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Dunt

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Everything posted by Dunt

  1. Fucking this. This fanbase is so fucking fickle.
  2. Dunt

    Dylan Covey

    This is real gentlemen. He's striking people out, getting ground balls, pounding the strike zone....this is truly a pleasure to watch. It was easy to write him off last season, the Sox never really put him in a position to succeed. His stuff has been filthy though this year. Some of the gifs to come out of last night are pretty eye popping, his sinker looks a lot like Blake Treinen's.
  3. The Orioles, Marlins, and Reds are the serious threats right now. The Orioles are going to be really bad once Machado is gone.
  4. Jason Bilous from Coastal in the 11th today plz
  5. Personal favorites for our two picks tonight: Bart, Madrigal, Singer Ornelas, Torres, Kloffenstein
  6. I think pick 4 comes down to either Madrigal or Singer, but I have some time to kill at work before I leave for the day, so thinking about underslot value at #4. While I like the possibility of Schnell at 46, I think the strategy is a lot less appealing if he is taken at 4. When I think about potential targets for an underslot deal, I broke it down between college and HS. You dont want to drop too far in value (which is why I dont think Schnell at 4 makes sense), so if you're looking at college guys, I would say the realistic targets would be Jonathan India and Travis Swaggerty. From all indications, India probably doesnt get past the Mets at 6 and Swaggerty probably doesnt make it past the Athletics at 9. For quick reference, here are the pool allotments for each position in the draft: https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/royals-tigers-have-largest-bonus-draft-allotments/ If the Sox decided India was the guy they wanted at 4, they could save upwards of 900K if they just matched the Mets slot allotment. If they went Swaggerty (I personally hope they dont), that's a savings of $1.6 million. Obviously neither of those figures are what would realistically happen, but when we think about how those savings could be applied later, it gives the Sox some real flexibility. For instance, if they decided to give India $6 million and pocket $500K to use later, they could offer their third rd pick pretty close to top 50 money. Pulling 3 top 50 players in the top 3 rds would be a pretty big coup for the Sox system. Should the Sox want to go the HS route, this opportunity would be even more present with HSers filling boards quite a bit in the 7-20 range. Hostetler mentioned on, I believe, Red Line Radio a couple weks ago that he was on his way to Washington and Orange County....maybe Cole Winn is the dark horse nobody is talking about? He's been getting glowing reviews all spring.
  7. If you look at the Phillies current window of contention, a college SP on the fast track to the majors makes a lot of sense for them. Singer could replace Eflin then Sixto Sanchez could eventually replace Arrieta when his contract is up. Would be a seriously interesting development for the Sox.
  8. Probably just more smoke, but worth keeping an eye on...
  9. He's had a lot of good pub over the last few weeks, I'm not sure he makes it to 46. That said, he would probably be my priority if he is there.
  10. A lot to like in this draft. Sox are going to have a ton of options in rounds 2 and 3 to add some nice depth to the system. Some names I like at both spots: 2nd Round Anthony Siegler Lenny Torres Jr. Blaine Knight Greyson Jenista Griffin Roberts Matt McClain Slade Cecconi 3rd Round Kyle Isbel Durbin Feltman Daniel Lynch Nick Decker I'm skeptical most of those 3rd RD names even make it to them though. Seen Daniel Lynch mocked as high as mid first round lately.
  11. His starts toward the end of the season werent as good as earlier in the season FWIW. Still think he is the first pick.
  12. That was a really fun game to watch
  13. As I've gotten deeper into evaluating how college talent will translate to the pro level, I think this is typically a pretty good indicator.
  14. A good name to keep an eye on in the minors: Jose Ruiz. Sox acquired him from the Padres in the offseason and so far between A+/AA, he has accumulated 2.57 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 34:6 K:BB in 21 IP.
  15. It's without a doubt the worst outfield defense I've ever witnessed
