caulfield12

In the emergency room at one of Madrid’s biggest hospitals, Daniel Bernabeu signed the death certificate for one patient and immediately turned to help another who was choking. People are dying in waiting rooms before they can even be admitted as the coronavirus pandemic overpowers medical staff. With some funeral services halted in the Spanish capital and no space left in the morgues, corpses are being stored at the main ice rink. Intensive-care wards overflowing and new rules dictate that older patients miss out to younger people with a better shot at surviving, Bernabeu said by telephone. “That grandpa, in any other situation, would have had a chance,” he said. “But there’s so many of them, all dying at the same time.” https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-25/spanish-doctors-forced-to-choose-who-to-let-die-from-coronavirus The Chinese press tonight is reporting they're close to making a decision that those already over age 60 or 65 are likely going to die when it comes down to these triage decisions of who to save....HOPE that's not accurate.

Three players over there just tested positive...so they might be set back more than one week or have to postpone, because Japanese virus situation is changing by the hour now as well.

Okay, Larry Kudlow. Just kidding. Well, I haven’t sold anything (except last summer at DJIA 27k) for twenty years...can you tell us which day and we can just pretend it’s $100,000 or $1,000,000 for argument’s sake for easy analysis??? Fwiw, those who tried to short the market on unemployment numbers got massacred yesterday. China has ordered no short selling, period. Even with active control, we might be facing around 81,000 deaths by July according to a new detailed analysis from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington in Seattle. ..... Our for-profit health care system rakes in money on disease, not on health. Instead, we have a system that works for the rich, instead of a public health system for all Americans that readily anticipates and controls new pathogens through testing, contact tracing, and quarantine. https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/26/opinions/us-most-confirmed-cases-sachs/index.html Publication date: March 26, 2020 Assuming Strong Social Distancing, This Wave of the Pandemic Could End in the US in June SEATTLE – In a forecast based on new data analyses, researchers find demand for ventilators and beds in US hospital intensive care units (ICUs) will far exceed capacity for COVID-19 patients as early as the second week of April. Deaths related to the current wave of COVID-19 in the US are likely to persist into July, even assuming people protect themselves and their communities by strongly adhering to social distancing measures and by taking other precautions advised by public health officials. “Our estimated trajectory of COVID-19 deaths assumes continued and uninterrupted vigilance by the general public, hospital and health workers, and government agencies,” said Dr. Christopher Murray, Director of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington’s School of Medicine. “The trajectory of the pandemic will change – and dramatically for the worse – if people ease up on social distancing or relax with other precautions. We encourage everyone to adhere to those precautions to help save lives.” IHME’s analysis, based on observed death rates, estimates that over the next four months in the US, approximately 81,000 people will die from the virus. Estimates range between 38,000 and 162,000 US deaths. http://www.healthdata.org/news-release/new-covid-19-forecasts-us-hospitals-could-be-overwhelmed-second-week-april-demand-icu

https://eand.co/did-you-really-think-capitalism-was-going-to-save-you-from-a-pandemic-41b6ac1d9a41 The point is this: Americans don’t need to work during a pandemic. There is literally no reason for them to. They don’t need to be made to “work” for basics like homes, medicine, money, and food — society has a massive surplus of all these things already. They don’t need to “work” during a pandemic for a similar reason. America is easily rich enough to simply support the whole economy for a few months during the pandemic — which is the wise and right and fair and moral thing to do. Nobody needs to work. Not just because America is a rich society — but because the only “work” that really needs to be done during a pandemic is tending to the ill, feeding the indigent, making sure the disease’s spread is slowed, and so forth. The “work” that Americans are to be made to do has literally nothing to do with any of that very real labour. (Does anyone really need a new home built right about now? How about a trip to the dentist? Or a pair of new designer jeans? Maybe you see what I mean.) You know and I know the real reason Americans are being made to work during a pandemic: money. So that profits rise, so that stock markets rise, so that the rich get richer. So that, in other words, the system doesn’t collapse in on itself. A cynic might have an even darker interpretation: so that Americans know their place. So that they’re so beaten, weary, terrified, and anxious, they never really have the time or energy to question the insanity of all the above.

Why sector SPY compared to a combination of Vanguard 500, vivax, vtsax, small/midcap/Russell, international or emerging markets and REITs? For someone in their 30’s and 40’s, aren’t bond returns going to be so negligible the next 3-5 years...that it might be better to put that 20-25% in a CD at around 4%? In the situation described above, the cost basis resets from original number to the date when it’s inherited, yes?

