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I mean, I hope he does.

Their second pitcher will probably be a “redemption guy”, I don’t think others will necessarily sign on knowing they could be replaced in August.

I've wondered how Cincinatti is going to play this offseason. Whether they splurge just trying to improve that weak offense in a year where their pitching looks solid.

This hurts my eyes.

I recognize those odds are better but I'm still sticking with Nats here.

Saying he will become a free agent doesn't mean he won't re-sign with Nats.

More of a Yonder than a Pete (hides)

There is no reason for you to be so confident as to put others on blast. His pessimistic plan still has them signing $40 mills worth of players and some higher level in odorizzi and McHugh. It’s not that outlandish.

Looking forward to getting twitter back when the cards get eliminated.

Seeing if this works: If you publish to the web, you can get an embed code where you can display the Salary tab here.

I'm not sure if it's me but these images uploaded unsuccessfully

I like Gardner. I don't know, I can't make these in a vacuum. Better to position my thoughts as things I'm not against. There are quite a few options I'd like, but getting a Pederson is a player that could also serve as a long term asset relatively quickly so that's the attractiveness. We don't know if maybe someone else acquires Joc and extends him. So it is Joc + more certainty to acquire Joc next year vs. Gardner + flexibility again next year. I'm pretty skeptical of Ozuna and Castellanos I liked for a while but I always thought he'd be good as a 1b/DH. Pretty clear he'd have suitors for RF and perhaps some inflation due to his late cubs run. So in those cases its trade for Joc > pay prices for Ozuna/Castellanos. But Gardner is a good choice, I'd like it.

Yes - this is important. Though I don't know where you place Stiever. edit: I'd be willing to trade an top 5 prospect for Betts and I know others would not. But for Pederson on down it's "if the deal is right". And yes, I do think Pederson is an upgrade enough over dickerson it's worth pursuing. But beyond that...it's always hard to have the conversation without really having an idea of what the deal parameters are. There are some guys I'm attached to and others I'm not, and who knows whether other mlb GMs have same preferences.

Well I disagree that acquiring a RF such as JBJ is killing off the whole rebuild. But I do want to plant that the value of the prospect depth we have in birmingham will not stay constant. It is very likely some will underperform for a second year in a row, cratering their value. And some - like sheets perhaps - may recover. There is no easy answer here when the minor league development/drafting hasn't supplied any depth outside of 1st round picks. Keeping everything for depth may not provide that much more flexibility if they fade away, and you also lose time.

Ha, yeah. I wasn't even trying to be funny just the FA pool is a little overwhelming and I wanted to remind myself to make a decision on signing or not signing.

lol yes. With the exception of Betts, I don't feel like I have advised stretching them that far in terms of shelling out prospects. Betts is just that good to me and you risk it. There are certainly trades that acquire a guy for only 1-2 years that I'd be willing to do now, whereas last year I would have wanted to wait. Joc Pederson is a good example from last year. I was supportive but conflicted with Bush, as we had just completely misevaluated a player that young. This year it's no contest, I'd support getting Pederson* - especially since we do have the ability to re-sign players. We would be paying for the 2020 season, and I'm ok with that. *and obviously the deal would change but there is a wide range of players i'd send out for a 2020 season with Joc + expectation we re-signed him.

And is this re-signing abreu too? What was your calhoun trade or did you bank on buyout? That's a pretty nice offseason that leaves sox open to be players the next year too. I'd be really pumped about Wheeler and Hill. Hill seems like he'd be a player-pitching coach.

Yeah i need to backtrack. The offseason in which we acquire JBJ is not my first choice or second or etc, but there are many cases in which I think he's just a pretty decent placeholder with some upside in RF. The main thing for me is that a flip has switched. I am no longer interested in offering development space at the mlb level for the 2020 squad for many of the players you mentioned. I am willing to bring in value just for the 2020 team, even if it isn't long-term. We now have the core and only so many years left. I don't want another year with so many wide ranges of outcomes in so many positions. Also - people had discussed signing JBJ if non-tendered, so my assumption is that he would be a very affordable Nova-esque trade. But 2020 matters to me, I'm willing to take targeted risks on flexibility in 2023 or 2024 by trading prospects now if it means big improvements to 2020. My preferred 2020 plan though is to go hard on this pitching class and ideally getting one really good pitcher. And if not, getting some plus plus bats. That's why I don't mind the Rendon stuff. We aren't going to be worse off with a 1.000 ops bat, and I don't care if we are being financially inefficient to do so.

Mariota, Winston are obvious, but then you have Foles possibly moving with Minshew's play. Flyers on josh rosen, too. Then some big question marks: Does Kyle Allen's play have them move on from Newton? Does Alex Smith get traded? Does Matt Ryan become available? Does Philip Rivers become available? Does Andy Dalton become available?

This is true but there is going to be a crapton of QB movement this offseason and some very serviceable guys may be available.

Kyle Long + Chase Daniel?

Ah, yeah it will force you to download sheets.

yeah I was talking to my friend about that yesterday. The bears just are likely better off finding serviceability or a "top 15" qb as the vikes attempted. The Matt Ryan/Dalton/Newton/Foles route seems likely to be available.

EDIT: there was a bug in the first spreadsheet summing up previous AAV, this latest version is corrected. I was getting annoyed having to go across multiple sites to remember the post-salary arbitration budgets and where we were at, so I put together this google sheet where you can "build" your 2020 team and it will keep track of your budget on the Salary Totals page. Steps: - Click link to copy Google Sheet into your account https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1S_GkRq9r-NZaYnyAKsUfEFEg0Lm3BGzF1B5qUVxa-iY/copy - Pick the players you are going to tender/non-tender - Select Free Agents to sign (Note that I have pre-filled 2020 salaries for all of them, which gets summed into your salary thread). This also came from SPOTRAC and I noticed some weird omissions so please alert me to any missing ones. - Trade builder is also available with a select number of players - Salary Totals gives your 2020 team salary Go ahead and try it out and let me know what you think! Hopefully this helps cut down on the work. I tried to make a "roster" tab that would fill the FAs into the depth chart but that was too hard. NOTE: I'd really like to crowdsource the free agent salaries. THis table came from spotrac, where their Market Value metric was available I used it. But Starting pitching and relief pitching was quite hard, so I'd love to tease those out for any enterprising poster who wants to add theirs and we can average them. PM me if anyone does it.

I was the lucky boy who won in all my leagues despite performing terribly in not starting T Hill or T McLauren. Thank you Hunter Henry and Lamar Jackson