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knightni
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I know it's unlikely to happen but...  

90 members have voted

  1. 1. I know it's unlikely to happen but...

    • Jon Garland
      35
    • Alfonso Soriano
      52


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Out of them and the other 10-15 i can mention probally 12-14 of them if they could get soriano.

Using your logic, we should have won the past couple of years. I mean - it's all about the longball, baby... Defense isn't important, nor is pitching - but chicks dig the longball...

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Using your logic, we should have won the past couple of years.  I mean - it's all about the longball, baby...  Defense isn't important, nor is pitching - but chicks dig the longball...

I am not really even for soriano so i do not know what your talking about. He is not a drastic upgrade over uribe. He is better but i look at obp and his career obp is .322 valentin's is .321. Not really the type of player that makes a huge impact.

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I am not really even for soriano so i do not know what your talking about. He is not a drastic upgrade over uribe. He is better but i look at obp and his career obp is .322 valentin's is .321. Not really the type of player that makes a huge impact.

Yet you advocate this trade?

 

I don't know, I'm just a little lost here. You don't like Diaz as a viable option for a fifth starter's spot this year, yet you want to trade Garland?

 

I can see this team going out and spending money on ONE starting pitcher - two - ehh, that's iffy. There are more holes to be filled besides starting pitching.

 

I just don't see how Soriano improves this team...

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Yet you advocate this trade?

 

I don't know, I'm just a little lost here.  You don't like Diaz as a viable option for a fifth starter's spot this year, yet you want to trade Garland? 

 

I can see this team going out and spending money on ONE starting pitcher - two - ehh, that's iffy.  There are more holes to be filled besides starting pitching. 

 

I just don't see how Soriano improves this team...

I believe someone said ""He deserves a shot at #5 next year if he keeps pitching like he did today."" And i said if he is are fifth starter next year. :puke because that will mean we have not signed anyone.

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Let me give you the stats of a (for right now) nameless pitcher. He started pitching when he was 22. He is 28 right now - here are his stats through then:

 

134 IP, 4.21 ERA

104 IP, 5.63 ERA

97 IP, 3.06 ERA

42 IP, 6.33 ERA

61 IP, 3.79 ERA

74 IP, 6.30 ERA

201 IP, 4.30 ERA

186 (So far) IP, 3.09 ERA

 

People are talking about giving this pitcher anywhere from 8-11 million next season. If you haven't figured it out, it's Carl Pavano. Man - are his stats inconsistent or what. So, at the same age, Pavano had hit both ends of the spectrum, an excellent 3.06 ERA, yet a poor 6.33 ERA. With Garland, we know the worst from him - a smidge under a 5.00 ERA. Yet - do we know his best?

 

If I have a fifth starter - and I know that during the season, he's going to do two things for me: log a lot of innings (Jon is on a pace to log 200+ this year), and give me a sub-five ERA - then wow, that's pretty good. Now - factor in that most of us think that we really haven't seen Jon's best season yet - and that's just gravy.

 

You guys want to trade Garland for Soriano? Fine. And then next year, we'll go through the same carrasell (sp?) of fifth starters like we've done the past four years.

 

If we sign a Matt Clement/Odalis Perez/Carl Pavano - we'll finally have five guys who have can eat up 1000+ innings, plus at least four out of the five providing sub - 4.50 ERAs. Why not go into next season with ZERO question marks in the most important aspect of baseball - pitching?

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Let me give you the stats of a (for right now) nameless pitcher. He started pitching when he was 22. He is 28 right now - here are his stats through then:

 

134 IP, 4.21 ERA

104 IP, 5.63 ERA

97 IP, 3.06 ERA

42 IP, 6.33 ERA

61 IP, 3.79 ERA

74 IP, 6.30 ERA

201 IP, 4.30 ERA

186 (So far) IP, 3.09 ERA

 

People are talking about giving this pitcher anywhere from 8-11 million next season. If you haven't figured it out, it's Carl Pavano. Man - are his stats inconsistent or what. So, at the same age, Pavano had hit both ends of the spectrum, an excellent 3.06 ERA, yet a poor 6.33 ERA. With Garland, we know the worst from him - a smidge under a 5.00 ERA. Yet - do we know his best?