  16. There was a lot of hand-wringing the first month of the season, but the bullpen has quietly cemented itself as the strength of the Sox team. They currently rank 12th overall according to FG with plenty of reasons for optimism moving forward. Some stat lines so far this season: Jones 3.50 ERA, 3.86 FIP, 4.12 xFIP, 10 K/9, 3.5 BB/9 Soria 5.65 ERA, 3.21 FIP, 3.76 xFIP, 10.67 K/9, 1.88 BB/9 Avilan 5.25 ERA, 3.47 FIP, 4.14 xFIP, 11.25 K/9, 5.25 BB/9 Bummer 3.68 ERA, 2.39 FIP, 3.38 xFIP, 9.82 K/9, 3.68 BB/9 Rondon 3.86 ERA, 2.28 FIP, 3.55 xFIP, 11.57 K/9, 4.50 BB/9 Fry 0.00 ERA, 0.98 FIP, 2.14 xFIP, 12.96 K/9, 2.16 BB/9 You'd like to see some improvement with Avilan and Rondon's BB%, but they are both striking out a ton of people so they can get by with the elevated BB totals. In addition, Avilan and Soria are both battling BABIPs above .400 right now, so we should hopefully be seeing some positive regression on both accounts. The emergence of the last 3 is what has really surprised though. The Sox can effectively move all of their veteran talent in the bullpen this deadline, get some pieces for the system, and still have a solid core next year that they can supplement with Burdi, Hamilton, and maybe a free agent or two. Optimism!
  17. I dont think his mechanics are questionable or his delivery is high effort. Velocity is generally 93-96, where do you expect him to be? Ya, it was a little down last start, but we have enough data at this point to know where he sits. Singer is like half a foot taller and doesnt have the control concerns that Fulmer had at Vandy.
  18. Hahaha, missed that, great minds think alike. I feel the same way. I feel like he will have a solid mlb career, but that pick wouldn't excite me. Hoping the Sox go one of Bart, India, or Madrigal myself.
  19. I'm not seeing the comparison
  20. I understand why a lot of people wouldnt like that pick, but there is a lot I like about him personally. I've probably watched around the same amount of starts the last two years with him and there are some things that stick out to me: 1.) He gets a ton of movement on his fastball. That movement, along with his typical velocity, make that a well above average pitch to me. 2.) His slider, which is also an above average offering, plays really well off of his fastball. His pitch tunneling for these two pitches make it really hard to pick up what he's throwing. 3.) Long, proven track record in the best conference in America and dominance when he pitched in the Cape. 4.) He doesn't walk anybody. He's had 3 straight years at Florida of decreasing his walks and increasing his strikeouts. In a system full of guys that have a propensity for the free base, his profile is very attractive to me. 5.) He's going to be a fast mover. I think his profile is pretty similar to Aaron Nola's and I imagine their tracks to the majors will be pretty similar. Even if he doesnt break the majors with the Sox, that will be an attractive trade piece. On the other two pitchers, McClanahan is a big time no for me. The velo is sexy, but he's walking almost 5 per 9 and he already has one TJ under his belt. I'm not using the #4 pick on a pitcher with an injury history. As for Mize, I think he's far and away the best pitcher in this draft. His mix of stuff and command give him a treu ace ceiling. That said, in the times I've watched him, I've always thought it looks like he creates a lot of stress in his shoulder. He looks like someone that might have a couple good years, then never pitch again. That's my opinion, but not letting anyone besides the drafting team see his MRI seems like a red flag to me.
  21. http://www.milb.com/scoreboard/index.jsp?cid=&lid=&org=145&sc=&sid=milb&t=affiliate&ymd=20180515 Kannapolis already in action. Gonzalez has a HR and Yurchak is 2-2 w/ a 2B and 2 RBI. Battenfield continues pitching well.
  22. He's definitely a name to consider at 46. Other college arms I like at that spot: Kris Bubic (polished lefty, doesnt turn 21 until Aug, plus change, above average command) and Tim Cate (some health issues this season, his curve is about as nasty as it gets though, reliever risk). I wonder if the Sox can go India underslot in the first and make a play at getting De Sedas in the second. De Sedas hasnt had a great spring, but adding that type of potential with your first two picks would be pretty awesome. Edit: Blaine Knight would be an interesting pick at 46 too. Has the height to start, needs to add some weight to his frame, but routinely mid 90's with his fastball and has one of the highest spin rate breaking pitches in this class. I think he would need to be a quick mover though because he turns 22 in June.
  23. Have you seen his slider?
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