Eminor3rd

Dude's on pace for like a 5 win season, lmao. Are you guys even following this team?

HAHAHA

LMAO whose idea was it to mic Hendriks?!

It sounds more like he's worried the winning won't last.

I actually think this format might be really good for Ohtani, whose commitment physical fitness is supposed to be insane. THis is such a stress-test style stamina test that endurance could be the difference.

Is it just me, or does the raw amount of homers everyone is hitting and the blistering pace given the timer actually make this boring? Like you don't even get to enjoy each one flying, and when everyone is hitting 15-25, each one just doesn't feel significant.

Yeah, in retrospect, the analysts that were highest on Ohtani when he was posted all said something along the lines of "no one will outwork this kid, he has superhuman discipline and focus, he will do everything he can to reach his potential," and that seems to have been the X factor.

It's insane how much stronger and faster his bat got after he started training in the US. You used to be able to beat him inside pretty reliably when he was in the NPB -- it had the classic appearance of a swing that was too long/grooved but worked because he was so athletic. I don't think many people really realized that this much potential was in there.

Greinke has like 90-grade command though

Getting Kath in round 2 should justify any uncertainty we have about choosing Montgomery in round 1. Suggests to me that Montgomery will sign underslot. As a pair, that's a great outcome for picking as late as the WS are this year.

Absolutely. With Vaughn graduated, it’s arguably the weakest system in the game right now. Though for very different reasons than when it was last time.

Trade literally every player in the organization. Start over next year with a new name in a new city. Act as if every new player was part of the rebuild.

It definitely has a "petty" feel like that.

I was gonna say the same thing. It's so strange it feels almost like he's bitter and trying to show someone up... somehow. He appears to be clearly forcing it into paragraphs where it doesn't belong.

Not sure what you're talking about, as the White Sox are 22nd in HR. Did you mean "sorely" missed? Sure, you miss any starter. But while Mendick is certainly worse, he's the same TYPE of player and he's perfectly capable of playing at a league average rate, which is all you can ask for for an injury replacement. Contrast that to other positions on the roster and you'll see instances (and potential instances) of much larger dropoffs in performance.

I like Nick and feel terrible for him, but for 2021, he's the starter the Sox could MOST afford to lose. I'm okay with Mendick for this year if the Sox gun for other upgrades at the deadline.

Sox should wait. Given how few assets they can afford to use (both money and prospects), they need to brace for a bigger hole to open up. For example, if a starter goes down, the drop off is much more severe than from Madrigal to Mendick

If it was colder...

Woulda been a 2-run homer. SO dumb.

OK that was a full-on dumbass play

Yeah a billionaire spends a few thousand on two rings for his players, dude is LOOSE.

It’s my most reliable trigger.

But it DOESN’T confirm what some of you have been saying. Even if the stat was good, his only season with a clutch stat even approaching terrible was five years ago. The argument isn’t even internally consistent — Abreu has an ABOVE AVERAGE clutch score for three consecutive seasons now And it isn’t “not predictive” according to ME, it’s not predictive according to the people who have researched it. It’s even stated directly on the fangraphs page you linked that it isn’t predictive.

This is hack-level misuse of this statistic, comparing a career counting stat total with the "awful" assessment in a single season. That would be like saying a player with 100 career RBI is elite because 100 RBI is a lot for one season. On top of that, even a cursory glance at his numbers would show you that a whopping -1.67 of that -2.11 came in 2016 alone, and that every other season he's been within -0.5 to +0.5. This is just a comically bad take and/or fabricated narrative; it's like how you'd expect cable political news to use data. Also, suggesting that we should be concerned about playoff performance because of leverage index is, at best, a complete misunderstanding of leverage index. And it's not a great statistic, anyway. It's really a different expression of WPA, which is useful in a descriptive way that same way RBI or runs scored is -- meaning it can be a really compelling part of say, and MVP conversation, but an incredibly bad number to use to make any sort of projection or assessment of talent. The reason this stat is rarely talked about is because it's been shown to have practically no predictive value, meaning it would be a bad idea to make decisions based on it, or similarly, to be "worried about him in the playoffs."

It isn't totally accurate -- or, more precisely, it doesn't track 1:1 with what it attempts to measure -- but it isn't at all "subjective."