Everything posted by caulfield12
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Justin Verlander re-signs in Houston
I’ll take which SoxTalk mod is most likely to make snarky comments for $500, Alex. It was 2021. See that number embedded in the link? Dick Allen’s point was that the layoff/short season in 2020 impacted this season, which is quite obvious to pretty much anyone…starting with games pitchers missed on the IL. 2019, 51 threw 170+, including Reynaldo Lopez, our own innings eater. 2018, 50 threw 170+. 2017, 45. 2016, 64 over 170 With even more focus on bullpen usage than ever before, the true number with two back to back 162 game seasons should equalize in the 38-42 range. Still only 1 1/2 pitchers per team putting up those IP, at most.
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GM Meetings - Front Office Diversity
How in God’s name is a 12-15% split (used to be closer to 13/14%) a 3x ratio of Hispanics to AA in the US population? 46.9 million AA compared to 62.1 million Hispanic/Latino. https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2021/08/improved-race-ethnicity-measures-reveal-united-states-population-much-more-multiracial.html That doesn’t count “some other race” or multi-racial in either group, officially. Even if we VERY generously added 20 million undocumented/DACA we don’t even come THAT close to 2/1.
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MLB 2021-2 off season thread
Why is CWS surprised here? You know Merkin will play down things automatically, he’s pretty much a mirror of Hahn and even a bit more pragmatic and realistic than our own front office, guys such as KW and Haber. Garfien is more of a cheerleader, the constantly optimistic type. Merkin even wrote about Burger being an option at second already.
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Justin Verlander re-signs in Houston
Only 29 pitchers in all of baseball managed that. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2021&month=0&season1=2021&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2021-01-01&enddate=2021-12-31&sort=8,d Only 5 of them were below 3.0 fWAR, with Flexen and Gibson exactly there. Hendricks, Lyles, Irvin, Corbin and Greinke. That leaves you two or possibly three. Only Lyles or Irvin would be in the affordability range most are seeking.
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Justin Verlander re-signs in Houston
More like McHugh, but he wouldn’t come so cheap…
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MLB 2021-2 off season thread
https://www.southsidesox.com/2021/11/6/22763893/luke-smailes-chicago-white-sox-offseason-plan Everyone in Soxosphere has us trading for Ketel Marte. Somehow adding Kiermaier and Wendle in one trade, Fathom special. Might as well bring back Colome on MLI. Keuchel for Bradley, Jr., might drive everyone nuts. Guaranteed Keuchel ends up Top Ten in Cy voting again next year, lol. This guy has the Sox trading two minor leaguers nobody has even heard of…
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MLB 2021-2 off season thread
They better get rid of Leury then…
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MLB 2021-2 off season thread
BMaggs’ subsequent list is appealing to you…? On paper, they’re all okay ideas, but those players on the White Sox will suddenly forget what’s on the back of their baseball cards. Kiermaier, if it was three years ago.
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MLB 2021-2 off season thread
I’d go with Gausman over Ray, if it was head-to-head. Escobar is fine for a placeholder. I think we’re more likely to see a Vaughn trade than giving Conforto or Starling Marte huge numbers. Ketel Marte would be fine. Bryan Reynolds. Not sure the M’s deal Haniger now…would also look at Trammell in a change of scenery deal, but not for Vaughn…more for 4th OF to replace Engel. Depending on how much $$$ the Padres would send along, would look at Wil Myers, who has had some really inconsistent fWAR numbers. Frazier or Grisham are two more possibilities. Need to make the corner outfield spots more athletic, at least one of them if they’re staying with Eloy in LF. Soler, depending on price. That’s the 2000 offense, but not helping the defense by much. I think we are MUCH likelier to end up with a DeSclafini or Alex Wood type than Gausman, however. Scherzer, no way. More than likely, 50% of excitement is pushed back to trade deadline.
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MLB 2021-2 off season thread
https://www.fangraphs.com/players/robbie-ray/11486/stats?position=P Ray had only a 2.8 fWAR cumulatively from 2018-2020. Giving him a $150-175 contract is the definition of insanity for a franchise like the White Sox. Even the three years prior to that, he averaged around 3. That’s certainly good, but not the best usage of $25 million per season to buy at the highest possible price on the market.
