Chicago White Sox

Based on what?

Why are you using a 3B as comp for a SP? That is not how these things work. Pitchers are naturally far more risky and that’s factored into the price of an extension, hence why the Nola deal plus some markup makes the most sense.

Isn’t 40 inning jumps the status quo? I won’t pretend to understand how COVID will impact things, but if it impacts Cease it will likely impact most pitchers to some extent. A deep bullpen plus having extra starters in Kopech, Lopez, and Stiever will be critical.

In what world does a pitcher get paid market rates for signing an extension three years prior to free agency?

You don’t get market value when you sign an extension three years prior to free agency. And as I showed you before, the best comp is Nola’s 5/$61M extension. Lucas getting 5/$75M would represent a 23% increase. It’s incredibly unlikely he’d get more than $75M over five years.

And they will be adding another decent starter.

I would wager large sums of money that the Sox are still trying to extend Giolito & Lynn after this move. If it weren’t for COVID, I’d expect the Sox to be closer to $160M next year rather than the rumored $135M to $140M.

Why wouldn’t Cease? Just cause the shortened season?

That’s too rich. I think he ultimately agrees to something around 5/$75M.

I didn’t think club options counted as guaranteed years. Technically I think it should be an $18M AAV, but this contract is basically unprecedented so who the fuck knows.

Depends on how you view the 4th year, but realistically this is 4 year deal with an AAV of $13.5M. But it is the biggest contract given out this offseason which shows pathetic things have been moving.

I like the way you think Pal!

I don’t think they will sign a DH only guy, it will be someone with some defensive versatility.

You talking about Kopech?

Our playoff bullpen should be nasty as fuck, especially if you assume Kopech gets moved there come October: CL: Hendriks SU: Bummer* SU: Kopech SU: Crochet* MR: Marshall MR: Heuer MR: Fry* MR: Foster MR: Lopez/Burdi/Johnson

Need a left-handed bat too, but those two and maybe a backup catcher is all we need.

Portillo’s I believe mentioned 3/$39M.

So is this the largest free agent contract of the offseason? I thought I saw that mentioned somewhere.

Just wasn’t sure why they structured it this way and my post was before they mentioned the deferred element of the buyout.

What does this mean for luxury tax purposes?

What in the fuck? That has to be a four year deal.

See the first post. A ton of minor leaguers were cut last summer.

That’s somewhat exciting...he was an over-slot guy correct?

Which may means keeping them for a year and trying to be the first in line next offseason. As long as we have a President in place to help drive near-term personnel decisions while also developing a long-term plan, I could live with those two as lame ducks for a year.

The first thing the Bears need to do is get a legit President of Football Operations. Ted Phillips may be a great business guy, but it’s insulting for him to have any say in our football hires. Pace & Nagy need to go, but I want this new President finding their replacements. In terms of the roster, I’d use 2021 as a reset year and try my best to improve our long-term cap situation. I would definitely let Mitch go and try to bring in a replacement with some potential to pull a Tannehill like Jameis Winston. In the draft, I’d probably target OT at #20 and then WR in the 2nd given the deepness of this WR class. I’d then try to get a high-upside project QB prospect like Jamie Newman in the 3rd that can spend a few years developing before Winston. Reevaluate where things after the 2021 season, but continue to invest in the line and QB positions at the top of the draft and start adding some youth to the defense in the middle & bottom rounds.