Chisoxfn

QUOTE (RockRaines @ Sep 8, 2015 -> 01:09 PM) And it hasnt gotten off the ground yet. I've seen where almost 41% of date rape cases are falsely accused or reported. Thats an extremely high number and many of those were taken to trial and prosecuted. Its not outside the realm of possibility whatsoever. That doesn't mean you have to publicly smear and shame all "victims" since even by your stat (which I have no basis where it comes from) their would be 59% who were properly prosecuted. None of the facts back this up as a money play and I think it is disgusting that people pass this judgement that she is at fault (or flat out call Kane a rapist) as nothing has been proven and to just jump to conclusions without any relevant information / facts is just absurd (on either side). Sometimes it helps to put yourself in other people's shoes or think if it was your kids. And I think given what has came out, on either side, I would be upset if people generally concluded one way or another (whether about Kane or the girl).

QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Sep 8, 2015 -> 01:39 PM) Let's look at Sale's performance with RISP 2015: .360 BABIP, 0.73 HR/9, 10% HR/FB, 22.8% Hard-hit%, 20.7% Soft-hit% 2014: .273 BABIP, 0.66 HR/9, 8.7% HR/FB, 19.3% Hard-hit%, 15.8% Soft-hit% 2013: .302 BABIP, 1.28 HR/9, 14.3% HR/FB, 29.5% Hard-hit%, 13.4% Soft-hit% 2012: .214 BABIP, 0.79 HR/9, 11.8% HR/FB, 25.2% Hard-hit%, 15.0% Soft-hit% Seems pretty random to me. Seems he gave up a lot of HR in 2013 due to a lot more hard-hit balls, but he gave up significantly harder contact in 2012 compared to 2015, yet his BABIP was 146 points lower. Now let's look at Danks. 2015: .307 BABIP, 0.92 HR/9, 9.1% HR/FB, 32.8% Hard-hit%, 21.1% Soft-hit% 2014: .296 BABIP, 0.18 HR/9, 1.7% HR/FB, 28.1% Hard-hit%, 19.4% Soft-hit% 2013: .256 BABIP, 2.08 HR/9, 22.2% HR/FB, 35.2 Hard-hit%, 14.8% Soft-hit% 2012: .280 BABIP, 0.56 HR/9, 7.7% HR/FB, 31.4% Hard-hit%, 17.7% Soft-hit% BABIP isn't quite as random as Sale's, but his homerun rates are extremely random. I included the batted-ball data to see if it could shed any light (even though they're still not very advanced), but it didn't really. There appears to be some correlation between Hard-hit% and home run rate here, but beyond that there's not a lot of consistency. Granted I only looked at 2 guys and 4 seasons of data, but this backs up the article. By random, I think it is all driven by sample size, but the fundamental question I ask is...do pitchers behave different with runners on then without and when that answer is yes, that tells me their is something to some extent flawed in the stat. Pitchers are the one player who truly controls a lot of what they do. I think this is just more you have small sample sizes with HR's and batting with runners in scoring position which means you can have extremes. All that said, if I want to judge someone based upon what happened in the year vs. a predictor of future success, I still put much more weight to ERA then FIP / XFIP. Bottom line, I award people based upon the actual results vs. hypotheticals that don't reflect the reality of actual runs given up.

QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Sep 8, 2015 -> 12:32 PM) http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/era-fip-a...tional-context/ There's an incredible amount of variance in pitcher performance with RISP, and almost no consistency from year-to-year. This is true for both hits given up and homerun rates. So pitchers do pitch a bit differently with runners on, but their performance in those situations is not consistent and is generally pretty random from year-to-year. What is that correlation amongst good and bad pitchers. I'd argue that a correlation would exist over longer periods of time. I don't have that data in front of me, but I bet if you asked pitchers if they pitch different with runners on, their answer would be yes. Whether that makes them better or worse, depends on the pitcher. How do they pitch from the stretch vs. windup...how do they leverage the additional focus with runners on....do they have a go to pitch that they can better leverage in those situations, etc.

QUOTE (RockRaines @ Sep 8, 2015 -> 11:35 AM) There wouldnt be a settlement if there was merit to the legal case, so this is kind of playing out as expected. I'm sure the next few weeks will reveal all. Not necessarily true.

QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Sep 5, 2015 -> 06:04 PM) Sequencing is the order you give up hits. Let's say two pitchers give up a walk, a single, and a homer in an inning. If Pitcher A gives up the homer first, then the other two, he ends up giving up only one run. If Pitcher B gives up the walk and single first and then the home run, he gives up three runs. ERA says Pitcher B was three times worse than Pitcher A. FIP says they were the same, because in a way they essentially did the same thing. That is a load of s***. You pitch different with runners on. It shouldn't count the same. A solo HR hurts less than a 3 run homer. To count them equal is just absurd. Ask any pitcher in the world and they will tell you they don't pitch the same with no one on vs. with runners on.

