Eminor3rd

QUOTE (RockRaines @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 10:50 PM) Little nugget: they've known Rodon's demands for awhile. They are in the office right now with lawyers. Awesome

QUOTE (ptatc @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 10:43 PM) Even then it's what you look for. I've got hundreds of hours of analysis for research but who is to say what puts an unacceptable stress in a certain area. I take my view from the Andrews/Wilk group which is vastly different from the Morgan or House/Ryan/Rothschild groups. I haven't seen anything published by Thorburn, the name doesn't ring a bell. I'll look. He writes a column called "Raising Aces" on BP that I've always found fascinating. Check that out and tell me if it's BS or not

QUOTE (SoxPride18 @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 10:40 PM) OMG this guy sounds like Cleveland from family guy lmao Haha yeah he does

QUOTE (ptatc @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 10:35 PM) Everyone has their own opinion of mechanics. Everyone keys on different things so who knows what he is looking at. Thorburn (BP) is the guy to go to for mechanics, IMO. He did biomechanical analysis professionally for years. I think it was for some video scouting company or something.

QUOTE (ptatc @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 10:30 PM) I would disagree. He doesn't have a great follow through but it's not as upright as Rodon. Throw a little across the body as well. Good arm slot. Overall, pretty sound. Hulet is probably the pop scout I'd trust the LEAST. He's the FanGraphs guy, and he's an admitted "statistically-oriented" scout. That just hasn't ever made much sense to me.

QUOTE (SoxPride18 @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 10:26 PM) I've got to say the Sox have been one of the winners from tonight's draft. Blue Jays definitely have won day 1. Brewers, too.

QUOTE (IowaSoxFan @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 10:06 PM) They have a 15% buffer to go over their pool before they have any penalties though, right? Yeah, they may have to reach big time from here on out though. The pool drops off really fast.

Idk how they're going to sign both of these guys if they are both overslot.

No Reetz?

QUOTE (Melissa1334 @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 07:57 PM) would have loved to see the sox draft room when the the astros took kolek lol

The #RoadtoRodon was real all along

QUOTE (Eminor3rd @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 06:25 PM) f*** yes Dude f*** yes

f*** yes

I've posted it a few times, but THIS is the article that makes me want Kolek over Nola: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article....articleid=23731

QUOTE (Ozzie Ball @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 05:11 PM) Did I hear correctly, Jim Callis just mentioned something about getting calls related to Nola possibly to the Astros at #1? I just had it on in the background. He was referring to Kolek

QUOTE (scs787 @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 02:23 PM) Apparently stats don't matter though. Nola's numbers are better than Rodons. They mostly don't. What do you think Dylan Axelrod could do to college hitters? Yeah, Nola can handle college hitters, but if he has nothing to improve upon, then he's got to take the same skillset to the MLB and hope it works. Rodon, on the other hand, can also handle college hitters, but has so much work to do with his command and control that he can become a much better player. Maybe Nola DOES have room to grow, I'm jsut going off of what I've read, but that's the idea anyway. Projection is important.

QUOTE (The Ultimate Champion @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 01:58 PM) 80 blowjobs and a new ipod full of rap music. And a pair green DRE BEATS headphones

QUOTE (The Ultimate Champion @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 01:48 PM) He was a MiLB FA before he was a top MLB starter. Nola is NOT a sure thing. Anything but. Obviously if the Sox had a crystal ball things would be different. All they have is Buddy Bell, turn him over and shake him. That's likely the best use of Buddy Bell, too.

QUOTE (Buehrle>Wood @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 01:44 PM) That makes me think he's currently negotiating with us because telling the Marlins or Astros 6 million makes no sense. Agreed. $6m is about exactly what I'd expect he'd demand at #3.

QUOTE (Ozzie Ball @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 01:43 PM) It sounds like the meddling will lead to the Marlins taking Rodon. I think there was a quote before that said Loria had told the FO to take Rodon if available, and this was echoed by Callis in his last mock. Aparently the scouting department prefers Jackson according to the most recent BA mock. Yeah, this is what I've heard as well.

QUOTE (Buehrle>Wood @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 12:54 PM) I think tuc read it wrong. It's about Aiken to the Cubs. I'll do the ridiculous and handicap this though. I think I'm giving him very rough odds considering he's the consensus 1 but here we go: 60% percent he goes 1 50% percent he goes 2 if he's still available 50% percent he goes 3 if he's available. That's a 10% chance he's there for the Cubs. It's actually lower than that though because I'm not accounting for him actually getting picked. Someone with more time/smarter/better at math can do that. Should be like 5 or 6 percent. The math is good, I just don't think there's anywhere close to a 50% chance he goes #2. I think that Marlins are either Rodon or Jackson. So if he gets past 1, he gets to 3. That's my assumption/argument that there's a 20% or greater chance he gets to 4. I'm essentially assuming that there's a 40-60% chance he gets to 3.

QUOTE (Buehrle>Wood @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 01:24 PM) Still a lot lower than 20 percent that happens. QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 01:25 PM) But the odds of all that happening have to be less than 1 in 5. QUOTE (The Ultimate Champion @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 01:29 PM) Sounds pretty realistic to me. If the choice with Houston is Rodon vs. Aiken 50/50 and Marlins have it 50/50 Jackson vs. Rodon then there's a 50% chance (in a vacuum) that Aiken falls to us. Yeah to me it really just comes down to the Astros pick, which has to be at least 50% Rodon, and the White Sox preference for college arms. The Miami pick of Jackson seems solid if Rodon is gone. That feels like at least 25% to me. So if it's 50% chance that 1 and 2 go "Rodon/Jackson," it seems believeable that there's 50% chance that the Sox choose either Kolek or Nola over Aiken. The odds for two consecutive 50/50's to happen is 25%, right?