Everything posted by Look at Ray Ray Run
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White Sox (Hendriks) v. Twins (Colome)
Wonder if Baldelli will move himself to a lower leverage situation so he doesn't forget how many mound visits he's made and be forced to pull his starter early... on accident. Never saw that before last night in my entire life.
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White Sox (Hendriks) v. Twins (Colome)
Not sure the "don't give a closer all your FA money" crowd is the same as the bring back colome crowd. Bullpen hasn't really been worth pounding chests about and Hendriks has blown 2 saves in 6 chances so n idea why that is a "great signing" at the moment. Unless your goal was a 66% save % when they signed him for huge money.
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Theories as to why offense behind pitching so far?
1. The ball; it seems to be effecting fly balls more which is hurting runs scored. There really isn't a huge difference between this April and last year when it comes to swStr% or contact %. It's definitely slightly down, by around .4%, but it's not dramatic. 2. Velocity. I thought pitchers would benefit from the shortened season last year and so far they may have. Time will tell. Every tick in velo is going to be a slight tick up in k rate and a tick down in contact %. Velo is likely up a bit because of the continued rise of the reliever. 3. Bullpens and IP/start. The trend continues as fewer starters are ever able to see a lineup 3 times. I find it fascinating that offense is WAY down, meaning pitching has been good, but the avg starter is barely over 5 IP/start. This means that despite good performances, arms are just getting the hook.
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Madrigal.
So now that Kevin Goldstein has already written an article stating that Nick Madrigal is "good" despite this quoted text from Harold, how long until Harold admits that Madirgal is good? Soon: +100000 Never: -1000000
- Playoff odds
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Texas @ Sox
Yeah, I still attest that the seeding was pretty fake last year too though. The Sox would have been the 5 seed in a typical year with a two game lead over the 6 seed.
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Texas @ Sox
The White Sox made the playoffs by 9 games last year in a 60 game season (meaning they had a 9 game lead over the team that "could have taken their spot". How is that "barely holding on?"
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A Kopastic White Sox Winner
Agreed, I've loved the way Collins has looked this year. Incredibly impressive improvement imo in multiple facets of the game. Hard to be consistent offensively without playing a lot but his contact has improved a lot and he's been fine with the glove. Certainly not "unplayable" like people were screaming for years.
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Playoff odds
Between the White Sox and the Padres; one of their SS's has zero errors on the season, while the other teams SS has 9 errors in 16 games. TA74MVP
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Playoff odds
The Pirates are terrible. They're every bit as bad as people think. Not sure what your second point means. Sox haven't played the Tigers once this year.
- Madrigal.
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Madrigal.
Scouts are literally the people that said to give tatis, acuna and etc that little money. The angels drafted someone before trout that year. Those guys, if anything, are an indictment on the scouting community not an example of their immense skills. Robert is a better example of a scout and scouting community loving a guy without a lot of data, paying him a ton, and it paying off.
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Madrigal.
Love to see nick shove it to all the haters.
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Madrigal.
Hmmmm almost like nicky isn't worthless as an offensive player with his current "weakling" profile. If he finishes the year anywhere near 110-120 we'll just chalk it up to Harold's eye glass prescription being expired.
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Madrigal.
Can you read? I said the odds of a scout being more accurate than a model over a large enough sample (not 1 or 2 players) is 1 in 1000000000. Please try to read before repeating the same fallacy over and over.
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Texas @ Sox
Degrom isn't human, but he's getting older so by the chance kopech is in his prime he could be in that conversation no doubt.
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Texas @ Sox
Still waiting for someone to show me evidence that babying pitchers has done anything but cause more injuries and arm problems. Amateur overuse is the problem for many, not professional work load.
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Adam Eaton v. Joc Pederson v. Nomar Mazara
Through nearly 1 month, I couldn't have been more wrong about Eaton vs Pederson. Eaton is still terrible defensively but his bat in the 2 hole has been a perfect fit and it honestly looks like he's gonna sustain it most of the year. A great grab that I whiffed on and hahn crushed.
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That’s a Nicky Two Strikes Winner!!
Yes, the shift effects him but they've shifted on grandal for a while now. Thats not new to this year. His xwOBA is higher than all the years in the past where his actual production was much better.
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That’s a Nicky Two Strikes Winner!!
And thats a fair point, and at the end of the day actual production is the only way you score runs, but I think its fair to acknowledge hes had quite a bit of bad batted ball luck.
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That’s a Nicky Two Strikes Winner!!
they still shift him so... Also, thank you for pointing out the possibility that grandal may have never bunted right handed in his entire career before last night.
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That’s a Nicky Two Strikes Winner!!
See, in that situation bunting would make a ton of sense. Man on third can score with outs being recorded or passed balls. Man on second, you still need a hit. There's an article in this thread posted by another poster who I'm not supposed to name that breaks that down pretty good lol.
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That’s a Nicky Two Strikes Winner!!
I'm sure Tony is "open minded" to some analytics thinking. I don't want to say he's not at all willing to listen, but LaRussa is not the type of manager that is going to manage by a data book. Heck, even defensive positioning I think the White Sox have taken a step backwards from where they were last year - analytically speaking. It's his show.
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That’s a Nicky Two Strikes Winner!!
Tony larussa was not using advanced team metrics there. Thats pretty obvious to me. How can you have advanced metrics on grandals ability to do something hes done twice in 950ish career games and 3500 PA's. And yes, Robert has an incredible chance of swiping a bag vs travino. We can agree to disagree on this. It was a boneheaded move that put the game in the hands of a lesser hitter and gave up an out despite robert being able to steal without doing. Nicky big stick bailed him out though like the machine he is!
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That’s a Nicky Two Strikes Winner!!
Woh there buddy, no need for the name calling and capital letters. Have a great Sunday ?! Ps that article is about advancing a runner from 2nd to 3rd, not first to second, under the new extra innings rule. You might want to read the things you link.