StrangeSox

QUOTE (Tony @ Dec 12, 2017 -> 02:54 PM) No actually, it’s not from that article. That article is written days after the election, praising himself for not getting as wrong as everyone else. Congrats Nate Silver. Talk about revisionist history. Putting Hillary's odds at 60% wasn't getting it wrong. The less-probable event occurring isn't an indication of failure. Not rolling a six is much more likely than rolling a six, but it's not impossible to roll a six. It's a probability, not prediction.

"How can we be antisemitic? we've got a Jew lawyer!" is an interesting if unsurprising defense from Moore.

No, which is why I added that explainer. Fox uses a legitimate and good independent polling company for their surveys, same as every other major media org does. The big difference is the Emerson poll is land line only and the fox one includes cell phones, and as balta said, constructing the voter turnout model for tomorrow involves a huge amount of guesswork. If the 2016 electorate turns out, it's Moore by a decent amount. If there's a decent uptick in black and younger voter turnout, Jones could pull it off. I wouldn't be shocked by anything from Jones +3/4 to Moore +10 as the actual result.

So the latest two polls in Alabama are: Moore +9 (Emerson) Jones +10 (Fox news, which is a perfectly legitimate and typically good pollster) ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

So the latest two polls in Alabama are: Moore +9 (Emerson) Jones +10 (Fox news, which is a perfectly legitimate and typically good pollster) ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Man I can't believe they let Tom Savage back in the game for Houston after that hit and apparent seizure. https://twitter.com/TheRenderNFL/status/939...src=twsrc%5Etfw

Bears offense looks decent this drive too, lots of penalities though

The colts bills game is very entertaining

So two orders of magnitude fewer police are killed by gunfire than police kill in a year.

COPS ARE CIVILIANS they and society viewing them as anything but is part of the problem. they're not an occupying military force, they're not soldiers, they're civilians.

QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Dec 8, 2017 -> 04:38 PM) See that is the funny thing, that doesn't apply only to the victim. Sorry, I'm more sympathetic to the innocent random person than the trained man who carries a gun every day and does this thing for a living who murdered this person.

Alex Kozinski, come on down!

QUOTE (JenksIsMyHero @ Dec 8, 2017 -> 04:36 PM) So that's a failure in police protocol, procedure and training. Which resulted in the murder of an innocent person. It's almost like the militarization of police forces including a whole "civilians vs. police" (police are civilians) and "occupying force" mentality is a deep problem throughout the country.

that's the thing, jenks. You don't know. You absolutely have no way of knowing how you'd react in a situation that intense with that much adrenaline flowing through you until you're put in the situation. You're generally more just reacting, not even thinking, and it may have just been an instinctual reach to hike up his shorts rather than anything conscience at all. I honestly can't believe you're attempting even a soft defense here. Watch that video, tell me what this guy did that was so wrong he deserved to die for it. Tell me why the cops couldn't have de-escalated and ended the whole thing at any point peacefully instead of making him play macabre simon says until he makes a mistake and gets murdered.

Dude, come on. The guy was laying face down on the ground and there were multiple officers there. Nothing about their actions is justifiable. They could have cuffed him at any time before they murdered him.

QUOTE (JenksIsMyHero @ Dec 8, 2017 -> 04:20 PM) If you're that guy though, why on earth are you reaching behind your back?????? He just warned you 5 seconds prior that he would shoot you! I'm shocked he was acquitted, but would not have been shocked by a hung jury. He was shouting at the guy for four minutes straight with a gun pointed at him. Some of his commands included laying down, crawling, putting your hands up and keeping your legs crossed, all simultaneously. Why on earth do we not hold police, who had their service weapons personally engraved with "YOU'RE f***D," to a higher standard than we're holding the civilians they're murdering? How confident are you in how you'd react in a literal life-and-death situation with the adrenaline flowing while someone is shouting contradictory orders at you while telling you they're going to shoot you?

Appeals court reverses, says confession should stand, wasn't coerced https://twitter.com/WardDPatrick/status/939242132501655552

More details on the Franks thing coming out. He is strongly anti-abortion to the point that he opposes procedures like in vitro, so he offered his aide $5M to let him impregnate her 'naturally'

QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Dec 8, 2017 -> 03:48 PM) It would have more of an effect if there was a direct delivery process, but seeing as this is cash settled, I am going to guess there is no real volatility difference. It is such an odd product because the market is fixed and closed. All other currencies are based on money supplies which can be altered in real time by the governments that issue them. Bitcoin is a fixed market that can only expand to a fixed point by a fixed time. I wonder how stable the mining rate has been. It inherently declines--every new bitcoin is harder to mine than the last--but people add more and more processing power to the overall bitcoin network. Googling only turns up a bunch of bitcoin profitability calculators and not a historical mining rate trend.

After cutting taxes, Trump looking to localities to raise revenue for infrastructure This sounds like the worst possible way to finance infrastructure improvements.

I get trading futures on orange juice concentrate or oil or whatever. Those are commodities that will actually be produced and consumed at some future point. What is bitcoin futures trading on? What the price of a bitcoin will be in X time period? This seems like insanity to me.

He could also take a lesser stance and refuse to meet with the multiply-accused sexual assaulter-in-chief who's busy defending a child predator rather than sit next to him for photo ops, which I believe is Balta's original point.

QUOTE (Reddy @ Dec 8, 2017 -> 03:07 PM) That doesn't make sense. Why would he vote against policies he wants enacted? He should use some actual leverage before getting praised for making token gestures. I don't actually expect him to oppose awful conservative policies because he follows an awful conservative ideology. But it is something he could theoretically do that could actually make a difference beyond giving a speech or send a $100 check.

He's out in a year anyway.

He could publicly tell McConnell that he won't vote for a single Republican agenda item as long as Moore's in the Senate.