 

If I have a fifth starter - and I know that during the season, he's going to do two things for me: log a lot of innings (Jon is on a pace to log 200+ this year), and give me a sub-five ERA - then wow, that's pretty good. Now - factor in that most of us think that we really haven't seen Jon's best season yet - and that's just gravy.

 

You guys want to trade Garland for Soriano? Fine. And then next year, we'll go through the same carrasell (sp?) of fifth starters like we've done the past four years.

 

If we sign a Matt Clement/Odalis Perez/Carl Pavano - we'll finally have five guys who have can eat up 1000+ innings, plus at least four out of the five providing sub - 4.50 ERAs. Why not go into next season with ZERO question marks in the most important aspect of baseball - pitching?

His best season he pitched roughly 120 innings. If he would have pitched another 60-80 his era would have most likely been in the mid fours. I would not mind him as a fifth stater if he was not a whiny little b****. But as a fourth starter he does not tickle my fancy.

 

Have also not been a big supporter of getting pavano, beltre either. I think they are just exploding in their contract years and will slip back to mediocracy.

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His best season he pitched roughly 120 innings. If he would have pitched another 60-80 his era would have most likely been in the mid fours. I would not mind him as a fifth stater if he was not a whiny little b****. But as a fourth starter he does not tickle my fancy.

But - this is my last post, at least for tonight - he'll be a fifth next year. That's what I'm trying to tell you. This team is going out, via free agency, via trade, whatever - and pick up a pitcher, most likely a number two or a number three. Yet - they most likely aren't going to go and pick up two starters.

 

That's why I want to keep Jon, and go into the season without a question mark at the fifth starter spot.

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But - this is my last post, at least for tonight - he'll be a fifth next year.  That's what I'm trying to tell you.  This team is going out, via free agency, via trade, whatever - and pick up a pitcher, most likely a number two or a number three.  Yet - they most likely aren't going to go and pick up two starters.

 

That's why I want to keep Jon, and go into the season without a question mark at the fifth starter spot.

Honestly, the main reason i want him out if here is because he does not go about the game the right way. Pisses me off so much.

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I think there is one major difference between Garland and Pavano early in their career. Pavano was on and off due in large part to various injuries. Anytime he started to get something going he was out for the year and it took him a while to get back in the groove. Garland has not had any major injuries and has had several years to prove his worth, he just hasn't made any major strides. It's still a bit risky to deal a young starter, but if you can get something that will help, do it. I still think Soriano is an upgrade over Valentin since he has shown more power and speed, but I would like to see who else we could get for Jon. If he has that much value, he can net us a lot more than I would have thought.

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.280-24-81

 

vs.

 

10-10, 1.36 WHIP, 4.92 ERA

 

Wow, that's really tough.

Ugh. It's not .280-24-81. It's .279/.322/.472. Compare that to Juan Uribe at .271/.318/.491. Roughly speaking, Juan Uribe has hit as well as Alfonso Soriano has. Don't let the 81 RBI fool you - If Soriano had the same number of at-bats as Uribe (428), he'd have 62 RBI...almost exactly the same as Uribe.

 

So why is he worth soaking up $6-8 million per year that can be spent on pitching when we already have him on our team?

 

I'm also convinced that Uribe is going to get BETTER rather than worse over the next few years:

 

Walk rate:

 

2001 8 BB 273 AB - .029 BB/AB

2002 34 BB 566 AB - .060 BB/AB

2003 17 BB 316 AB - .054 BB/AB

2004 29 BB 428 AB - .067 BB/AB

 

He's getting a better eye as the years improve. If he can hit .275 with a .335 OBP, he'll be a relatively valuable player. I like Juan, and especially if he costs $1 million/year like he should for the next couple of years.

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