QUOTE (Buehrle>Wood @ Sep 8, 2015 -> 09:52 AM) The source is bleacher report http://m.bleacherreport.com/articles/25630...?is_shared=true I read something that their was possibly more to Jeffrey sitting then meets the eye. Has he been a holdout for a while now? Or is this more of a, hey, I need to get paid before I go out and potentially reinjure myself and thus lower my potential payday?

Congrats grandpa!!! I hope i have about 25-30 years until I join you in that category.

QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Sep 4, 2015 -> 02:33 PM) Why would the friend not cooperate with her friend in supporting her story of what happened that night? That's not much of a friend if their testimony has to be compelled, at least to me. If someone had hurt a friend of mine and I was asked by police to testify to what I'd seen I don't think I'd need to be subpoenaed to tell them what I'd seen. If it were standard procedure fine, give me the document and I'll tell you that anyway. OTOH, if I see one of my friends do something and then lie about it later, such that my testimony disagrees with my friend's claim, that would seem to me to be a case where it is much more likely that my testimony under oath would need to be compelled with a subpoena. Again, I don't know that, it could be standard procedure in these cases to compel testimony for whatever reason, but the latter makes more sense to me than the former. Is that friend embarrassed about what she might have to testify to / what should partook in? Could have a lot more to do with her own personal fear of what she is going to say she and her friend did, etc.

QUOTE (shipps @ Sep 4, 2015 -> 11:11 AM) Seems like Dockett would be a perfect match. He doesnt have a troubled history does he? I really have no idea. He hasn't played in like 2 years and is old. Bears need to be entirely focused on getting young guys that they think might be able to turn into something. Even if you hit on one or two of them in this process, it is 1 or 2 assets we can leverage going forward when we don't have many.

QUOTE (SoxPride18 @ Sep 4, 2015 -> 10:14 AM) Bears should be all over him and see if he can take on NT spot since Ratliff is suspended and Goldman has a concussion. This would make total sense. No downside, if he can't play, see you, but upside exists. Nix profiles as a prototypical NT and a change of scenery might do him wonders. This is all presuming he has a clean bill of health.

QUOTE (LDF @ Sep 4, 2015 -> 09:56 AM) why???? go to spring training, work on some stuff coop wants and lets see how he does.... start off where he is at and then AA. Coop wouldn't be one of Alvarez's coaches. Eddy isn't going to be in the big league's next year, but it is important to get him experience in AA. See how he's doing in spring and how his game comes across (give him some time at big league camp) and then decide whether a short stint in high A makes sense or if you just fast track him to AA. I think it is more likely he gets play at AA (with Anderson being in AAA). Rondon would repeat high A.

QUOTE (GoSox05 @ Sep 4, 2015 -> 08:03 AM) With all the awful QB in this league, it's amazing that Brett Hundley lasted until the 5th round. Has looked great so far. I was pissed we didn't take him. I love Hundley's athleticism and moxy. I understand why he fell (he really didn't show improved pocket presence / instincts his last season at UCLA), but was amazed at how far he fell.

QUOTE (greg775 @ Sep 3, 2015 -> 02:49 PM) I despise Hillary. That's a fact. So I guess I need to know the limits. Am I allowed to continue blasting her while praising Ben and Trump? But I love women. Like I said my daughters will be surgeons and wife is pharmacist. I believe in women. As far as Hilly though I have a problem with her personality and entitlement. Greg - You said nothing wrong. What kind of surgeon's are your daughters studying to be (I presume they are in med school)?

QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Sep 3, 2015 -> 12:45 PM) A .676 OPS, even slightly below that, is a decent SS at this point. I really do think we get way too happy to say "Oh this guy is nothing, he's just a utility player", at least on this site. We could use some "Decent, slightly above replacement, utility players". That's better than what we've had at several spots. The guy the Sox got him for re-established himself as an above average starter in the NL.

I'm curious to see how Jeb is on the offensive. His message resonates so much more to me, but what do I know.

QUOTE (scs787 @ Sep 3, 2015 -> 11:40 AM) I talked to a lady and she says there is nothing we can do to change where we're at. Was certainly worth a shot but yeah. There is apparently nothing we can do at this point in regards to fixing old mistakes. The deadline was apparently noon as well. So the time has come and gone. Now we wait the 10-14 days to see how much it went on auction. Who is this lady, a lady from the government. Or an attorney. You'd be amazed at what someone who knows what they are doing can do on short notice. I don't buy for one second that it can't get stop. Their are junctions on foreclosed homes in California that happens minutes before the house is supposed to go up for auction.