It was just rumors and community-wide fear, IMO. I've seen videos where families were rejecting their fathers or grandparents, for example...being sent back home by authorities after recovery. Shouting at authorities, saying they didn't believe they were actually healthy and were endangering the entire family to create more empty beds in the hospital for new patients. People put all their pets out in the beginning, as a rumor spread that dogs and cats could transmit the virus. In fact, there are a couple of supposed Covid-19 "pet deaths" in Asian countries. The government did take the step here in China of sending many of the recovered to quarantine recuperation centers (like Javits in NYC) that were essentially hotels and sports centers (badminton) quickly converted with cubicles and beds...instead of sending them home directly. There was a concern with those people mixing together with other cases not yet serious enough to be hospitalized or reporting positive tests that the spread would continue, but that didn't happen (apparently.) At the moment, seems Illinois, Detroit/MI, New Orleans/LA, and maybe Atlanta or FLA are trending to be the next huge outbreak zones.

But that's okay since none of the benefits are going to the Trump Organization, right?

The CDC (not Google) was supposed to be working on this. Hospital by hospital across the country...all the patients testing positive, critical/severe, ICU admissions, equipment needs, etc. Not all information would be made available for public consumption (and you can be sure the withheld information will be fought for by the press via lawsuits over FOIA.)

Germany and Switzerland have been very successful. There are a number of factors. Biggest of these is the early surveillance/contact tracing of EVERY single case in Germany, as well as the much higher ratio of nurses to patients compared to Italy and Spain. Then you can look at other factors, such as average age of population, men vs. women, co-morbidities, smoking or vaping, etc.

A couple of things. One of the Grand Princess "survivors" at the best infectious treatment center in the US, Omaha, kept getting positive tests 28 days on. Do we have enough kits at this point to keep testing people (including swabs and reagents) 20-30 times per person? There were cases here in Wuhan where patients "recovered," were sent home, and developed symptoms again. While they seem fairly rare, and there hasn't been a published paper academically...it's definitely a possibility, especially if we're going with the 2-3 different strains of the virus circulating theory (which also hasn't been proven, more a theory.) They were using blood/plasma/platelets from the ones who recovered to come up with a way to treat those who were ill, but it wasn't conclusive how much more effective those treatments were than say, Traditional Chinese Medicine or Redemsivir or the antivirals or whatever they threw at it. Thailand was claiming success at the same time, but that story sort of faded away, like INOVIO being on the way to a cure or vaccine.

Yes, the government "disappeared" 2-3 citizen reporters who were reporting directly from and outside the hospitals in late January. Yes, we know all about Dr. Li Wenliang, the whistleblower. He's from my neighborhood, and went to Wuhan University with my wife (well, he went to medical school, but same age and school.) Yes, a number of cases (hundreds probably) in the beginning where people died weren't yet diagnosed as COVID-19, but natural causes or pneumonia. Of course, the same thing has been happening in the US (see Kirkland Life Care Center)...and we'll never know unless they autopsy everyone who's died in the US since late December or early January. Yes, there were rumors about sulphur dioxide clouds being captured from the crematoriums, in lieu of the normal pollution from factories. In the end, people are already back to work this week, if they have their own cars. The airport and subway are back online Saturday. On the subway or Metro, there's three yellow tape lines for what used to be a longer 5-7 person metal seat, social distancing. She will go back to work on Monday. Schools (KG-middle or junior school) are still looking at a May start, after draconian measures from January 23rd until that time. High schools (at least seniors) are supposedly going back a bit earlier, sometime between April 15th and the end of the month because every senior in the country has to take the Gao Kao examination on June 7th/8th (same test, same exact time for every student in whole country) and it's not fair to kids in our province if they aren't provided as much time as possible to study with their teachers in-school when most of the rest of China has reopened at least 4-6 weeks earlier.

Hickenlooper....so called unity ticket.

The LameStream Media is the dominant force in trying to get me to keep our Country closed as long as possible in the hope that it will be detrimental to my election success. The real people want to get back to work ASAP. We will be stronger than ever before! Let's consider the biggest problem here. Forget about the media assaults on a daily basis, sometimes at individual reporters. It's the idea of ONLY "real people" wanting to go back to work...and get everyone sick there and even kill someone they know, I guess. So we are "pussies" or "wussies" if we stay at home and take care of our families? And yet, throughout the last 30 years of American history, we've had Clinton, GW Bush and now Trump who went out of their way to avoid military service...Trump, after having spent his teenage years at a military academy. I just feel sorry for EVERY REAL person who's on the front lines, doctors and nurses and psychologists all fighting to get the country through this crisis to the best of their ability. They are selfless real people who go into an endless shift and spend the rest of their time recuperating at home, some not even being able to sleep because they're concerned about giving their patients the corona virus (because they're reusing masks and gowns due to shortages, or haven't been tested yet.) Or simply the pressure of too many other doctors and nurses already being out (or dying, in many cases now in NYC), so they feel they have no choice but to keep reporting to work day after day until the peak has passed.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/25/trump-coronavirus-national-security-council-149285 The Trump administration, state officials and even individual hospital workers are now racing against each other to get the necessary masks, gloves and other safety equipment to fight coronavirus — a scramble that hospitals and doctors say has come too late and left them at risk. But according to a previously unrevealed White House playbook, the government should’ve begun a federal-wide effort to procure that personal protective equipment at least two months ago. “Is there sufficient personal protective equipment for healthcare workers who are providing medical care?” the playbook instructs its readers, as one early decision that officials should address when facing a potential pandemic. “If YES: What are the triggers to signal exhaustion of supplies? Are additional supplies available? If NO: Should the Strategic National Stockpile release PPE to states?”

