How he turned out is actually kind of secondary. The focus has been more about who was projected AT THE TIME to be those picks, though at the same time, it is worth mentioning that Schwarber even then was considered an "over-draft" because his potential tools gave him the look of a very limited player in the long run as everyone knew he wouldn't stick at catcher, and that he would struggle to find a defensive position, but that the Cubs were convinced enough that the tool set he had would be enough to carry him to a quality major league career, when compared to players who were projected in that top five slot, but had a much larger difference between floor and ceiling, giving them a much higher bust chance. When you look at the next set of picks going out to #10 in the first round, the next guy who had the most success was also a guy who was viewed as a limited ceiling guy in Aaron Nola. if you look at the entire top 10 that year, only Michael Conforto has done anything worth mentioning so far, and he was picked at #10. The rest of the position players picked were busts. Really by going "safer" in the top 10, the Cubs and Phillies had two of the best drafts in the top 10. Sure they could have had Trey Turner or Michael Kopech later, but they also could have had Brady Aiken or Tyler Kolek and had nothing to show for their pick. Again, while they might not have hit a home run, they got themselves serviceable starters by taking players who were thought of as "safer" or "limited ceilings" when more star potential was on the board.