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Balta1701

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Everything posted by Balta1701

  1. This feels like a game the White Sox will still win, but they would lose if they were facing a playoff caliber opponent.
  2. Who will finish 2021 with a better ERA…Dallas Keuchel or Michael Kopech?
  3. Goodnight to this game I have a DVRd Restaurant Impossible. Stacey it was briefly fun. I look forward to actually watching the Bulls this year.
  4. This is fun for one game on a Friday night. This would get old fast.
  5. If the white Sox win tonight it will be their first time 23 games above .500 this season.
  6. Yea i Know, everyone who criticizes a medical treatment without being a doctor should get some scorn. And it should be exponentially worse for a person with a huge audience!
  7. That he refused an alternative option, a vaccine, that can accomplish the exact same thing, and advised a great number of people that he was doing so.
  8. So, the person said he took "experimental drugs", and your reply is he took "one experimental drug and one drug not approved for treatment of this disease, along with a steroid of a variety that is not approved for treatment but which has been studied", and you are somehow disputing that he took an "experimental drug"?
  9. Down something around 15 lbs over the past 10 weeks compared to the pandemic peak. First time I've been at a university that allows free consultations with trainers, so doing second meeting with a guy today to learn some free weight techniques rather than doing machines for the rest of my life. Still terrified of everyone else in the room with me, but they're all vaccinated and masked by university rules and I can often find spots where I have a fan blowing directly in my face.
  10. I certainly wouldn't rule out him staying, even on a short term deal. I can even explain why he might accept a qualifying offer - nearly $20 million if nothing changes so he'd nearly double his career earnings, he'd clear out the QO so that it would never affect his free agency again, he'd get to pitch 1 more year to prove he's healthy and then score a really monster deal after 2 straight strong years, and he would guarantee himself a contract to start 2022 whenever the season starts, so that there is a 0% chance he gets stuck into the Keuchel/Kimbrel trap of a couple years ago. I don't think he will do that, but with no knowledge of how the CBA negotiations look, I can't deny the logic.
  11. Just remember, the Yankees signed an old JA Happ to a 2/$34 million ish deal with a 3rd year option and they regularly pay $10 million a year for guys like Paxton and Kluber. Assuming the luxury tax doesn’t become far more painful, If you had to choose between spending $25 million a year on the two weaker guys or on Rodon, doesn’t everyone gamble on Rodon?
  12. Replacing Leury with Mendick is no loss? Sure, whatever.
  13. But those franchises are still highly profitable right? Each of them has highly local issues (2 bad stadiums, one that has gone through 3 fire sales in 25 years), and even with that they make money. Lots. Frankly, those teams probably are money making machines since they get more money from revenue sharing than they spend on salaries. The counterpoint is that adding new teams may not give you another Yankees, but if having a local team to cheer for in Vegas or Portland creates more fans who grow up going to games, it increases revenue overall. Obviously there are issues to fix with both those franchises and with the CBA, but there’s a reason no small market franchise has filed for bankruptcy, while the Cubs, Dodgers, and Rangers have.
  14. Yes, including with Delta, being vaccinated dramatically decreases the chances of transmitting the virus. Early studies show that vaccinated people who have a true breakthrough infection can transmit the virus while they are symptomatic. However, the vaccines decrease the number of symptomatic people who can transmit it, and they decrease the length of time that people can transmit it when they are infected, both of which decrease transmission overall. (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/variants/delta-variant.html) It makes sense to me thinking about antibodies and viruses. Right after you are vaccinated (or right after you recover from an earlier infection), your body has lots of leftover antibodies and it also keeps a blueprint around for how to make more. If you get exposed to a small number of viruses then, those antibodies just deal with it, and that person never becomes infected and never can transmit. If you get exposed to a large dose, or maybe if the virus finds a way to reproduce somehow without the body seeing it (don’t ask how, this virus is crafty), then you can get a rare breakthrough infection before the body can produce more antibodies. Once you have enough virus in your nose in that case, you can transmit it. But, your body has seen the thing, gone back to the blueprints, and is churning out more antibodies to catch up with the virus, and as soon as it does, you stop being contagious. So, less cases that are infectious, and shorter duration. A vaccinated person may very well have less virus in their nose to shed, but that is going to be harder to prove because you can’t infect the same person while they’re both vaccinated and unvaccinated at the same time to test it, only a population-wide study could test that. The body doesn’t keep spare antibodies around forever, so the ability to keep a person sterilized against most breakthrough infections does decline over time. Hence the discussion of booster shots and cases where people have repeat infections. But, if a person is masked and gets a smaller dose, that probably helps the body catch up even if the person is exposed. This also fits with data showing a dramatically higher risk of severe disease in vaccinated people who are immune compromised, since their bodies would have produced fewer antibodies in the first place and would be slower to respond to a new infection by making more.
  15. The right answer should always have been to end the virus - because it is so transmissible and so much more deadly than the flu that if you try to "live with it", it explodes - as it has in this country 4 or 5 times now in various spots, and in the process people start dying from all sorts of things because they can't get into hospitals, they overdose on the latest miracle cure, and so on. It would definitely take a couple of years, but if you set that goal - you get everyone vaccinated that you can, you institute vaccination requirements in as many places as are feasible, you require masks in places like schools where vaccination isn't possible yet, you make use of testing tracing and isolation - even with the transmissible variants we have right now, it remains possible to get cases decreasing to a level where you can push towards eliminating it from this country. You then have to work internationally on the same goal, but with the weapons we now have in the vaccines, it remains do-able. The reason it can't be done, of course, is specific people who are on the side of the virus.
  16. I see a bunch of big names in their mid to late 30s (Scherzer, Kershaw, Greinke, Verlander, Morton, Wainright), but I only see 4 guys who are 31 and under who are free agents and who have put up 3.0+ fWAR this year (guys who you could talk about long term deals for). Gaussman, Ray, Stroman, and Rodon, and Rodon has the best fWAR of any of those guys, and is also the youngest of them. If I were the Yankees GM, I would absolutely gamble a multi-year deal on a guy like Rodon.
  17. The current CBA has an expiration date of December 1. The Qualifying Offer period for offering and accepting will come before the CBA expiration. Anything that happens after December 1 basically can't happen - teams can't sign contracts without the CBA rules for what can and can't be in contracts. I believe a team could actually sign a contract prior to December 1 if they wanted to do so, but if that expires then there's no format for structuring a contract that the league has agreed to. The next CBA will either begin on December 1, or there will likely be an "offseason lockout" because teams won't be able to do any of the transactions they need to do. Notably, there will be no arbitration offers, because there will be no arbitration agreement, and that happens in early December.
  18. They can offer the QO, but there is no text in the CBA about what will happen after the CBA expiration. Thus, "what is the QO Worth in draft pick compensation" will be subject to negotiations. They may well also change the value of it.
  19. $3 million for 1.35 fWAR/600? Works for me on the bench. I'll take 3 more of those and call my bench assembled.
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