QUOTE (scs787 @ Sep 3, 2015 -> 10:59 AM) Do you think they would be able to cut it or do something retroactive? I don't know, but I certainly think a case exists to make it retroactive presuming you can prove that you were always entitled to the homestead. I am not a lawyer but I think if you present the facts that a case / argument would exist and I'd think if you got some media attention that would also help the cause. And I know the gov settles with people on back taxes all the time and I presume the county would as well. They just want to get paid what they are owed and while they probably would still charge some form of a fee / penalty, usually they are very willing to negotiate (presuming you have the ability to deliver). I would think a good attorney would be able to issue a stay in the auction pretty quickly but again I'm not an attorney. But I've seen tons of homes fail to go to foreclosure auctions or continuously get delayed (of course those are in cases where banks are in the case vs. government) but I'd think it similarly happens when a property is going to auction due to back taxes.

QUOTE (scs787 @ Sep 3, 2015 -> 10:55 AM) For redeeming a house....if I have a year....do we stay in the home for a year??? That seems somewhat s***ty for someone to buy it at auction, move in, and not know if in a year they'll have the house. Sure they'll get the money back (and then some?) but still.... I think that is why a lot of people don't buy them at auction is because it is very difficult to ultimately own. It very well might not get bought at all. But I would ask all that info from the county and get specifics but I presume you live in it and have a year to get the cash pulled together for the back taxes. I really think you need to consult and expert in the meantime and I still think you could get a junction given listed facts (again I'm not an attorney and I'm not familiar with Indiana property laws). But I'd think you'd be able to get the amount significantly widdled down and probably be able to reach some form of settlement. And you shouldn't take no for an answer.

QUOTE (scs787 @ Sep 3, 2015 -> 10:49 AM) Ok, so here is the latest update. Yes, it was at 2%. My uncle and Moms name were both on the title. My uncle has another house so they took it as my mom was renting from him, in which case that is considered 2% to the landlord (my uncle). We obviously didn't look at it that way. So that blows. Once word came out about the possibility, we finally just took his name off. Had this been done since the beginning, we would have saved a ton of money and possibly wouldn't be in this situation. It WILL be put up for auction. We have a year to redeem it after the sale. How that works I'm unsure. I'm not sure if it's too late to do some sort of retro action. Provide proof as to why and how you weren't renting from your uncle and that none of the payments, etc, were tied.

QUOTE (Chisoxfn @ Sep 3, 2015 -> 10:21 AM) I would think the property tax cap at 2% would mean that you would owe 1200 per year (vs. what they are coming up with). I also would think in this case you are talking about a homestead property (isn't that a home that you live in as a personal residence)? I absolutely think you need to talk with the tax people as it sounds like you have issues their. In terms of the taxes, do you know roughly when you stopped paying (i.e., how many years it has been, so you can get a gauge as to the amount that is back taxes vs. amount that is penalties). I presume you guys aren't getting the homestead exemption because someone didn't fill out paperwork. I know I get some stupid form from time to time and have to mail back in confirming we are primary residence in our personal property (again, this is in California). By the way SCS, that should be good news in and of itself (although I don't know how the county will react to applying that homestead exception on a retro basis) but in theory, that means whatever the amount you owe is, should at a minimum be cut in half as you've been taxed twice what you should have been. I presume you guys can show support that you have maintained the house as a primary residence that entire time (and thus would qualify for the homestead exemption) and would think state would eventually correct (especially if you got a little media swell behind it). Talk about how a family would lose a home they've had for 75 years because they didn't fill the paperwork properly and qualify for the homestead exemption, etc. Plus the smaller the actual amount owed is, I presume the more likely the county backs off / pushes back the event. PS: You also absolutely need to provide the state with the appraisal from the bank you used on the reverse mortgage, showing them what the appraised amount is and request that the county reappraises your property (and again, lowering the amount you would be required to pay going forward...a good attorney could probably get it applied retro as well, presuming market conditions remained similar at this points in time).

