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2020 Election Thoughts

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30 minutes ago, StrangeSox said:

Thank you Donald Trump for grifting off tens of millions in donations for these races and also for pushing the $2k checks that Dems were able to absolutely hammer the GOP with over the final push in these races.

 

 

And also trying to bully Georgia's SOS into overturning their previous election days before the runoff. Regardless of outcome, that will be forever regarded as 4D, intergalactic chess strategy.

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Sterling is on CNN right now saying the numbers were transposed by one of the election officials. It’s 171k not 117k. 

Those odds are crazy, it should be 50/50 still.

Sterling is so straight forward. No bullshit whatsoever.

3 minutes ago, chw42 said:

Sterling is so straight forward. No bullshit whatsoever.

And, as a reminder, he endorsed both Republican senate candidates.

2 minutes ago, Heads22 said:

And, as a reminder, he endorsed both Republican senate candidates.

Yeah I realize that. But you gotta admit that he's honest in the face of defeat.

4 minutes ago, chw42 said:

Yeah I realize that. But you gotta admit that he's honest in the face of defeat.

 

I didn't mean that to be derogatory, I'm sorry if it came off that way.

11 minutes ago, chw42 said:

Sterling is so straight forward. No bullshit whatsoever.

I would love the people I elect to be like him.

Decision Desk HQ has called it for Warnock after the Dekalb votes. Ossoff down 3K after Dekalb's dump. 

Edited by chw42

Ossoff only trails by 3,000 votes now.  Warnock leading.

Most votes coming from Atlanta.

NYT has Warnock at 95+%. Ossoff at 94%.

There's those votes.

Bovada is -6600 for warnock and -1400 for Osoff

5 minutes ago, chw42 said:

Election Desk HQ has called it for Warnock after the Dekalb votes. Ossoff down 3K after Dekalb's dump. 

What channel?

Still not 100% convinced Ossoff pulls this off.

Just now, Chicago White Sox said:

Still not 100% convinced Ossoff pulls this off.

He's gonna have to underperform heavily in the rest of the vote to lose this. Still 200k+ votes left, mostly in dem areas. A 20k deficit with that much left isn't insurmountable. 

Dekalb still has 20k outstanding votes

1 minute ago, chw42 said:

He's gonna have to underperform heavily in the rest of the vote to lose this. Still 200k+ votes left, mostly in dem areas. A 20k deficit with that much left isn't insurmountable. 

Sounds like 20k early votes in Dekalb which should give Ossoff a good 16k and greatly cut the gap, but damn this still seems very close.

1 minute ago, Chicago White Sox said:

Sounds like 20k early votes in Dekalb which should give Ossoff a good 16k and greatly cut the gap, but damn this still seems very close.

NYT's model says that Ossoff and Warnock are slated to win by 27 and 28% of the remaining vote. That's a huge advantage for the rest of the 233k (that's their estimate). So the estimate the rest of the way is 148K-85K. A 60k margin. If anything, Ossoff actually has some room for error assuming these estimates are correct and he doesn't heavily underperform. 

2 minutes ago, Chicago White Sox said:

Sounds like 20k early votes in Dekalb which should give Ossoff a good 16k and greatly cut the gap, but damn this still seems very close.

 

 

 

1 minute ago, chw42 said:

NYT's model says that Ossoff and Warnock are slated to win by 27 and 28% of the remaining vote. That's a huge advantage for the rest of the 233k (that's their estimate). So the estimate the rest of the way is 148K-85K. A 60k margin. If anything, Ossoff actually has some room for error assuming these estimates are correct and he doesn't heavily underperform. 

That makes me feel better!

2 minutes ago, StrangeSox said:

 

 

 

That also makes me feel good!

4 minutes ago, chw42 said:

NYT's model says that Ossoff and Warnock are slated to win by 27 and 28% of the remaining vote. That's a huge advantage for the rest of the 233k (that's their estimate). So the estimate the rest of the way is 148K-85K. A 60k margin. If anything, Ossoff actually has some room for error assuming these estimates are correct and he doesn't heavily underperform. 

Sorry what is the rest of the 233,000? Mail votes?

Ossoff just under a 1,000 behind!

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