Everything posted by bmags
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Your new Supreme Court nominee is....
The thing is, when you push for extreme changes seriously (like the sitting president has no right to appoint a supreme court justice), you get some change closer to what you want.
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Police keep killing black people
Between burge dying, a mostly white jury now convicting Van Dyke, and the consent decree, I am really hoping the seeds of real change are put in place.
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Sox and analytics
If we are to do a pre-mortem, a "if this fails why did it fail", I still scream from the rooftops it was the failure in 15 or 16 to do a monster INTL FA class that broke the rules and brought in quantity. I hope Robert succeeds, I like that they signed him, but it's hard for me to believe this farm wouldn't be so much more improved had they signed a class with like 8 of the top 30 in 15 or 16.
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Your new Supreme Court nominee is....
She's not stupid. She's very conservative, but plays this role to get more of what she wants. She feigns that she is heterodox on something like womens issues, but she doesn't. And she knows that you aren't punished for being wrong anymore.
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Police keep killing black people
This seems right to me, and I believe justice was served. I hope the officers that lied see punishment as well.
- Sox and analytics
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Police keep killing black people
That makes sense. I probably oversimplify in my head 1st being premeditated and 2nd being not.
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Your new Supreme Court nominee is....
Flake is a yes.
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Official 2018-19 NFL Thread
Counterpoint: I don't like going to bed at 11:30
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Police keep killing black people
That's interesting. wider range (lower floor higher ceiling of sentencing)?
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Financial News
I thought the only institutional removals were prison, mental institution, armed forces, 65+?
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Financial News
well the full 37% wouldn't be on government dime. Some amount of early retirees and stay at home parents. One of the big "structural" things we've seen is those claiming disability has declined over the last 4 years.
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Official 2018-19 NFL Thread
Probably in minority but I'd rather every bears game be at noon on sunday.
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Your new Supreme Court nominee is....
murkowski just voted against cloture. Flake voted yes, collins yes. Collins said her final vote will be announced at 3pm.
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Police keep killing black people
It's important to note that these alternate jurors were not privvy to any of the actual jury deliberation. Still interesting.
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Financial News
There are a whole bunch of people still with national economic decision making power who have never admitted they were wrong, or worse, even updated their thinking based on overwhelming evidence that they were wrong.
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**President Trump 2018 Thread**
The implications of Kavanaugh are hugely important, among other things to the institutional authority of the supreme court. Focusing on it isn't a distraction. It may very well help GOP electorally and fire up their base. I, obviously, want to see a democratic senate and house this fall. After the last decade, I disagree with notion of ceding the floor to heated fights like this helps democrats. When they have saw a fight motivate republicans, they have tried to mute it instead of following through at the expense of how their own voters saw the situation. And it leaves institutional power vulnerable to 2016 like primaries (and it should). What is the point of voting that group into power if they only fight for values when they are on favorable grounds? In 2002, many democrats voted for the Iraq CR because they didn't want that electoral fight and wanted to focus on healthcare. It was motivating for gop base and not as favorable for them as healthcare. Some good it did them, the US and the world.
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2019 MLB draft thread
Saw that, liked it, and love the name. That's a name you can believe in for a baseball player.
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Sox and analytics
And I agree. I think there is a big difference from having the data to analyzing it for advantage. And even worse than scouting, are they using analytics to truly customize their development programs for each player effectively. The measure of that is NOT what they are doing today vs five years ago, it is what they are doing vs. every other team. Sox brass at soxfest will be quick with examples of how they are doing something, and sure, they are doing it. But are they leading out in front on anything? Hard to say yes based on results. Possible examples: Seemed like a bunch of draft picks with a plus change-up last year, and a lot of change-up usage in majors (anecdotal). Their waiver wire pickups all seemed to be plus exit velo players Maybe there are other examples. None are as convincing to me as houstons heavy emphasis on spin rate in pitching prospects. When sox have seemed to focus on one trait, seems to have come at heavy cost of other traits.
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2018 White Sox catch-all thread
and what's that about the backlash to shifts leading to increase in walks?
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Sox and analytics
It seems a single word works for our swear filters?
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Police keep killing black people
And yet shooters who had left a scene have often been recovered without murdering them. He can't just assume the person needs to be shot to death to be incapacitated. Maybe he should have thought twice when it seemed like the person should be shot, but was not, by officers at the scene.
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Police keep killing black people
I agree that when i read juror instructions I was like "this is impossible". One thing though, his therapist(?) mentioned prior to arriving on scene he was saying things such as "why haven't they shot the guy?" which to me seems so pre-meditated and preparing to act prior to "feeling threatened". He was also a defense witness and had a great line about how he acted reasonably based on his perception, which is such an absurd and hilarious-if-it-wasn't-so-tragic standard. Basically, it's very hard to act unreasonably based on your perception, we all react base on our perceptions, but also we must trust officer perceptions as always being correct because we don't understand danger of job. So ... there you go.
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2019 MLB draft thread
i'd really like to see a high school ss maintain or rise up to our position.
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Sox and analytics
This is a great point, and the big tell is the lack of baseball systems engineers. For context, here is the milwaukee brewers: Senior Analyst, Baseball Research and Development Andrew Fox Analyst - Baseball Research and Development Ethan Bein Analyst - Sports Science Baseball Research and Development Inga Milo Analyst - Baseball Operations August f**erstrom Analytics Developer - Baseball Research and Development Josh Schaffer Data Architect Matt Culhane Architect - Baseball Systems Will Hudgins Developer - Baseball Systems Chaning Ogden Developer - Baseball Systems Dan Yang Now we have examples of coaches such as zaleski pushing hard based on data to change the arsenals of our players. But when you hear ex scouts from progressive orgs come out they stress just how much better the info they all have is over what is available to public. Then they have their proprietary systems on top of that.