less, but eating money directly is different than including a major league reliever who has a history of some success. I don't think the discount would be as big as you're thinking here.
  6. Ok, by overall scouting grade of 45 Boston Smith would've landed somewhere between 9 and 12 in our system. Smith is 13 on Pipeline in the Seattle system. Robbie Ray cost the Padres #4 and #9 prospects, and SF is eating half of his remaining salary (~$4m). Miguel Mendez is 16th in SF's system now with an overall of 45, and Joniel Hernandez is 22nd with an overall of 40. That would be something like Bergolla (#10) or Sandlin (#11) and anyone from #12-#20 in our system, with the Sox eating all the remaining salary to top that deal, or maybe including both Bergolla and Sandlin, or one of Hagen Smith/McDougal/Fauske. Are you doing that deal for 10-ish starts of Robbie Ray? The Dodgers didn't trade Lauer, and why would they? He can serve as a swingman or starter as they need. Beiber's been pretty awful. Almost a run and a half worse than Castillo by FIP.
  7. I don't think it's realistic to expect the Sox to have traded for three starting pitchers at the deadline. Even with Castillo swapping in for Fedde, they still had Schultz and now Martin as weak links. Two additional starters (maybe even one) would've crushed their salary and/or prospect pools beyond what they were willing to do, and (to me) what they should be willing to do. They're going to have to rely on some bullpen games and Thorpe/Shane Smith to fill in the last two starters. Will that be enough to hang onto the division and win some postseason games? Maybe, maybe not. The offseason should be a much better time to see what's out there in FA and trade possibilities to reinforce their starters. I get there's some worry about the season even happening in 2027, but it's hard for me to say the Sox should throw their plans out of the water and gut their system. Hell, people are mad about the Castillo trade costing the 15th ranked prospect in a middling system. I can't imagine what people would say if the Sox also had to beat the Robbie Ray and Freddy Peralta deals, or traded Bonemer or Carlson+ (or maybe even both) for Detmers.
  8. Cubs have had two other hot streaks like this. They're a streaky team. They're probably gonna end up having another bad streak soon. Hopefully we catch them at the right time.
  9. Cubs almost got no hit by the Nationals. Sox can beat them.
  10. Where has this Quero been all year?
  11. Thought he got it. Ball was smoked. Damn.
  12. Shame they blew that first game. Shame that Martin sucked and got tossed today when the offense has been doing their job. Oh well - reds have a bad bullpen. See if you can get the starter out and get to it.
  13. Ok hold em here, get to the top of the 6th and let the rain come
  14. Ump is missing a lot of calls
  15. Bad at-bat for Braden
  16. Didn't see if this was posted anywhere else here.
  17. See that's the 8th inning you should've had last night
  18. Oh their pitcher has an ERA near 8 on the road cool cool
  19. Got to say I’ve always liked watching Castillo pitch. Hope he continues pitching like this.

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