Everything posted by Chicago White Sox
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Royals vs Sox Sunday Matinee...1:10 pm CST First Pitch
I think it’s a bigger indictment of La Russa’s old school tendencies to put a fast guy first. At least Leury is decent against LHP, but still would bat him lower in the lineup.
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Royals vs Sox Sunday Matinee...1:10 pm CST First Pitch
I would have gone with the following against the lefty: Madrigal, 2B Robert, CF Abreu, 1B Mercedes, DH Grandal, C# Vaughn, LF Moncada, 3B# Garcia, RF# Mendick, SS
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Royals vs Sox Sunday Matinee...1:10 pm CST First Pitch
Lineup posted: Garcia, RF# Robert, CF Abreu, 1B Moncada, 3B# Mercedes, DH Vaughn, LF Collins, C* Madrigal, 2B Mendick, SS
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Farm ranking POST-2021
Being bold <> making baseball claims. There is zero reason think this will be a top five farm system after Vaughn, Kopech, Crochet, & Madrigal graduate...none whatsoever
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The Yermin-Vaughn-Abreu Conundrum
They can do it at any time. The only difference now is they’ll have to make up for any time accrued so far this year. So if before he needed to be down 2.5 weeks now it’s closer to 4 and rising every game.
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A Nick Madrigal Sized Sample
Madrigal is a nutshell so far this season: Elite contact ability (100th percentile) Improving walk rate (10.3% vs 3.7% LY) Poor quality of contact (.230 xwOBACON) Good not great speed (~70th percentile) Shitty defensive play (4th percentile in OAA) So far lacking a supposed high baseball IQ Personally, after doing this exercise I’m actually a bit more optimistic. His one elite tool (contact ability) he’s delivering on while his quality said of contact is way down from last year, which will almost certainly improve in a bigger sample. Nick will never be a power hitter given his approach and frame, so getting on base at a high clip is what will make or break him as an above league average hitter. The good news there is his walk rate is way up and that corresponds with an 11 point drop in his O-swing %. None of this is overly sexy or makes up for passing on potential high impact talents like Jarred Kelenic in the 2018 draft, but offensively there is a package here that can result in an incredibly effective #9 hitter / second leadoff hitter. Speed wise it’s very clear he wasn’t the plus plus runner some scouts pegged him as at Oregon St and that’s evident from just watching him. That being said, talk of him being slow is completely fabricated. He looks like he’ll be someone who will end up around the 75th percentile for sprint speed which is plenty fast but not necessarily game changing. I don’t envision him ever being a huge SB threat, probably plateauing in the 10 to 20 range. His speed should allow him provide positive value just running the bases as long as he can keep the gaffes to a minimum. And that feeds directly into his defense. What the hell is going on with this kid and why is he making so many mistakes and dumb decisions? He definitely made some ugly mistakes last year, but ultimately Statcast had his defense in the 85th percentile for OAA. This year he’s sitting in the 4th percentile and has actually looked like a liability out there. What he is in the field will ultimately decide whether he can be an above average 2B or not. IMO, I think he’s playing a bit scared out there and is in how own head right now. Some people here tend to forgot these are human beings and not robots and guys like Nick haven’t dealt with a lot of failure in their pro careers. You see it all the time with young guys being poor defenders when they first get called up with Moncada being a prime example of that at 2B. I do think his defense was probably a bit overstated, but I still expect Nick to be above average defensively in the end when he finally develops a bit more confidence in himself. If so, he can still be a very valuable player on a legit championship contending team.
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The Yermin-Vaughn-Abreu Conundrum
The Sox are going to have to make a decision at some point about what to do with Vaughn. If they’re willing to commit to him in LF, then start doing so now and play him everyday. If not, send him down to AAA once Engel is back. Using him in a quasi platoon role isn’t going to help that much with his development and we’re burning a year of service time while doing so.
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The Yermin-Vaughn-Abreu Conundrum
Correct - see “HoT fIrE” as an example
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The Yermin-Vaughn-Abreu Conundrum
Yermin’s xBA per Statcast is .401 ?
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Royals vs Sox 5:20pm Home Opener GT
How about 2/$40M?
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Royals vs Sox 5:20pm Home Opener GT
God I love Lance Lynn...still wish they’d extent him
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Royals vs Sox 5:20pm Home Opener GT
Nasty!
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Royals vs Sox 5:20pm Home Opener GT
This is unfortunately going to be it for Lynn if I had to guess.
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Royals vs Sox 5:20pm Home Opener GT
Yeah, that was not the strongest throw
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A Nick Madrigal Sized Sample
Rumor is they were close on Madrigal, Heuer, & Kelley and then last second the Brewers wanted Vaughn or possibly Crochet I believe.
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Royals vs Sox 5:20pm Home Opener GT
That’s what I’d do, but you never know with Tony.
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Royals vs Sox 5:20pm Home Opener GT
How many more will Lynn go? He’s only at 63 pitches so far so two seems very likely.
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Royals vs Sox 5:20pm Home Opener GT
One of these is certainly still true
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Royals vs Sox 5:20pm Home Opener GT
Spanky!!!
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Royals vs Sox 5:20pm Home Opener GT
Lol...naggers was meant to be matters
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Royals vs Sox 5:20pm Home Opener GT
La Russa will likely be dead by the time that year naggers so he simply doesn’t give a fuck
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Royals vs Sox 5:20pm Home Opener GT
I agree...Lynn isn’t going to leave it to chance with La Russa and this bullpen
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Notes on Jake Burger and Yoelqui Cespedes via Fangraphs
What about Fat Yolbert? How’s he looking?
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A Nick Madrigal Sized Sample
https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/sprint_speed_leaderboard?year=2017position=team=
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A Nick Madrigal Sized Sample
How much weight do you think he’s gained that would actually have impacted his speed? He’s still a scrawny little b****. His speed may not be as advertised, but he’s certainly not a below average runner for all major leaguers. This is an obvious sample size bias.