QUOTE (scs787 @ Sep 3, 2015 -> 10:03 AM) Here is what we are dealing with. Assessed Value And Tax Summary 2014 Pay 2015 1a. Gross Assessed Value (AV) of homestead property (capped at 1%) 0 1b. Gross AV of residential property and farmland (capped at 2%) 60,000 1c. Gross AV of all other property, including personal property (capped at 3%) 0 2. Equals Total Gross Assessed Value of Property 60,000 2a. Minus Deductions (See Table 5 Below) - 0 3. Equals Subtotal of Net Assessed Value of Property 60,000 3a. Multiplied by Your Local Tax Rate 4.9571 4. Equals Gross Tax Liability (See Table 3 Below) 2,974.26 4a. Minus Local Property Tax Credits - 377.16 4b. Minus Savings Due to Property Tax Cap (See Table 2 Below) - 717.52 4c. Minus Savings Due to 65 Years & Older Cap - 0.00 5. Total Property Tax Liability 1,879.58 When we moved in the property was appraised at 60,000. I would think the property tax cap at 2% would mean that you would owe 1200 per year (vs. what they are coming up with). I also would think in this case you are talking about a homestead property (isn't that a home that you live in as a personal residence)? I absolutely think you need to talk with the tax people as it sounds like you have issues their. In terms of the taxes, do you know roughly when you stopped paying (i.e., how many years it has been, so you can get a gauge as to the amount that is back taxes vs. amount that is penalties). I presume you guys aren't getting the homestead exemption because someone didn't fill out paperwork. I know I get some stupid form from time to time and have to mail back in confirming we are primary residence in our personal property (again, this is in California).

QUOTE (scs787 @ Sep 3, 2015 -> 09:29 AM) Excuse me, 1900, and yes. That is without penalties. 950 in May and 950 in November. Okay so something isn't adding up in terms of the actual appraisal on the home then. You are paying property taxes based upon a home with an assessed value of $190K where as the appraisal you got was only 25K. If you home is really worth $25K (vs. $190K), I think you guys have to have some conversations with the county on what the right value is and provide them with relevant comps, etc, to reduce the assessed value and then reach a settelement on the taxes. Or was it more on the reverse equity, they appraised the home at 250K, but were only going to give a line of up to 10% of the homes equity, and thus the line was at 25K (250K x 10%). I am totally not familiar with Indiana state law but in California the assessed property value can go up 2% per year (capped at that amount) but in a downturn, you can submit for reappraisals of the value to lower you basis. I presume similar logic applies in Indiana.

QUOTE (scs787 @ Sep 3, 2015 -> 09:22 AM) Ours is/was at 2100. I'm not sure if that is with penalties or what. Per year property tax is 2100? Or was that including other items? If property taxes are caped at 1% (as Region pointed out), then that would indicate they are taxing the property based upon an assessed value of $210K (if my mental calculator is right). I think you need to find out how to talk on behalf of your mom and get the breakout of the taxes (actual taxes) vs. penalties, etc. Someone should be able to get you that info and then you at least have all the facts when you arm yourself for various discussions. I think if you know what actual taxes are and can say, okay, actual amount owed is $2500...we will give you a lump sum of x and then pay the rest back over 12 months or something and you might have some ammo. As I mentioned, could help to get a real estate attorney involved as well (might even be able to find someone who does pro bono work).

QUOTE (HickoryHuskers @ Sep 3, 2015 -> 07:33 AM) This is total bulls***. Brady is a cheater and a jackass. I actually wish physical harm upon him. I still don't get how judges can tell the NFL how to run their league. If I were the league I'd tell the Patriots if Brady takes the field, they forfeit the game. Luck should be suspended too since they had a bunch of delated footballs.

One other point, I think as you do this, especially as you reach out to other organizations, you want to make sure you spend some time talking with your mom and getting a full understanding of all the facts. Is the 10K in back taxes because of fees and penalties mounting up, are their ways to get those waived (I know all the time their are people who negotiate down and settle with the government and pay very little fees) as I would think the actual property taxes on the property (given the $25K appraisal) would be far less than the $10K and the $10K is really driven by all of the penalties of fine. I don't know what the state tax property rates are, but if the property was valued at $25K (not sure what the tax appraised value is as that could be different) and the tax rate is 1% (that happens to be basically the base rate in California, not certain about Indiana), your annual tax rate is $250. So even if taxes weren't paid for 20 years, you are talking $5K (excluding penalties, etc). I would think you might have ability to negotiate a significantly reduced settlement where government ultimately gets its fair share of the taxes and you could keep your home. This is presuming their isn't some other assessment or lien that is driving that amount. But if the amount is $10K and taxes hadn't been paid for 5 or 10 years, then the bulk of that amount is penalties and penalties are usually easier to get negotiated. I would make sure you have all that data handy, what is really factoring into the $10K and be at the county's office or whoever handles this stuff and ask for an stay in the auction and start to work to negotiate. I also would think their are legal services which could help (although you have to be careful of not finding some con artist / scammer out their either). But I would think their are multiple avenues if it is purely back taxes on the property (and the property is ultimately worth more then those back taxes).