QUOTE(Hideaway Lights @ Mar 20, 2007 -> 02:57 PM)
My major point was that right now, on March 20th, we not only have no idea who are fifth starter is going to be, but we have no major league depth at the starting pitcher position vs. the last two seasons, when we had 5 seasoned starters going into the year (El Duque was the fifth starter in 05, Vazquez in 06). In the beginning portion of the season it's not likely to make as much of a difference, but if Contreras goes down for three weeks or so, what the hell is our rotation going to look like?
We were already counting on:
a) Contreras not to age much and hopefully still have lightening in a bottle left
B) Buehrle returning to form
c) Garland not going through the same April-May as last year
d) Vazquez being improved
now on top of that, we're counting on all being healthy AND getting a serviceable .500 ish pitcher out of the fifth slot from this erratic (read: motley) crew? Again, I like Danks for 2008 but he needs a few more ticks in the oven, no?
When I look at the list of what we're counting on from this unit this year, about 5 different alarms go off in my head. This could either go really well if we can stay healthy and get career avg numbers from all our starters, or it could derail and get really really ugly really really quick.
counting on buerhle, garland and vazquez being healthy is not far fetched.