It's joking of course, but it does seem to work out that way. The Republicans are trying to kill off their base and the Democrats are trying to keep them alive.
I think it's the latter, 37% of yesterday's voters were 60+. Still, it's the Democrats own fault. They pass Obamacare, less old people die, and now there are more of them to vote Republican.
I'm far too early in the sausage-making process to have any insight as to what the numbers will be before they are released, but the October numbers should be released Friday morning.
My county's returns are at 100%, and I am happy to report that the son of my disgusting, horrible b**** of an ex-boss lost his bid to be county prosecutor.
Co-posting in both threads:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-...ing-the-senate/
Nate Silver's final analysis gives the Republicans a 76.2 chance of taking the Senate, with 53 Republican seats (22.5%) and 52 Republican seats (21.4%) being the most likely outcomes. Nate has the Kansas race as the only one without an at least 2:1 favorite.
Co-posting in both threads:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-...ing-the-senate/
Nate Silver's final analysis gives the Republicans a 76.2 chance of taking the Senate, with 53 Republican seats (22.5%) and 52 Republican seats (21.4%) being the most likely outcomes. Nate has the Kansas race as the only one without an at least 2:1 favorite.
All of that makes good sense, but don't forget the Sox also have a hole at DH. Gillaspie could become part of a DH platoon so signing Sandoval might make sense depending on what his cost is and what the cost is for the other guys you mentioned.
The nation as a whole leans Democratic so the Democrats have an advantage in Presidential elections. Many individual districts, especially in Kansas, lean Republican so being anti-Obama works there.
Candidates in Chicago and New York are not running anti-Obama campaigns.