May 29, 20214 yr Sox have been bet down based on the odds both in Vegas where I just was and the Illinois sports books. $100 to win $1,030 were the best WS odds I saw, but most were in the $800-$860 range from a $100 bet.
June 14, 20214 yr Accoring to Fangraphs, the Sox now have an 89.5% chance of winning the AL Central. They hold the highest odds of winning the World Series among all AL teams, at 10.9%
June 14, 20214 yr 41 minutes ago, KrankinSox said: Accoring to Fangraphs, the Sox now have an 89.5% chance of winning the AL Central. They hold the highest odds of winning the World Series among all AL teams, at 10.9% WOW, with all the injuries that 89.5% number is amazing.
June 14, 20214 yr Sox playoff odds FG make playoffs 92.3%, Win ALC 89.5%, win WS 11.2% BR make playoffs 99.4%, win ALC 86.3%, win WS 15.5%
June 14, 20214 yr 10 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said: Sox playoff odds FG make playoffs 92.3%, Win ALC 89.5%, win WS 11.2% BR make playoffs 99.4%, win ALC 86.3%, win WS 15.5% I checked BP, and man, they seem to be sticking hard to their preseason projections. Sox only 49.5% to win the division, and Twins still at 7.5%.
June 14, 20214 yr 10 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said: Sox playoff odds FG make playoffs 92.3%, Win ALC 89.5%, win WS 11.2% BR make playoffs 99.4%, win ALC 86.3%, win WS 15.5% I can't believe Baseball Reference has us as sure locks yet has us at a lower percentage to win the division than FG.
June 14, 20214 yr 3 minutes ago, chw42 said: I can't believe Baseball Reference has us as sure locks yet has us at a lower percentage to win the division than FG. Cleveland is 5.5 games back, and currently also the first team out of the wild card standings, so the team has essentially a 5.5 game lead on TWO playoff spots. If somehow Cleveland was to pass the Sox, they would also need to have both Boston (2.5 game lead) and Houston (4 game lead) also pass the White Sox pace for them to not be a playoff team. If both Houston and Boston were to fall off, and Cleveland win the ALC, Toronto is the next team back at 7 games behind the Sox, and it only gets deeper for the trailing teams. As of now it would take a LOT of things not only going back for Chicago, but also going right for at least 3 other teams for the Sox to not make the playoffs.
June 14, 20214 yr 8 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said: Cleveland is 5.5 games back, and currently also the first team out of the wild card standings, so the team has essentially a 5.5 game lead on TWO playoff spots. If somehow Cleveland was to pass the Sox, they would also need to have both Boston (2.5 game lead) and Houston (4 game lead) also pass the White Sox pace for them to not be a playoff team. If both Houston and Boston were to fall off, and Cleveland win the ALC, Toronto is the next team back at 7 games behind the Sox, and it only gets deeper for the trailing teams. As of now it would take a LOT of things not only going back for Chicago, but also going right for at least 3 other teams for the Sox to not make the playoffs. Sox are 41-24 with 50 games left vs teams > .500 and 47 games left vs teams < .500. A really bad performance against the > .500 teams would be 20-30 (40%), yet that gets the Sox to 61 wins. Would only need to go 29-18 (62%) against the < .500 teams to get to 90 wins, which pretty much guarantees at least a WC spot, if not the division.
July 2, 20214 yr Post update FG 93.1% to make playoffs, 91.1% to win ALC and 9.9 to win WS BR 98.6% to make playoffs, 98.2% to win ALC, and 8.1% to win WS 538 92% to make playoffs, 90% to win division, 8% to win WS
July 6, 20214 yr Indians' Shane Bieber: Not yet ready to throw by RotoWire Staff | RotoWire Bieber (shoulder) isn't expected to resume throwing for a week or two, Tom Withers of the Associated Press reports. Bieber underwent medical exams recently, and the team has been pleased with the results. However, he'll continue to rest in the near future in order to prevent a more serious issue. A better timetable for the right-hander's return could be revealed once he's cleared to begin a throwing program. https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/players/playerpage/2507333/shane-bieber Since his return is undoubtedly the primary hope for the Indians at this point. Edited July 6, 20214 yr by caulfield12
July 6, 20214 yr On 6/14/2021 at 11:28 AM, southsider2k5 said: Cleveland is 5.5 games back, and currently also the first team out of the wild card standings, so the team has essentially a 5.5 game lead on TWO playoff spots. If somehow Cleveland was to pass the Sox, they would also need to have both Boston (2.5 game lead) and Houston (4 game lead) also pass the White Sox pace for them to not be a playoff team. If both Houston and Boston were to fall off, and Cleveland win the ALC, Toronto is the next team back at 7 games behind the Sox, and it only gets deeper for the trailing teams. As of now it would take a LOT of things not only going back for Chicago, but also going right for at least 3 other teams for the Sox to not make the playoffs. Thank God...I was beginning to worry.☺️
July 19, 20214 yr im surprised on the astros ....i mean i think they'll make it ... but it's not like there's not competition there.
July 19, 20214 yr 5 minutes ago, BrianAnderson said: im surprised on the astros ....i mean i think they'll make it ... but it's not like there's not competition there. BR clearly doesn't like Oakland since they are 2 1/2 ahead of Toronto in the WC race but give the Jays double the odds to make it.
August 10, 20214 yr Looking on Fanduel right now and they don't even offer odds on the AL Central anymore LOL
August 10, 20214 yr 4 minutes ago, KrankinSox said: Looking on Fanduel right now and they don't even offer odds on the AL Central anymore LOL DraftKings is: Sox -10000 Indians +4000 Tigers +30000 Royals +80000 Twins +80000
August 10, 20214 yr FanGraphs has us at a 99.9% chance of winning the division. I think that's the highest it's been all season.
August 18, 20214 yr given the implied pay outs i'd take ...... and this is a business/gambling decision ... not as a fan. blue jays - payout is great for a team with the bats and who have a nice 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation white sox astros rays in that order at this point.
August 18, 20214 yr 1 hour ago, southsider2k5 said: Feels wrong to have the Yankees below the A's at this point. May have to go look if these are reflected in vegas
August 19, 20214 yr After tonight's win, FanGraphs officially has us at 100% probability for winning the division. Take this with a grain of salt though, because they had the Padres at a 98.4% chance to make the postseason in May and they're now at something like 44%. Edited August 19, 20214 yr by chw42
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.