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Rounding_Third

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Everything posted by Rounding_Third

  1. Rounding_Third
    I think we're the same here. I don't want him because of his limited innings and extreme injury history. That's why his risk/cost ranks #1.
  2. Rounding_Third
    Why's that? Besides, $10m for a month or two? What?
  3. Rounding_Third
    Sort that list by risk factor/cost and he's #1.
  4. Rounding_Third
    What's his spin rate the last 5 years after 70 innings?
  5. Rounding_Third
    Does Arrieta appeal to anyone?
  6. Rounding_Third
    Roster resource as good as any payroll site, I guess. The have it sitting at $131.5m. But they also estimate 5 TBD pre arb guys, Kopech, Cease, Heuer, Madrigal, Foster, at $9m. Based on 2020 examples of same types, that correct pre arb $ total should not be more than $4.5m. Therefore, the actual payroll should currently stand around $127m. if I got that right (kind of fuzzy with this payroll stuff), they better have more to do. KH, don't tease the $130m-$140m number, if you really meant $125m-$130m. There are holes to fill and money to do it with. Do it ASAP for SP. It's the hottest part of the market right now. Could be a flurry and who would be left? Get your man, now!
  7. Rounding_Third
    However they do need a future 1B......
  8. Rounding_Third
    Agreed on Richards, too much medical stress on that arm over 5 years. Has a reasonable chance to be DL'ed by June. Not a good way to spend $10m, too risky with so many other options available.
  9. Rounding_Third
    I guess we'll continue to disagree. The strategy of poker is to win the night, not the hand. You can win the hand and still lose the night. Same applies to Sox. You have too much tunnel vision to understand my point.
  10. Rounding_Third
    With ya, makes more sense to judiciously spend the remaining budget to get a SP & DH combo, which means a lesser DH than Cruz. And La Stella is 2 roles of the price of one. After SP is signed and if not enough for La Stella, a cheaper version is Astrubal Cabrera do be the same duel role guy; a solid SH with good LH power And, not as critical but still smart, I would like to see a backup C. At only ~$2m, an astute tactical move.
  11. Rounding_Third
    You and I also debated this "all in" definition a while back, too. You seems to be locked in that it must mean this 1 year. To me, it means a 3-5 year window to be, on paper at least, a top end WS favorite for that time frame, beginning this year. It's a living, breathing, evolving process to stay there. I agree keeping a few aces up their sleeves to keep it going beyond this year is essential; $'s & prospects (for play or trade). Spending ~$140m this year is "all in" for a mid-market team in these uncertain times. JR is really taking a huge risk; respect & grateful to him for OK'ing it. Dealing a couple/few prospects can mean it too, if their return is key players for all or parts of that window. The main idea is that "all in" is more than just 1 year. Maybe we're saying the same thing.
  12. Rounding_Third
    Yeah, he had the surgery in 2016 then some weird biceps nerve issue in 2017 that kept him out 5 months, then the TJ in 2018. Lots of harm done to that arm. IDK!
  13. Rounding_Third
    The 5 TBD pre arb's are: Kopech, Cease, Heuer, Madrigal, & Foster = est $9.128m
  14. Rounding_Third
    Richards scares the crap out of me. He hasn't thrown 100 innings since 2015. At ~$10m, his cost/risk factor seems awfully high. I'm afraid he'd be DL'ed by June.
  15. Rounding_Third
    Nice site. But they have the pre arb est (TBD) for the 5 guys at $9.1m. That's got to be too high. Half that maybe?
  16. Rounding_Third
    Throw out 2020. He can be wild and give up some dingers but still eats innings at a decent era. He has a few blowups most mostly has solid outings. If has a good showing Tuesday, there'll be a lot of interested teams.
  17. Rounding_Third
    What makes you think that?
  18. Rounding_Third
    And Teheran's only stumble was caused by covid and no significant injuries over his strong career. I'd be very happy with either. Both would be better!
  19. Rounding_Third
    I completely forgot about Teheran. Hope Sox attend his session Tuesday. If his bad 2020 was due solely to his Covid issues, he could be a great bargain. Wonder what he's asking. His 7 years in Atlanta are really impressive! If he's back 100% healthy now, his arm has had virtually a year off, too.
  20. Rounding_Third
    Yep, we know Castillo's a beast, we assume Vaughn will be. That alone is why I would do it, too. The 3 years of team control/arb with Castillo is a sweet bonus.
  21. Rounding_Third
    Dad? Is that you?
  22. Rounding_Third
    oh, lol, yeah, I did. Yep that was the one. Agreed, the Sox didn't let Yermin and Collins grind it out back then. McCann came along, too, and took off and kind of interfered with any other plans. Speaking of which, I didn't like the Grandal signing at the time. I like Grandal but was unnecessary. Thought so then. Both great catchers but could have signed McCann for 3/4 years, 6-8 AAV and saved 10-12m cap space. Silly, stupid move. The Sox overplay the "big splash" way too much. KW ego gets in the way of logical thinking.
  23. Rounding_Third
    Yeah man, for a few years. For me this trade would be, Cinn say yes, I say "let's do it" but when ready to push button. go ummm wait, let me think about this again but then would probably follow through. lol
  24. Rounding_Third
    Don't think this will happen. Payroll already too high. Sitting at ~$131m and they've hinted at ~$140m max. And they should spend a few mil more on DH & C. Doubt if they go past low $140's and that's a stretch. Personally, can't stand Bauer. Not enough clubhouse walls for all the mirrors he needs. Another Brice Harper. Hendriks at the opposite end of that spectrum; added bonus with his signing.
  25. Rounding_Third
    Though I like Walker as a FA, the payroll says its best for a trade. If its Musgrove then yeah, you trade Kelley. Agree that Pitt wouldn't want the others you mentioned, either. With due respect to Kelley; no guarantees. Musgrove is through all the finger crossing. Also, if target would be Castillo, virtually same 2021 salary, 1 more year of team control over Musgrove and a step up in quality, they should consider Vaughn if that's what it would take. They probably wouldn't though. Probably other similar candidates around the league.
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