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Balta1701

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Everything posted by Balta1701

  1. I’m living 2 lakes over for 2 more months. I’m totally going to the HOF. I am specifically after a selfie with #35.
  2. I know that wasn’t a strike but that was such good bat control.
  3. They said it would not be before he took the job.
  4. The Sox’s expensive bullpen has a 4.05 ERA good for 21st in the league. The starters’ ERA is at least 15th. Both have been a problem.
  5. Welcome to the party! All of our moods right now strongly follow the teams record so apologies in advance for that!
  6. Fwiw, my eyes agree with yours, but the data doesn’t support this. I think of games like Thursday- the winning runs scored on a play where Abreu did a poor stretch and then turned to the ump without noticing that Torres was still running. In previous years people kept saying he had little range but made up for it by helping get badly thrown balls. This year his UZR and OAA are comparable to last year, the algorithms still think he’s been average. Sure doesn’t fit my eyes either. Maybe the algorithms don’t handle picking the ball well, or maybe guys in the infield are giving him vastly more bad throws so he’s doing the best he can with what they’re giving him? I dunno.
  7. This team’s run differential is terrible. If the Pythagorean formula means anything in this sport they’re actually overplaying their projected record.
  8. So 25 runs in 18 innings with 8 home runs and that’s with Keuchel coming up?
  9. 20 runs in the first 10.2 innings of this series for the Yankees
  10. 3 straight hits by their 789 guys, one a bloop, but you just can’t do that against this lineup.
  11. Jose is not near the top of the league in barrel%. He’s in the upper half though. Where Abreu (and Grandal) stand out is the difference statistics - subtracting their expected numbers based on their contact profile from their actual numbers. For wOBA - xwOBA, Abreu is 9th and Grandal is 15th. For slug - xSlug, Abreu is 3rd and Grandal is top 10. Now hypothetically the expected numbers being that much better than the observed numbers would signal guys who had been unlucky and whose performance could swing the other way. However, this year we have a complicating factor, the ball. All of the expected statistics I checked require a calibration- statcast measures launch angle, exit velocity, etc, but those numbers need a conversion to torn into expected stats, and that conversion will be based on what has happened in previous years. If the ball changes, then that calibration will be biased. It is possible to probable that some players will have batted ball profiles that make them extra vulnerable to the new ball. Could that be Abreu and Grandal? Possible, do not have enough data to speculate further.
  12. If we are worried about having available arms today and tomorrow…then either Lopez should be ready to go or Lopez should be on the IL. Having guys on the bench who can’t go but who aren’t put on the IL is stinging.
  13. After one walk following two quick outs, no manager would have had anyone warming up. After 2 walks he got Banks up, but no one would have been ready to pitch to Judge on that schedule. The two runs aren’t on the manager, except for the fact that he signed Kelly. The next 5, when things went off the rails, those are on him.
  14. Yes. I don’t think this is even top 10. I don’t think anyone would have been ready to pull Kelly before Judge, and hell if Abreu stretches for the ball or looks at the base runners instead of the ump he might have kept this to a tie or 1 run game. All LaRussa did was turn this into a blowout for weird reasons and give them a chance to rest their bullpen in a stretch of a lot of games. It’s completely bizarre, it put Banks in an awful position, but not epically LaRussa.
  15. Yeah a lot of that is on Kelly stinking up the joint, but then again he was LaRussa’s guy. The screwed up bullpen management started with Rizzo. Kelly facing Judge, that’s his job and he flopped. Kelly facing Rizzo and Banks facing the righties is…inexplicable?
  16. So, no one is up in the Yankee bullpen. Green probably gets two innings. If the White Sox don’t give up the extra 5 in the 8th, at the very least they probably use Chapman and another of their better relievers. So it might not cost the game tonight, but since they don’t have an offday, we just rested the back of their pen by not realizing Stanton and Donaldson are righties.
  17. Or at least look at their lineup and realize that if there’s a chance you will let Kelly pitch to Rizzo, warm up a righty too. Warming up two guys is allowed. Looking at their lineup is legal.
  18. Why in the name of God do you warm up a lefty, not bring him in for Rizzo, then bring him in against Stanton????
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