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GM Meetings - Front Office Diversity
And I bet minority ownership for minor league baseball teams is less than 2-3%, another potential avenue into the game… https://www.hwsgroup.com/savits-take-over-greenjackets/ This details the deal (a now tiny $1.1 million profit but still significant in the mid-90s) for the team I worked for in 1994-95. Back then, most minor league teams were available for under $10 million, except the top AA/AAA markets. His (owner’s grandfather) was the founder of Scripps/Howard Newspapers (also known for hospitals/cancer clinics, UPI News Syndicate, National Spelling Bee)…for him, it was just a 2-3 times a year plaything, going to the Winter Meetings, hob-nobbing with other elites. His wife I recall pushed him to get rid of the team. He did spring for really nice championship rings for all the front office staff, but nothing like major league teams get. “Scripps family ranks highest in the Tri-State, at No. 34, with a net worth of $7.5 billion. The family's wealth is a result of Edward Willis Scripps founding the E.W. Scripps media empire in 1878.”
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MLB 2021-2 off season thread
Sean Young instead? At the very least, we need some Dan Marino Isotoner gloves mentioned. For some reason, I can't get the image of Don Shula having his hand snatched by Jim Carrey hiding inside of a mailbox out of my head.
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MLB 2021-2 off season thread
Taylor is definitely not an everyday SS....he's much better than 2B and all around the OF, although a team would be better served playing him in LF, then RF...compared to CF. $200 million seems a BIT too high based on Semien's age (if he was 29, maybe?) and relatively recent "bust out" performance-wise, and you've also got his off 2020 abbreviated season where he did a JD Martinez disappearing act. Someone had him at $136 or 138 earlier in the thread....split the difference (with $200) and you get $168, which would likely be the very low starting point of Tim Anderson's contract extension discussions in 2024.
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MLB 2021-2 off season thread
I blame it all on Balta and Umair Haque's Medium.com articles...and living in China for too long, lol.
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MLB 2021-2 off season thread
I can't imagine JR paying a former player they didn't value enough $138, let alone $160-185 million. Escobar for $20 mill at the tail end of his career would be a different feeling...that said, we deliberately passed on him for supposed injury reasons, so what has changed? Just having a full offseason?
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MLB 2021-2 off season thread
13% RottenTomatoes, and that was only 3/5.
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MLB 2021-2 off season thread
Wouldn't we see the same trends in Royals or Astros t.v. ratings and season ticket uptick at the same point in their rebuilds?
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MLB 2021-2 off season thread
It was a kickback scandal...for Jay and Alonso. That wasn't the greatest look, when all they needed to do was guarantee those last two years if they really wanted him. And they were fortunate to get Moncada's 2019 season right after that miss.
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MLB 2021-2 off season thread
The White Sox will never go over their predetermined amount, unless it's for in-house guys or someone like Robert. You avoid bad deals like Alex Gordon, but it also leaves you on the outside looking in more often than not. A seat at the table. And realistically, we're not one of those Top 6-8 franchises that can go after nearly any FA they choose to. We're the Cardinals, Mariners, Braves, Blue Jays, Brewers or Padres...optimistically.
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Seiya Suzuki
Would prefer they take a shot at him rather than spend $100 million on Conforto, but neither are highly likely to occur. Too much risk.
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MLB 2021-2 off season thread
Ron is on the case. What, now you want to report this to get him banned again...when you've (supposedly/seemingly) been advocating his case for months? Pick a lane. You know he tends to lash out when cornered, yet bringing more attention to the past is going to help him move forward more productively?
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2022 Offseason Plan Thread
Well done. Can't imagine Leury not around. Believe there's going to be someone out there like Alex Wood that will cost maybe $12-13 million but better than wasting any money on a Quintana or Hector Santiago type. No way we get that type of return for Kimbrel without any money going along with him. The Blue Jays saw him with Boston and won't be so quick to pull the trigger, and are likely spending too much money in FA to justify $16 million when Romano was fine.
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2022 Offseason Plan Thread
Marte would be a LOT more highly regarded playing on an East Coast/ESPN team. He's not elite, but the next tier below that. And more affordable compared to these $18-40 million AAV names.
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2022 Offseason Plan Thread
To me, it comes down to their evaluation on Kelley...if he can get it back together again. Is he more Spencer Adams, Alec Hansen and Matthew Thompson? Both Kelley and Thompson were in the mid 40's, although Kelley got $3 million. At first I thought you were talking about including Vaughn instead to get to three former 1st rounders.
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2022 Offseason Plan Thread
That return for Marte's a little short. Feels like they would need a bigger second piece than Montgomery. Yes, he's a first rounder, but not a high one...and he's years and years away, if he eventually makes it. It's one of those "four names!!!" trades that sounds better on paper than it is in reality, that WSCR Cubs fans would always suggest, although usually with five names to get that added/extra OOMPH. Vaughn might not be the right fit, but Crochet hasn't shown enough (as a starter or failed starter) to be the headliner.