3.28 million weekly unemployment claims... Well, at least it wasn't over 4? The predictions were all over the place, starting in the 1.6 million range. Well, at least we set another economic record, there's that.

https://www.cnn.com/videos/health/2020/03/26/dr-anthony-fauci-cautious-optimism-coronavirus-spread-vaccine-bts-cpt-vpx.cnn The argument here (from Dr. Fauci) is that we’re already seeing evidence of the spread in the southern hemisphere of the globe, meaning as they go into fall and eventually winter that it just starts recirculating around the globe perpetually until a vaccine is developed. It's also well documented that sunlight, fresh air and exercise are essential if someone has been infected - the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic made this very clear. Btw, working with our president probably does feel closer to a regime than an administration... On Monday, WHO counted more than 334,000 total cases globally. Dr Harris said “but in fact the outbreak is accelerating very rapidly and the case numbers we received overnight will put that up considerably”. “We are not helpless bystanders,” said WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, noting that it took 67 days to reach 100,000 cases worldwide but just four days to go from 200,000 to 300,000.

https://eand.co/the-week-the-world-as-we-know-it-came-to-an-end-eddc365498b7 96-0 vote on stimulus bill, btw. https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/26/politics/stimulus-coronavirus-jobs-economy-trump-congress/index.htmlFear drives $2 trillion economic rescue bid -- and sparks calls for the next one

https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/new-york-city-coronavirus-healthcare-workers-trump-easter-183638991.html Wish everyone in the country could read this young doctor's letter.

Klobuchar is just as likely, IMO. Minnesota is in play. At one point, some were pushing Kasich, just like Lieberman in 2000, with the idea of securing the Heartland and Rust Belt states that will largely decide the election. Warren, depending on how far the pendulum shifts towards government-based solutions over the next 2-3 months. Abrams was definitely going to be the Sanders pick. That said, unless Loeffler and Perdue are both brought down by insider trading charges, along with Burr (unlikely again!), Georgia isn’t quite competitive on a national basis. From the Biden perspective, he already has a huge leg up on African American engagement compared to HRC in 2016.

Just wait until AOC (and/or Ivanka) runs in 2024 or 2028!! And that’s not even taking Greg’s Chelsea Clinton fears into consideration...

Realclearpolitics.com I think PA could be at risk if they continue with the more extreme anti-fracking platform...but that also depends on the viability of it in terms of longer term gasoline prices four to six months from now. https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/22/minnesota-political-transformation-137289 And back to Covid-19 for a few hours or days until our renewed era of bipartisanship collapses when one side or another holds up Phase 3, right? Bill already being assaulted on left and right as more fine print details are forthcoming. https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/25/politics/what-matters-march-25/index.html

We wouldn’t have a country left if all the media was as bad or as nasty as the left wing media. Trump is far too busy for the Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts but not golfing, Fox News or Twitter? Paraphrase from the daily briefing. Just don’t get it...the need to constantly blame. Obama did it ONE time, his comment about those clinging to guns and religion (I think it was in Pennsylvania), and never heard the end of it. World 1: Whom Democrats trust for coronavirus information, per a CBS/YouGov poll: the CDC 87 percent, your governor 75 percent, the national media 72 percent, friends and family 72 percent, religious leaders 44 percent, President Trump 14 percent. World 2: Whom Republicans trust, according to the same poll: Trump 90 percent, the CDC 84 percent, friends and family 81 percent, religious leaders 71 percent, your governor 65 percent, the national media 13 percent.

Florida is pretty close to a dead tie right now, Wisconsin a slight Trump lean (interestingly, Sanders performs better there.) The problem is Biden doesn’t have any oxygen now. He does get the benefit of not having to compete with Trump in terms of rallies and drawing crowds. The Bloomberg contribution is still not defined. The Trump bump is probably not going to last...simply because he's too prone to saying stupid things because he wants to compete with Cuomo now everyday and attempt to take credit for daily stock market rises (and blame someone else when things go wrong.) https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/03/the-democrats-dont-understand-their-own-strength/608611/ Here’s your argument support.

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/03/25/coronavirus-economy-stimulus-house-democrats-148512 ‘Have We Learned Nothing?’ The Dems' Christmas-tree bailout pitch isn’t going anywhere, but tells us a lot about what we might be headed for.

Somehow, I can see Ivanka continuing to fool the male side of the Trump base, but not so sure she carries enough of a chip on her shoulder. Donald, Jr., is the one more desperate to continue the “legacy.” https://www.latimes.com/science/story/2020-03-22/coronavirus-outbreak-nobel-laureate This is a good article for those on the “earlier rather than 12 to 18 months” side.