Rex Kickass

Could you please tell me exactly what McCain stands for that is so untypically Republican?

Not surprising, I thought today that my car was going to be blown on its side driving to work today.

Sorry but its Clinton Obama McCain Romney McCain is and will be broke unless he opts out of public financing before he receives any actual money. If Clinton pulls ahead nicely and becomes the presumptive nominee before the convention, it'll be the polar opposite of four years ago. Remember this time four years ago and everyone thought Kerry couldn't lose because Bush was so bad? Well then came four months of non stop Bush advertising and Kerry going basically dark because he had no cash to spend til General season.

They do. But its a very Democratic town, and there's a big difference between voting for Mayor and voting for President.

http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D8...;show_article=1 John Edwards drops out today.

Has anyone heard the new Vampire Weekend album? The two songs I've heard thus far have been wonderful. Also diggin Datarock a lot lately.

QUOTE(Balta1701 @ Jan 29, 2008 -> 10:02 PM) Allow me to be the first to congratulate the Republicans on having Joe Lieberman as an honored guest at your convention this fall. I don't think Lieberman is that stupid. Regardless of what happens on the Presidential level, odds are a stronger Dem majority in the Senate. That kind of betrayal would wind up with a Lieberman stripped of all seniority.

The DNC will only seat Florida delegates if the outcome of the convention is not in doubt before the convention. Same with Michigan. If Obama was sailing to a win, they'd be seated as well.

Because he's not really running. He doesn't have the support, and wouldn't even win New York City, to be honest. Assuming Hillary grabs the nomination, he loses women big. McCain is seen as independent enough to not give Bloomberg the "moderate" opening he needs, and conservatives are not gonna run out to vote for John McCain. Bloomberg is not friends with Hillary. A Bloomberg candidacy means a Clinton victory. Don't think he doesn't know that.

Clinton's lead now down to 18 points. The more interesting news is that there's just 7500 votes separating Romney and McCain.

She was up by 30.

Rasmussen shows a tie in CT between Obama and Hillary.

Clinton's lead is disappearing, and I think she wins by only 10 points over Obama in a state where he didn't even campaign. That's not really a big help for her. McCain's lead looks strong, but it kinda rides on what the panhandle is gonna say. Exit polls have this looking pretty even, but with a slight edge for McCain.

ABC Exit polling shows a huge conservative turnout, and rumors from the same poll are showing a 6 point edge in absentee voting for Romney.

QUOTE(Rex Kicka** @ Jan 29, 2008 -> 06:33 PM) ABC exit polls show a 60% turnout for conservatives. That's incredibly encouraging for Romney, unless McCain had a great vote by mail program. And mail chase sucks so hard, btw.

ABC exit polls show a 60% turnout for conservatives. That's incredibly encouraging for Romney, unless McCain had a great vote by mail program.

NJ and CT are firewall for Clinton. She needs a big win in NJ, NY and CT, plus a huge margin in CA and it's over. If it's less than 15 points in NJ, CT and single digits in CA, we have brokered convention in our hands I do believe.

QUOTE(NorthSideSox72 @ Jan 29, 2008 -> 08:31 AM) That's what I have been saying/thinking. Obama will gain a bit this week in the South, probably, after SC. NY and IL are forgone conclusions. AK and assorted mini-states are probably not worth the time. If I'm Axelrod, I'm emphasizing for Obama (in order of importance)... --California --New Jersey --Massachussetts --Missouri --Minnesota --The mountain west group - CO, AZ, NM (and UT and ID, only because they are right there, though they are small) --Kansas (he's sort of from there, he should make a quick appearance to remind people of that) Obama already has a lead in a few of those, but is well behing in NJ, MO and CA. Other states are close. If he can make most of those at least close, and do well in the south... that would be a big overall win for him. At this point, I would imagine that Clinton and Obama are really pushing Richardson to endorse. He could be a huge help in CA, the mountain west and OK. He could hand NM to whomever he likes. He's been to NJ, but its not worth a ton of his time. So much of NJ feels part of New York, so the state does kind of view Clinton as their home Senator too, believe it or not.

QUOTE(NorthSideSox72 @ Jan 29, 2008 -> 08:23 AM) As I understand it, the Dems don't have any winner-take-all primaries. At least not according to what I've seen. Can someone else verify that? Correct. After 1988, the DNC changed primary rules and no longer allows winner take all primaries or caucuses. If you get 15%, you get delegates.

Illegal Aliens are taking over everything!

Also, watch out for NJ and CT too. If Clinton's lead appreciatively shrinks here over the next few days, she's in a lot of trouble.

A bruising fight between McCain and Romney could lead to a Huckabee kingmaker situation here. If Huckabee does well enough in the south, and with evangelicals, there's a very real possibility of a brokered convention happening here.

QUOTE(southsider2k5 @ Jan 28, 2008 -> 12:47 PM) So what did it look like if you threw out the Clinton recession/post 9-11? Reagan was President under a recession that was far worse than the 2001 recession.

QUOTE(Balta1701 @ Jan 28, 2008 -> 12:49 PM) Will President Clinton be able to throw out the upcoming housing market recession when she gets in office? IF she gets the Presidency, the answer is no. Because this recession is gonna be a lot longer and less shallow than the six month recession we had at the beginning of the decade.

QUOTE(kapkomet @ Jan 27, 2008 -> 06:09 PM) No, your original point to me is right. They can't let that happen, because it makes it a lot harder to win the general. Let's be honest, the Dems are pretty good at worsening their own odds.... so it's not likely, but it is possible, and a Ted Kennedy endorsement of Barack Obama makes it even more so.